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Monday now looking good Convection flt path issue 7°S-18°S

Met brief: 2014-03-09 For flight of Monday 2014-03-10 Rennie Selkirk with R. Ueyama , L. Pfister & L. Harvey. Monday now looking good Convection flt path issue 7°S-18°S Possible tropical cyclone near Vanuatu => path nearer Fiji recommended

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Monday now looking good Convection flt path issue 7°S-18°S

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  1. Met brief: 2014-03-09For flight of Monday 2014-03-10Rennie Selkirk with R. Ueyama, L. Pfister & L. Harvey • Monday now looking good • Convection flt path issue 7°S-18°S • Possible tropical cyclone near Vanuatu => path nearer Fiji recommended • Surface wind conditions Tue & Wed becoming less favorable

  2. Developing picture TD17F TD18F Depressions in trough near Vanuatu: TC Gillian in Gulf of Carpentaria Fiji trop -88.1°C at 56 kft 08 March 1132 UT (Sat 2130) 08 March 2132 UT (Sun 0730) Guam Vila Nadi

  3. last night’s Nadi soundingvery cold trop: 88.3 hPa, -88.1°C = 185 K

  4. Satellite image valid about 0845 CHst this morning. Convectively active for over a day

  5. 00 UT Monday GFS 12Z NVG 18Z

  6. Fiji Tropical Cylcone Center guidance MON TUE

  7. NOAA guidance All the models put something in the way of a closed circulation (or a TC) in the Vanuatu area in the next few days.

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