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Lipids and Cardiovascular Disease Prevention. Epidemiology Clinical Trials Evidence Dietary and Pharmacologic Management. Nathan Wong. Cholesterol and CHD: Seven Countries Study. Northern Europe United States Southern Europe, Inland Southern Europe, Mediterranean Siberia Japan. 30. 25.
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Lipids and Cardiovascular Disease Prevention Epidemiology Clinical Trials Evidence Dietary and Pharmacologic Management Nathan Wong
Cholesterol and CHD: Seven Countries Study Northern Europe United States Southern Europe, Inland Southern Europe, Mediterranean Siberia Japan 30 25 20 CHDmortality rates(%) 15 10 5 0 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350 (2.60) (3.25) (3.90) (4.50) (5.15) (5.80) (6.45) (7.10) (7.75) (8.40) (9.05) TC mg/dL (mmol/L) Verschuren WMM et al. JAMA. 1995;274:131-136.
Effects of Increasing TC Levels on the Risk for CHD in the Presence of Other Risk Factors Low HDL Smoking CHD Risk Per 1000 (in 6 years) Hyperglycemia Hypertension No Other Risk Factors Serum Cholesterol (mg/dL) Schaefer EJ, adapted from the Framingham Heart Study
Total Cholesterol Distribution: CHD vs Non-CHD Population Framingham Heart Study—26-Year Follow-up No CHD 35% of CHD Occurs in People with TC<200 mg/dL CHD 150 300 250 200 Total Cholesterol (mg/dL) Adapted from Castelli WP. Atherosclerosis. 1996;124(suppl):S1-S9.
HDL-C Distribution in US Adults 16 14 12 10 No. of US adults (millions) 8 6 4 2 0 2 RF, no CHD < 35 35–< 45 CHD 45–< 60 60 HDL-C (mg/dL) RF = risk factors Data from NHANES III, 1988–1994
CHD Risk According to HDL-C LevelsFramingham Study 4.0 4.0 3.0 CHD risk ratio 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0 65 25 45 HDL-C (mg/dL) Kannel WB. Am J Cardiol 1983;52:9B–12B
1000 Finland 800 U.S. Australia New Zealand Ireland U.K. Canada 600 Norway Denmark Sweden Mortality rate Netherlands W. Germany Belgium 400 Austria Italy Switzerland 200 France Japan 0 20 40 60 80 100 Wine, liter/capita-year Wine Consumption and CHD CHD = -4.99W + 652.4 r = -0.580
CHD Risk According to HDL-C LevelsProspective Cardiovascular Münster Study 110 120 186 events in 4,407 men (aged 40–65 y) 100 80 Incidence per 1,000 (in 6 years) 60 30 40 21 20 0 < 35 35–55 > 55 HDL-C (mg/dL) Assmann G, ed. Lipid Metabolism Disorders and Coronary Heart Disease. Munich: MMV Medizin Verlag, 1993
Low HDL-C Levels Increase CHD Risk Even When Total-C Is Normal 12.50 11.91 11.91 14 9.05 10.7 11.24 12 6.6 10 5.53 3.83 6.56 8 14-y incidence rates (%) for CHD 4.85 6 4.67 260 2.06 4.15 3.77 4 2.78 230–259 2 200–229 Total-C (mg/dL) 0 < 200 < 40 40–49 50–59 60 HDL-C (mg/dL) Risk of CHD by HDL-C and Total-C levels; aged 48–83 y Castelli WP et al. JAMA 1986;256:2835–2838
Hypertriglyceridemia Increases CHD Risk in Patients with Low HDL-C LevelsProspective Cardiovascular Munster Study * 250 TG < 200 mg/dL TG 200 mg/dL 245 200 150 Incidence per 1,000 (in 6 years) 116 100 50 31 24 0 > 5.0 5.0 LDL-C/HDL-C ratio * Bar represents 5% of subjects in which 25% of CHD events occurred.
Distribution of HDL-C Levels in Men With CHDVA-HIT Study Group HDL-C level Whites Blacks All subjects (mg/dL) (n = 2,891) (n = 572) (n = 8,578) < 35 42% 20% 38% 35–40 25% 23% 25% > 40 32% 57% 36% } 63% Rubins HB et al. Am J Cardiol 1995;75:1196–1201
CHD Incidence Related to HDL-C Levels in Various Trials CHD incidence Men Women 0 -2 % change in risk per 1 mg/dL increment in HDL-C -4 -6 -8 -10 FHS FHS CPPT LRCF LRCF MRFIT
Population, Gender, and Ethnic Variability in HDL-C Levels Mean HDL-C level (mg/dL) Population Men Women United States (NHANES III)1 Whites 44 54 African-Americans 51 55 Turkey (Turkish Heart Study)2 37 42 1. NHANES III, 1988–1994 (unpublished data) 2. Mahley RW et al. J Lipid Res 1995;36:839–859
Ethnic Variations in Lipid Parameters Insulin Resistance Atherosclerosis Study African- Non-Hispanic Americans Hispanics Whites P value n 462 (27%) 546 (34%) 612 (38%) < 0.001 Total-C (mg/dL) 212.5 211.1 213.2 0.782 LDL-C (mg/dL) 143.8 139.4 140.7 0.410 HDL-C (mg/dL) 47.0 42.3 44.0 < 0.001 TG (mg/dL) 102.1 147.7 134.0 < 0.001 Haffner SM et al. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1999;19:2234–2240.
