1 / 37

Are we ready for REDD? Multidimensional policies for reducing Amazon deforestation: 2001-2010

Are we ready for REDD? Multidimensional policies for reducing Amazon deforestation: 2001-2010. Gilberto Câmara Director , National Institute for Space Research Brazil. Reducing deforestation in Amazonia. Governance + markets + technology >> REDD+. Conflicting prospects for REDD.

travisthomas
Download Presentation

Are we ready for REDD? Multidimensional policies for reducing Amazon deforestation: 2001-2010

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Are we ready for REDD? Multidimensional policies for reducing Amazon deforestation: 2001-2010 Gilberto Câmara Director, NationalInstitute for SpaceResearch Brazil

  2. Reducing deforestation in Amazonia Governance + markets + technology >> REDD+

  3. Conflicting prospects for REDD

  4. PRODES: Clear-cut deforestation mapping ~230 scenes Landsat/year Yearly detailed estimates of clear-cut areas

  5. Economic recovery and deforestation: 2001-2004 Yearly deforestation rate for 2003-2004: 27,100 km2

  6. Strong reaction from public opinion What is the proper scientific reaction?

  7. T1 – Selective logging T2 – Loss of smaller trees T3 – Loss >50% of forest T4 – Loss >90% of forest How does deforestation happen?

  8. DETER: Real-time Deforestation Monitoring 15-day warnings of newly deforested large areas (MODIS)

  9. TerraAmazon – open source software for large-scale land change monitoring 116-112 116-113 166-112 Spatial database (PostgreSQL with vectors and images) 2004-2008 data: 5 million polygons, 500 GB images

  10. For a while, everything went well...

  11. Transparency builds governance 500.000 registrations 46 million protests

  12. Then, in January 2008...

  13. Transparencybuildsgovernance

  14. Credit crunch in 43 municipalities X 31% of total deforestation in 2002 22% of total deforestation in 2008

  15. Impact of policing and credit crunch in 2008 “Firearch” policingoperation Illegalcattleseizure Start ofcreditcrunch 2008 source: IMAZON

  16. Challenge for real-time monitoring Deforestation by size of fragment (ha) PRODES: 2002 a 2009

  17. Optical land imaging satellites (5-60 m) 2015 2013 2014 2011 2012 2010 CBERS-4 Amazônia-1 CBERS-3 Sentinel-2A Landsat-8 Sentinel-2B ResourceSat-2 AWIFSSat ResourceSat-3

  18. Protected areas and deforestation: 1997

  19. Protected areas and deforestation: 2000

  20. Protected areas and deforestation: 2001

  21. Protected areas and deforestation: 2002

  22. Protected areas and deforestation: 2003

  23. Protected areas and deforestation: 2004

  24. Protected areas and deforestation: 2005

  25. Protected areas and deforestation: 2006

  26. Protected areas and deforestation: 2007

  27. Protected areas and deforestation: 2008

  28. Policing actions: illegal wood seizure 50% ofoperations in 10% ofthearea

  29. Fines from policing operations source: EnvironmentMinistry, Brazil

  30. Markets have a positive rôle

  31. Reducing pressure for land poaching landtenurerights to 300 mil settlers

  32. Reducing deforestation in Amazonia Governance + markets + technology >> REDD+

  33. Is REDD necessary and beneficial? Money to whom? migrant workers? Howmuchwilltheyget? big farmers?

  34. What could be the size of REDD? To maintain environmental integrity, REDD should be at most 10% of the commitments of developed countries, if they agree to reduce their emissions by 50% between 2010 and 2020 REDD 10% Reduction of developed countries 46,2 Gt CO2eq REDD 4,62 Gt CO2eq

  35. What could be the size of REDD in Brazil? Proposed reduction 4,9 Gt CO2eq REDD 4,62 Gt CO2eq From 2010 to 2020, the emissions cuts proposed by Brazil would be larger than the entire worldwide market for REDD

  36. Will REDD create self-defeating outcomes?  ‘We have a resource we would like to get money for. Either you pay us for biodiversity services or we will sell the forest to Malaysian logging companies.’ (Guyana government officer)

More Related