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Thorsten Heimann, Nicole Mahlkow

The Social Construction of Climate Adaptation Governance. Thorsten Heimann, Nicole Mahlkow. Initial: Different Handlings of Natural Science Scenarios concerning Climate Change. Schleswig-Holstein, Niendorf near Lübeck, February 2010: Upgrading of Dikes: 50 cm.

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Thorsten Heimann, Nicole Mahlkow

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  1. The Social Construction of Climate Adaptation Governance Thorsten Heimann, Nicole Mahlkow

  2. Initial: Different Handlings of Natural Science Scenarios concerning Climate Change Schleswig-Holstein,Niendorf near Lübeck, February 2010:Upgrading of Dikes: 50 cm Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, LUMV, 2009: „There is still time to wait and see“ Niedersachsen 2007:Upgrading of Dikes (25cm) + 25 cm

  3. Denmark: „Wunderkind of Climate Mitigation“? (Der Spiegel 2007) Poland: „Other Priorities?“„Climate Change discussed rarely“ (Raabe / Härtel 2007) Different Handlings of Natural Science Scenarios concerning Climate Change

  4. Project D 3.1: How societies react to climate change • What are our questions? • How do societies construct and react to climate change? • Why is climate change perceived in different ways? • Which role do spatial and cultural factors play?

  5. Relevance How does it matter to governance? Coping Strategies for climate change can only be effective If they are supported and accepted by relevant stakeholders If they consider and implement respective modes of perception and knowledge Regional and cultural patterns should be identified to increase efficiency and adequacy of measures

  6. SocialConstructionism / SociologyofKnowledge How is knowledge formed and how does it shape a distinctive social reality? All knowledge can be seen as a shared interpretation of what reality is. It is derived from complex social interactions, especially from communication processes. The knowledge is embedded in the institutional fabric of society. People internalise this knowledge as objective fact, underlying logics of construction are not apparent anymore. Theoretical Approach

  7. Methods Knowledge Construction of Climate Change -Threats and chances -Preferred measures Module 1 Analysis ofpublicdiscourses Module 2 Expertinterviews Module 3 Quantitative survey Qualitative Interrelations of existing knowledge constructions Genesis of Knowledge constructions Quantitative

  8. Study Design StandardizedOnline-Survey Sample Countries: NL, D, DK, PL Coastal Municipalities Spatial Planning / Coast Protection Gross-Sample: 7249 Agents Knowledge Constructions: Climate Scenarios Preferred Climate Measures Established Cultural Indicators: Values and Norms Beliefs and Premises Identities Study Design

  9. Acceptance: Flood Protection Measures (Sea)TOTAL: All Countries Basis: n=785 Verynecessary 5 Unnecessary1 Necessity 5 Very easilyfeasible • Mean Average ø I II Improvement of Dykes and Protective Constructions Water Adapted Settlement Structures Feasibility Local PopulationSafety Rooms Displacement of Dykes Inland Deconstruction of Dykes to Reintroduce Nature at the coast Deconstruction of Settlement Areas Located Close to the Sea Not at allfeasible1 III IV Question AKZa/AKZb: „Please assess the necessity and feasibility of the following measures for [Bezugsraum] up to 2025. Furthermore, please indicate if any measures have been conducted during the last 15 years.“ (5Point-Rating-Scale)

  10. Economy Admin Politics NGOs Acceptance: Deconstruction of Dykes to Reintroduce Nature at the CoastTOTAL: All Countries Basis: n=785 Verynecessary 5 Unnecessary1 Necessity 5 Very easilyfeasible • Mean Average ø I II Feasibility Deconstruction of Dykes to Reintroduce Nature at the Coast TOTAL Non-Governmental Organisations Public Administration Economics Politics Not at allfeasible1 III IV Question AKZa/AKZb: „Please assess the necessity and feasibility of the following measures for [Bezugsraum] up to 2025. Furthermore, please indicate if any measures have been conducted during the last 15 years.“ (5Point-Rating-Scale)

  11. Knowledge Constructions used in the Questionnaire PreliminaryResults Fragility of Nature(Thompson et al. 1990, Grundman / Stehr 2003) Materialism/ Postmaterialism (Inglehart 1977) Ability to ControlNature and Society(Nuissl 2007) Beliefs and Premises Knowledge Constructions(i.a.A. Berger / Luckmann 1969) Values and Norms Conservation / Openness for Change (Schwartz 2007) Knowledge about ClimateChange Identities Spacial Identification(Weichart et.al 2006 /Lalli 1989)

  12. Knowledge Constructions used in the Questionnaire Materialism/ Postmaterialism (Inglehart 1977) Hypothesis: Interrelations between Materialism/Postmaterialism-Orientationand individual problem-framing of Climate Change? (ref. to O‘Brian / Wolf 2010) • Ronald Inglehart 1970s • Value Change in Prosperious Societiessince World War II • From Materialism to Postmaterialism • „Post-Materialists“ vs. „Materialists“ Knowledge about ClimateChange

  13. / Materialism-Postmaterialism-Index Question ING: „Which of the following things would you say is most important: Maintaining order and security in the nation, Giving people more say in important government decisions, fighting rising prices, protecting freedom of speech?“ (Index) Framing of Problems: „Do You Think Climate Change is a SeriousProblem in General?“ Basis: n=785 Question KWP: „Do you think climate change is a serious problem in general?“ (5-Point-Rating-Scale)

  14. Methods Knowledge Construction of Climate Change -Threats and chances -Preferred measures Module 1 Analysis ofpublicdiscourses Module 2 Expertinterviews Module 3 Quantitative survey Qualitative Interrelations of existing knowledge constructions Genesis of Knowledge Construction Quantitative

  15. Discourse Analysis Sociology of Knowledge Approach to Discourse Analysis Analysis of collective knowledge in societal fields Discourses: recurring patterns of communication that create shared interpretations of what reality is. Fußzeile

  16. Economy Public media Admin Politics NGOs Discoursive Constellations Field logics: stablewithin a field, localconstellationsofandbetween sectorsvary Interplay oflocalknowledgeand (supra-) national knowledge: importantroleoflocaltopicsand narratives Constallationsandstructuresofdiscoursesarespatiallyunique Fußzeile

  17. Discourse Analysis Research material: Locally spread papers Nationally spread papers Publications from local economic, political, administrative sector Genealogy 2003 2010 Methodological Approach Rostock Bremen Lübeck

  18. First Results: Local media discourse Rostock and Lübeck • 2100: Lübeck old town drowning after sea level rise „The great flood of prognoses“ • 2100: Rostock Riviera „Why should we go to the Mediterranean ?“ Ostseezeitung Bothcoastaltownsatthe Baltic Sea Similarsizeandstructure Severefinancialsituation But doesthatmeantheyperceiveclimatechange similarly andpreferthe same measures? Fußzeile

  19. First Results: Local media discourse Knowledge Constructions on Climate Change Preservation through mitigation and adaptation Change through mitigation strategies Preferred measures

  20. Conclusion If conflicts arise in Climate Adaptation Governance, please consider: Knowledge Constructions involved Development of Local Discourses Values, Beliefs, Identities of agents Field Logics Local Constellations of Groups involvedfrom different Social Fields

  21. The Social Construction of Climate Adaptation Governance Thorsten Heimann, Nicole Mahlkow Thank you !

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