Lp(a) in Atherogenesis: Another Culprit? • Identical to LDL particle except for addition of apo(a) • Plasma concentration predictive of atherosclerotic disease in many epidemiologic studies, although not all • Accumulates in atherosclerotic plaque • Binds apo B-containing lipoproteins and proteoglycans • Taken up by foam cell precursors • May interfere with thrombolysis
Lp(a): An Independent CHD Risk Factor in Men of the Framingham Offspring Cohort 10 5 3.6 2.7 2 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.2 1 RR 0.5 Lp(a) TC HDL-C HT GI Smoking 0.2 0.1 RR=relative risk; HT=hypertension; GI=glucose intolerance. Bostom AG et al. JAMA. 1996;276:544-548.
Superko HR, Krauss RM. Circulation . 1994;90:1056-1069. Effect of Lifestyle Changeson Angiographic CAD Duration % (Control-Treatment) Study N Patient type Therapy (yr) Progression Regression Lifestyle 28 CAD Diet, exercise, 1 35 -40 meditation STARS 90 CAD, high TC Diet (including 3.2 35 -38 fiber) Heidelberg 113 CAD Diet + exercise 1 25 -15
Early Primary-Prevention Trials: Overview Oslo: Diet/smoking cessation N=1,232, P=0.02 TC * CHD events * 0 -5 WHO: ClofibrateN=15,745, P<0.05 -10 -8.5 -9 -9 -11 -15 -14 Upjohn: ColestipolN=2,278, P£0.02 -20 -19 -20 %+ -25 -23 LRC-CPPT: CholestyramineN=3,806, P<0.05 -30 -35 -34 -40 HHS: Gemfibrozil N=4,081, P<0.02 -45 -47 -50 N=number enrolled. * Net difference between treatment and control groups (P values are for events).
Early Secondary-Prevention Trials: Overview TC * CHD events * CDP: Clofibrate (n=1,103)N=8,341, P=ns CDP: Niacin (n=1,119)N=8,341, P=ns Stockholm: Clofibrate + niacinN=555, P=ns %+ POSCH: Partial ileal bypassN=838, P<0.001 N=number enrolled; ns=not significant. * Net difference between treatment and control groups (P values are for events).
Summary of Effects of Lipid Lowering on Lipids and Clinical Events in Recent Statin Trials Nonfatal MI/CHD death 8 10 CHD death All-cause mortality 5 5 5 LDL-C TC 0 HDL-C -5 -10 -9 %+ -15 -20 -20 -20 -20 -22 -25 -24 -25 -26 -30 -28 -30 -31 -35 -33 -34 -35 -40 -42 -45 WOSCOPS (N=6,595) 4S (N=4,444) CARE (N=4,159) 1o prevention 2o prevention 2o prevention N=number enrolled.
WOSCOPS: Effects of Lipid Lowering on Coronary Events in Primary Prevention Trial in Men Nonfatal MI/CHD death 10 CHD death All-cause mortality 5 5 TC LDL-C 0 HDL-C -5 -10 %+ -15 -20 -20 ‡ -25 -22 -26 -30 † -35 -31* -33 * P<0.0005. †P=0.042. ‡P=0.051. Shepherd J et al. N Engl J Med. 1995;333:1301-1307.
WOSCOPS: Relation of Baseline LDL-C to Event Rate 5-year event rate (per 100) WOSCOPS Group. Circulation. 1998;97:1440-1445.
4S: Effect of LDL-C Lowering on Coronary Events in Secondary Prevention Trial Nonfatal MI/CHD death 8 10 All-cause mortality CHD death 5 TC LDL-C 0 HDL-C -5 -10 -15 %+ -20 -25 -25 -30 -30 ‡ -35 * -34 -35 -40 -45 -42 † *P<0.00001. †95% CI: -27 to -54. ‡P=0.003. 4S Group. Lancet. 1994;344:1383-1389.
4S: Effects of Cholesterol Lowering on Noncoronary Ischemic Symptoms and Angina Intermittent Claudication Carotid Bruit Fraction of patients Months Months Angina Cerebrovascular Events Fraction of patients Months Months Simvastatin Placebo
4S: Lipid Lowering Reduces CHD Event Rates in ³65-Year-Old Subjects P=0.009 P=0.003 P=0.003 Percent of patients Total mortality Coronary mortality Revascularization
4S: Clinical and Economic Benefits of Treatment Over 5-Yr Period Cost of simvastatin therapy Major CHD events Hospital days Hospital costs LDL-C 0 -20 † -31 * -40 -34 -34 -35 %+ -60 -80 ‡ -88 -100 LDL-C CHD events Admissions Net cost of therapy *P<0.0001.†Translates to savings of $3,872/patient.‡Translates to cost of $0.28/day.
LIPID: Effect of Lipid Lowering on Lipid Values and Coronary Events in CHD Patients With Average Cholesterol 5 NonfatalMI/CHDdeath CHDdeath All-causemortality TC LDL-C HDL-C *P<0.001 -18 -22* -24* -24* -25 LIPID Study Group. N Engl J Med. 1998;339:1349-1357.
LIPID: Reduction in Nonfatal MI and CHD Death Risk Stratified by Age at Baseline <55 55-64 65-69 70 0 10 % -15 20 -20 30 -28 -32 40 Age LIPID Study Group. N Engl J Med. 1998;339:1349-1357.