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Land Reforms in Asia and Africa: - Impacts on Poverty and Natural Resource Management. Workshop in Beijing 24-25.January, 2010 Stein Holden. Introduction. Thanks to EfD-for funding the workshop Thanks to Gunnar for support Thanks to Jintao for hosting the workshop
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Land Reforms in Asia and Africa: - Impacts on Poverty and Natural Resource Management Workshop in Beijing 24-25.January, 2010 Stein Holden
Introduction • Thanks to EfD-for funding the workshop • Thanks to Gunnar for support • Thanks to Jintao for hosting the workshop • Thanks to Kei for joining in as editor
Objectives of workshop • Identifyresearchabletopicsrelated to land reforms in Asiancountries • Poverty impacts • NRM (especiallyforest land) impacts • Identifygoodresearchquestionsthatcan be answered • Withincountries • Acrosscountries (Asia and Africa) • Identifytestablehypotheses • Withincountries • Acrosscountries • Make a realistic plan for preparing book chapters (milestones)
Land reforms • Definition: • Apply a broaddefinition as compared to some more narrowdefinitionsthatarecommon. This may be illustrated by the types of reforms thatweintend to study: • Market-friendly land reform (provisionofstronger transfer rights to land) • Reforms aiming to enhancetenuresecuritysuch as land registration and certification • Redistributive land reforms • Reforms aiming to strengthen land rights ofpoor and vulnerable groups • Reforms aiming to enhancesustainable land management (investment and conservationincentives)
Land Reforms back on the Agenda • MDGs: Rights-basedapproaches • Commision for Legal EmpowermentofthePoor (CLEP) • Rapid economicdevelopment in Asia (change in fooddemand) • Increasing land scarcity in Africa • New demands for land for food and energyproduction • Climatechange: REDD and theroleofforesttenure
New Standards for ImpactAssessment • Difficulties of identifying impacts of reforms • Few good studies exist • Randomized experiments infeasible? • Natural experiments hard to find? • Alternative econometric methods required to analyse existing data • Better data sets emerging • Better methods developed • Aim to apply such methods on new data for the book
Issues and Research Questions • Whatarethepovertyreductioneffectsof alternative land reform approaches? • To whatextent have the reforms enhancedproductivity, investment and growth • To whatextent have the reforms beenpro-poor, e.g. benefitedthelandless, low-caste, women, etc? • Howcan more socially optimal property rights regimes be defined for agricultural and forest land resources?
Historicalcontext: Initial conditionson land rights • Whatarethe initial and historicalsituation in terms ofallocationofthe bundle of land rights and obligations? • How is thedistributionof land to differentgroupsofsociety? E.g. is landlessnesscommon? • How is thisrelated to thesocialpowerstructure? • Whatrolesdoes land play in thesociety? • Sourceofincome, food, shelter, employment, safetynet, credit, store ofwealth, prestige, taxshelter, …. • What alternatives/exit optionsexist? • E.g. would it be preferable to sellthe land to get starting capital for establishingsomeother business?
The bundle of land (natural resource) rights and obligations • A vectorof • Use rights (food, shelter, energy, belowgroundresources, water, input in production, safetynet, collateral, collectfirewood, fish ………..) and • Tranfer rights (rights to rent, sell/buy, borrow, bequeath, inherit) • Rights ofexclusion • Obligations (land conservation, sustainablemanagement, use (not leaveidle or abandon) • Restrictions (max and min farm size, transfer right restrictions)
Methodological issues • Identificationof most relevant counterfactual • Can be challenging in economy-wide reforms • Internalvalidity • Establishment ofcausality • Endogeneity, self-selection • Externalvalidity • Cross-countrycomparisonswhere relevant • Spillover effects • Economy-wide reforms • Direct and indirecteffects • Intended and unintendedeffects
Effects of Land-to-the-Tiller policies Efficiency Nepal Vietnam India China Equity in land distribution
Effects of land renting Efficiency Nepal Vietnam India China Equity in operational land distribution
Property rights regimes vs. management • Choicebetween • Private/individual rights • Communal rights • State ownership • Who managethe land • Individualmanagement • Group/communitymanagement • State (company) management • Do land reforms movetowards more optimal property rights regimes and management regimes?
Forest tenure reforms • Decentralizationprocesses • Increasingvalueofforests • Economicdevelopment • Increasingpopulationpressure/landscarcity • Individual vs. Group management • Durationofcontracts • Investmentcapacity/Creditaccess • Management skills • Economiesofscale • Management • Harvesting • Marketing
Group work • To address all the objectives • I look forward to a productive and constructive workshop!