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URBAN WATER INSTITUTE 18 th Annual Water Policy Conference Update on Long-Term Delta Solutions

URBAN WATER INSTITUTE 18 th Annual Water Policy Conference Update on Long-Term Delta Solutions. August 25, 2011. Introduction. Metropolitan Water District of Southern California. Regional Water Wholesaler to 6 counties 5,200 square miles 26 Member Agencies ~19 million residents

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URBAN WATER INSTITUTE 18 th Annual Water Policy Conference Update on Long-Term Delta Solutions

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  1. URBAN WATER INSTITUTE 18th Annual Water Policy Conference Update on Long-Term Delta Solutions August 25, 2011

  2. Introduction

  3. Metropolitan Water District of Southern California • Regional Water Wholesaler to 6 counties • 5,200 square miles • 26 Member Agencies • ~19 million residents • Regional economy: $1 trillion • Retail demand 2009: • 4 million acre-feet • Provided about ½ of retail demands

  4. Sources of Water for Southern California Sierra Mtns LA Aqueduct Delta Colorado River Aqueduct Supplies State Water Project Supplies Conservation Local Groundwater and Recycling

  5. Balanced Approach to Planning

  6. Four Generations of Metropolitan Investments

  7. MWD’s Balanced Approach Early 1990’s Current Strategy Heavy dependence on imported supply and SWP Diversions Emphasis on Conservation, Local Supplies, and Storage & Transfers

  8. Local Investments Reduce Needs for Imported Supplies Retail Demand

  9. Local Investments Reduce Needs for Imported Supplies Retail Demand

  10. Local Investments Reduce Needs for Imported Supplies Retail Demand New Local Supply & Conservation

  11. Metropolitan’s Storage Capacity 14x Increase in Capacity

  12. Conservation, Recycling, & GW Recovery Actual Projected

  13. Metropolitan’s Regional Investments

  14. Need for Imported Supplies

  15. Imported Water is Essential • Colorado River • Decade-long drought • Growth in the lower basin • Environmental

  16. Colorado River Cut to Basic Apportionment Lower Colorado River MSCP Transfer Programs Colorado River Drought 1 MAF+

  17. SWP Supplies are at Risk

  18. Key Delta Risks Fishery Declines Delta smelt Subsidence Sea Level Rise Seismic RiskBay Area Faults

  19. Los Angeles Aqueduct State Water Project Colorado River Aqueduct Statewide Risk Some regions up to 100% dependent Bay Area – 33% Central Valley – 23 to 90% Southern Cal – 30% Local

  20. Seismic Vulnerability Concord Vaca-Kirby Rodgers Crk Midland 4% San Andreas Antioch Hayward Greenville 27% 3% 21% 11% San Gregorio Calaveras 10% % 66% probability of > 6.5 magnitude earthquake by 2032 Bay-Delta Region Major Faults

  21. Judicial Ruling Total Impacts • 2008 • 670,000 Acre-feet • ~$201 million • 2009 • 619,000 Acre-feet • ~$186 million • 2010 • 1,043,000 Acre-feet • ~$313 million

  22. Delta Solution

  23. A Balanced Approach for Co-Equal Goals • Co-Equal Goal 1 – Ecosystem Restoration • Co-Equal Goal 2 – Water Supply Reliability • Disaster • ESA protection

  24. Co-Equal Goal 1Ecosystem Restoration

  25. Ecosystem Restoration and Preservation Targets Ecosystem Restoration Target = Twice the size of Washington DC

  26. Beyond Habitat Restoration Toxics, Unscreened Diversions, etc. Sacramento Predator Control Sac River Ammonia Ocean Conditions Stockton Corbulaamurensis(Overbite clam) Invasive Species Egeriadensa (Brazilian Waterweed)

  27. Co-Equal Goal 2Water Supply Reliability

  28. Conveyance Alignment Options Sacramento Sac River Stockton SJ River SWP Pumps CVP Pumps Preliminary Subject to Revision

  29. Long-term operations permit Coverage for existing & future listed species Future regulatory obligation defined upfront Regulatory Assurances

  30. East Canal ~ $8 billion * West Canal ~ $9 billion * Tunnel ~ $12.7 billion * What is the Range of Cost? * URS developed initial cost estimates; Second independent expert cost analysis from 5RMK Inc completed in Jan. 2010. * Includes 35% construction contingency on tunnel (25% on non-tunnel) and 18% for engineering/project management. Preliminary Subject to Revision

  31. Timeline Process

  32. Timeline for Delta Solution 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Conservation Plan Final Working Draft Public Draft Enviro Docs Final Public Draft Permits Bio Op Restoration Near-Term Habitat Restoration Implementation Engineering Preliminary Final Design Operational Procurement Procure Equipment Construction Land Acquisition & Construction Admin Draft – Apr 2012; Public Draft – May 2012; Final EIR/EIS – Dec 2012 Preliminary Subject to Revision

  33. Frequently Asked Questions

  34. Are you planning to increase pumping? Early 1990’s Current Strategy

  35. Is Southern California taking all the water? In-Delta Consumptive Use4% CVP-SWP Exports17% UpstreamConsumptive Use31% Pacific Ocean48% Source: Governor’s Delta Vision Report (Estimated total annual runoff 32.85 maf)

  36. Is Southern California taking all the water? UpstreamUrban Use2% In-Delta Consumptive Use4% MWD4% CVP-SWP Exports17% UpstreamConsumptive Use31% Pacific Ocean48% Source: Governor’s Delta Vision Report (Estimated total annual runoff 32.85 maf)

  37. Why can’t you replace Delta supplies with seawater desalination? • 18-36 new desalination plants (1 MAF) • Every 4-8 miles from LA to San Diego • 600 MW gross power requirement • Cost – $1,300 to $2,000 per acre-foot

  38. Is the Delta solution too expensive? • Affordability based on tunnel option • $12.7 billion • MWD share ~$3.4 billion (25 percent of total) • 15,000 cfs capacity • 1,560,000 acre-foot average SWP yield for Metropolitan

  39. What is the Cost of Other Supplies? $1,040 -2,300/AF $1,600 -2,000/AF $960 -2,000/AF $300 -1,300/AF $500 -800/AF* • MWD estimates • Restored Delta – Incremental cost of tunnel not melded with overall SWP supply; includes $200/af energy costs

  40. What is the Capital Cost of Other Supply Improvement Projects? * Capital Cost/AF = Total Capital Cost / Annual Deliveries

  41. What is the Per-Capita Cost of Other Supply Improvement Projects? * Per-Capita Cost = Total Capital Cost / Population Served

  42. Major Project Cost vs. Assessed Valuation • State Water Project • 1960 • $1.75 billion bond (MWD share ~50%) • Assessed Valuation: $6 billion • Ratio: 6% • Delta Solution • $3.4 billion (assumed MWD share) • Assessed Valuation: $2 trillion • Ratio: 0.2% • Colorado River Aqueduct • 1931 • $220 million bond • Assessed Valuation: $2 billion • Ratio: 10%

  43. Rate Impact Summary

  44. How do we get to a solution? • Legislative/Congressional Support • Regulatory assurances • Sound science & adaptive management • Effective governance structure • Local benefits

  45. Why are you an optimist? “For myself I am an optimist – it does not seem to be much use being anything else.” - Winston Churchill “If you’re going through hell, keep going.” - Winston Churchill

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