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Measuring Quality and Impact of the Social SciencesConcepts, Opportunities and DrawbacksPre-Conference of the 10th International Conference on Science and Technology Indicators University of Vienna, September 17, 2008Anthony F.J. van RaanCenter for Science and Technology Studies (CWTS)Leiden University
This presentation will highlight recent CWTS projects:* Benchmarking & Evaluation* HEFCE * Identification of Excellence
From these recent studies we present empirical results for social science fields particularly concerning:* WoS coverage * Characteristics of WoS publications* Characteristics of n-WoS publications* Bibliometric results and peer judgments
Basic Concept: QualityScientific performance relates to achieved quality in the contribution to the increase of our knowledge (‘scientific progress’)(1) as perceived by others: peer review (2) as measured by advanced bibliometric analysis
Basic issues for research assessment, also in the social sciences:* Objectivity* Transparency* How to handle interdisciplinarity, definition of fields* Different ways, prestige and intensity of publication* Role of co-authors in publications* Orientation of research: local vs. global* Language* Ageing of research results* PhD training* Time dimension of awards* Socio-economic impact
Citing Publications Cited Publications All calculations are corrected for self-citations!
What do citations measure? • Many studies showed positive correlations between citations and qualitative judgments • In principle it is valid to interpret citations in terms of intellectual influence which is an important aspect of scientific quality • Thus, the concepts of citation impact and scientific quality do not coincide ‘automatically’
GoogleScholar Total publ universe non-WoS publ: Books Book chapters Conf. proc. Reports ArXiv Scopus WoS sub-universe 8,000 j; 1,000,000p/y LNCS Source expansion Compendex *CWTS is in license agreement negotiations with Scopus *CWTS currently compares Scopus- vs. WoS coverage *CWTS bibliometric algorithms can be applied to Scopus data Medline Refs > nWoS Target expansion
Network of publications (nodes) linked by citations (edges) Lower citation-density Higher citation-density e.g., applied research, e.g., basic natural social sciences medical research FCSm JCSm Expected values for normalization Absolutely necessary but……are they appropriate? CPP
CWTS applies two types of field definitions: Field = set of journals ‘established fields’ scientific medium-grained structure Journal + reference-based re-definition (expansion) of fields
Main field: Social and Behavioral Sciences Major field, e.g. Economics & Business All publication titles + abstracts (~30,000,000) have been grammatically parsed to enable bibliometric analysisby themes/concepts/ instruments and to create word-correlation based maps of science journals fields
Field = clusters of concept-related publications new, emerging often interdisc. fields scientific fine-grained structure cluster
Social Sciences Top-50 EU universities, their top-10% publications in this field Now specific sub-field CPP/FCSm values can be calculated, for instance for research on democracy But, obviously, the finer grained, the more ‘noisy’
Basic Performance Indicators • POuput: Number of publications in internationally refereed CI-covered journals • C Absolute Impact:Number of (self-ex) citations to these publications • H Hirsch-index • CPPOutput-normalized Impact: Average number of cits/pub of the institute • JCSm Average number of cits/pub of the journal set used by the institute • FCSm Average number of cits/pub of all journals of a specific field in which the institute is active (FCSm) • p0 Percentage of not-cited publications
CWTS Key Research Performance Indicators: • JCSm/FCSm Relative impact of the used journal set • CPP/JCSm Internat. journal-normalized impact • CPP/FCSmInternat. field & doc-normalized impact • Pt/ΠtContribution to thetop-5, 10, 20,..% • P*CPP/FCSmSize & Impact Together: Brute Force
Basic research high FCSm High CPP high FCSm, but low JCSm low FCSm, but high JCSm low CPP low FCSm Up to factor ~20 Applied research, engineering
Internal WoS-coverage of social science fieldsresults from HEFCE and Benchmark projects
What is the internal WoS coverage and how is it calculated? Example: EUR 2000-2004
Internal WoS coverage (%) of submitted publications per UoA From: Moed, Visser, Buter, 2008
1991-2006 purple: non-WoS ref light blue: CI ref
1991-2006 purple: non-WoS ref light blue: CI ref
External WoS-coverage of social science fieldsresults from HEFCE and Evaluation projects
What is the external WoS coverage and how is it calculated? Example: Uppsala 2002-2006
From: Van Leeuwen 2006
84% of the total number of publications submitted to the 2001 RAE from science-related departments were published in WoS-covered journals. For Mathematics publications the WoS coverage is only slightly lower (82%), It is substantially lower for Social Sciences and Humanities (25%) From: Moed, Visser, Buter, 2008
What is the correlation between internal and external WoS coverage?
Characteristics of WoS publications insocial science fieldsresults from HEFCE and Benchmark & Evaluation projects
time lag & citation window Publications from 1991,….1995
Main differences with the natural and medical sciences: *Lower numbers (more than 1 order of magnitude….) *Slower rise , broader peak and much slower decay (less hectics…)
Characteristics of non-WoS publications insocial science fieldsresults from HEFCE and Benchmark & Evaluation projects
Top-10% (of impact) of EU publications in Political Science, Economics, and Psychology 1997-2003, 4-y citation window (to calculate their impact) From references all WoS-references removed, only non-WoS references(with freq > 2)have been analyzed Total about 28,000
From: Nederhof, van Leeuwen, van der Wurff 2008 From these:
Bibliometric results and peer judgmentsresults from HEFCE and Benchmark & Evaluation projects