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Cleaner, More Efficient Mobility: the role of fuels and vehicles

Cleaner, More Efficient Mobility: the role of fuels and vehicles. Elisa Dumitrescu, UNEP DTIE Transport Unit, Moscow, June 2012. UNEP Transport Unit: Key Programmes. Avoid: Share the Road Shift: BRT, Low Carbon Mobility Plans: India Improve : Partnership for Clean Fuels and Vehicles,

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Cleaner, More Efficient Mobility: the role of fuels and vehicles

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  1. Cleaner, More Efficient Mobility: the role of fuels and vehicles Elisa Dumitrescu, UNEP DTIE Transport Unit, Moscow, June 2012

  2. UNEP Transport Unit: Key Programmes Avoid: Share the Road Shift: BRT, Low Carbon Mobility Plans: India Improve: Partnership for Clean Fuels and Vehicles, Global Fuel Economy Initiative

  3. Cars a growing reality in emerging and developing markets… • 890 million today…over 2.5 billion by 2050 • 90%+ of growth in developing, emerging economies • Opportunity for energy efficiency, green economy innovation Number of vehicles * 1000 IEA 2011 year

  4. Russia: Top 11… Russia Europe’s largest car market by 2015 ICCT 2012

  5. Demand for liquid fuel driven by non-OECD transport growth BP EO 2030, 2012

  6. CO2 from cars to double • IEA estimates fuel consumption and emissions of CO2 from cars will roughly double between 2000 and 2050. • Worldwide, cars account for close to half of transport sector fuel consumption and CO2 emissions.

  7. BAU vs. Stabilization:fuel consumption, CO2 from cars to double 2000-2050 (IEA) World LDV CO2 emissions, business as usual vs GFEI, million tonnes (Mt) CO2, GFEI intervention (IEA 2009) To cap emissions: Fuel efficiency – cut vehicle fuel use by ½ by 2050 + flanking measures

  8. Given the projected expansion of the global fleet,how do we maximise the benefits of fuel efficiency gains in cars on a global scale?

  9. The Global Fuel Economy Initiative (GFEI) Mission: Facilitate large reductions of greenhouse gas emissions and oil use through improvements in automotive fuel economy in the face of rapidly growing car use worldwide. Targets (2005 baseline): 30% reduction in LDV fuel consumption per km by 2020 in all new cars in OECD countries 50% by 2030 in all new cars globally 50% by 2050 in all cars globally: from 8 L/100km to 4 L/100km average (90 g CO2/km) – doubling FE 5 Partners:

  10. GFEI global timeline * over 2005

  11. Working priorities of the GFEI • National, regional, global • Support national governments and industry partners to develop sound, consensus-driven policies • Collect, analyze and communicate improved data and analysis • Consumers and decision makers information • Technical Harmonization

  12. GFEI Menu of Services • Lead in national implementation emerging, developing economies • Secretariat, lead in communications • Data, modelling, baseline, projections • Thematic research, scrappage, flows • Technical, policy design support in major markets, fiscal instruments

  13. Working at country level Australia Chile Georgia Ethiopia Kenya Indonesia Montenegro +20 additional from 2013 Fuel Consumption by Year and Fuel Type, Kenya; UNEP 2011

  14. http://www.unep.org/transport/gfei/autotool

  15. Internal combustion engine (petrol/diesel) hybrids electric Appropriate technology Plug-in (parallel) full Plug-in (serial, range ext.) Battery electric mild stop/start Degree of electrification 0% 100% Source: AECC

  16. Savings • Reduced emissions of CO2 by over 1 gigatonne (Gt) a year by 2025 and over 2 gigatonnes (Gt) by 2050 • WB estimates that potential CO2 emission reductions from interventions in Russian road transport 18 mtoe – mostly from fuel efficiency, low emission cars • Consumer costs – fuel savings: €962-1,665 by 2020 with 95g Co2/km standard (Europ

  17. ClimateWorks

  18. ClimateWorks

  19. Data + Analysis: Global Progress - new registrations Russia: 2005 - 8.33 l/100 km 2008 - 8.11 l/100 km All (new and used) Russia Vehicles: 10-12 L/100 km (WB, 2008) International Energy Agency 2011

  20. Potential for action • Fuel efficiency standards? • Fiscal incentives: fee-bates, taxation, etc. • Labeling schemes • Consumer action, auto clubs • Flanking measures – preferential parking

  21. Loss of statistical life expectancy (months) due to anthropogenic PM2.5 emitted in 2000 The role of fuel quality “Particulate matter affects more people than any other pollutant.”WHO 2011 • Road traffic 50-80% source of fine PM • Move to low sulphur fuels (<50ppm) and clean vehicles • Opens door to cleaner, more efficient technology • 1/4 of global Black Carbon emissions come from diesel engines burning high-sulphur fuel

  22. Low Sulphur Fuels reduce PM directly, open door to emission controls 500 ppm and 50 ppm critical vehicle technology breakpoints, allowing for the use of cleaner engines and technologies like filters. 23

  23. Partnership for Clean Fuels and Vehicles Global Low Sulphur Campaign • Technical, financial, networking support for national policies that make cleaner fuels and vehicles a reality in developing and emerging economies

  24. Focus on Russia • Match transition to low sulphur fuels and Euro V vehicles with a national approach to auto fuel economy – strong policy (standards, fiscal incentives) to enable technology • UNEP/GFEI support: 2013 working-level Russia dialogue on fuel economy

  25. www.globalfueleconomy.orgwww.unep.org/transport/gfei/autotoolwww.unep.org/transportwww.globalfueleconomy.orgwww.unep.org/transport/gfei/autotoolwww.unep.org/transport Thank you!

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