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Highway Construction Cost Trends & 3D Technology for Construction Estimates . Zhigang Shen, Ph.D., Assistant Professor Dept. of Construction Management. TEA. Agenda. The impact of this financial crisis on oil demand & supply US oil demand/supply and price
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Highway Construction Cost Trends & 3D Technology for Construction Estimates Zhigang Shen, Ph.D., Assistant Professor Dept. of Construction Management
Agenda • The impact of this financial crisis on oil demand & supply • US oil demand/supply and price • US diesel Price and short term forecast • Highway & Street Construction Producer Price Index (PPI) • BIM technology and its potential in highway/bridge project
Infrastructure Construction Spending Source: Global Insight Inc.
World Oil Demand and Supply Source: International Energy Agency
US Oil Product Demand Source: International Energy Agency
US Monthly Oil Product Consumption & Supply Source: Energy Information Administration
Oil Price 60% increase Goldman Sachs: “Oil prices could hit $85/bbl by the end of the year.”
8% decrease Source: International Energy Agency
Monthly US Diesel Whole Sale Price 2008-2010 60% increase Source: Energy Information Administration
Source: LBS Source: LBS
Summary • Global economy is recovering from the bottom of this crisis • Global oil demand likely remains below 2007 level in 2010 • US oil supply/consumption likely stabilize at present level in the near future • US diesel price is anticipated to have a modest increase from present time till the end of 2010 • Available data suggests modest cost increase in major materials in highway and street construction compared to the beginning of the year.
Conclusions • Highway and Street Construction costs are likely to experience modest increase from the present level for the remainder of 2009 and in 2010 • Speculators, instead of demand/supply, will remain the major driving force of oil prices in the near future
BIM Technology - Potentials in Infrastructure Cost Estimate • BIM: Building Information Model • Parametric 3D model • Communication tool for complex project for all project participants • Estimating tool • Scheduling tool • Construction tool • Inventory tracking tool • Quality control tool
Thanks for your time ! Questions ©2007 The Board of Regents of the University of Nebraska