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Conference of the Armed Forces Communications and Electronics Association – AFCEA International 19-20 October 2006. Vice Admiral Е mil Lyutskanov First Deputy Chief of the General Staff Of the Bulgarian Armed Forces. ACHIEVEMENT OF THE ASSIGNED GOALS. RISKS. RISKS. PUBLIC SIGNIFICANCE.
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Conference of the Armed Forces Communications and Electronics Association – AFCEA International 19-20 October 2006 Vice Admiral ЕmilLyutskanov First Deputy Chiefof the General Staff Of the Bulgarian Armed Forces
ACHIEVEMENT OF THE ASSIGNED GOALS RISKS RISKS PUBLIC SIGNIFICANCE DEFENCE AND SECURITY AREA SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL AND MATERIAL RESOURCES LARGE SCALE PLANS AND PROJECTS RISK MANAGEMENT
RISK MANAGEMENT DIRECT ACTIVITIES OF THE MOD AND BAFs • EXTERNAL FACTORS • legislative • economic • interdepartmental • social RISKS IN THE DEFENCE AND SECURITY AREA identification definition analysis strategies and approaches
RISK MANAGEMENTIN THE DEFENCE AREA identification In the defence activities analysis observation During implementation Activities of other bodies and institutions control During emergence counteraction INTEGRATED MANAGEMENT OF THE STRATEGIC RISK
Investment decisions bad Ineffective business decisions In inappropriate time RISKS MANAGED BY THE MOD, GS AND OPERATIONAL STAFFS Failure of operation Critical risk Defence resource management During operations Reliability of the information system During force generation General management work Challenges of the military hierarchy and functioning of the chain of command Limited access to the strategic plans conservativeness
“EXTERNAL”MANAGEMENT OF THE RISK Effect on the strategic plans GOVERNMENTAL POLICY Change of priorities = INTERNAL ENVIRONMENT DEMOGRAPHIC RISK With other ministries and institutions SHARED RISKS With the allies
A • R • E • А • S Organizational structure and personnel of the armed forces modernization Allied and coalition engagements PPBS functional problems External influence RISK MANAGEMENT IN THE DEFENCE AREA Implementation of the defence programmes of the MoD and the BAFs
RISK EVENTS Implementation of Plan 2015 Achievement of the FGs Implementation of the changes in the national legislation Implementation of the modernization projects Functioning of the DRMIS, ROCSandDAS Guaranteeing the size of the defence expenditures Involvement of foreign financial assistance RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN REDUCTION TO ACCEPTABLE LEVELS
RISK? THERE IS ALWAYS A SOLUTION!