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Health Care Sector. Sang Mook Lee, Shinichiro Kido Bus-Fin 824 March 6, 2007. Health Care Sector - SIM holdings -. Industries of our Current Holdings : Pharmaceuticals HealthCare Equipment/Supplies Biotechnology Health Care Providers/Services
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Health Care Sector Sang Mook Lee, Shinichiro Kido Bus-Fin 824 March 6, 2007
Health Care Sector - SIM holdings - Industries of our Current Holdings: Pharmaceuticals HealthCare Equipment/Supplies Biotechnology Health Care Providers/Services All of the above industries make up the majority of the Healthcare Sector Our current holdings are well diversified within our sector
Market & Sector Overview • Total Healthcare market cap is approximately $2.3 trillion • Healthcare as a percentage of S&P500 • 12.15% • Third largest weighting in S&P500 • Behind Financials and Information Technology
Health Care Sector Performance • 52 Week (-) • S&P 500: +13.50% • Health Care Sector: +7.85% • YTD (-) in 2006 • S&P 500: 13.62% • Health Care Sector: 5.78% • YTD and QTD (+) in 2007 • S&P 500: 2.24% • Health Care Sector: 3.37%
Business Analysis • Defensive and relatively Matured • Performs independently of economic cycles and business factors • Beta for HealthCare Sector overall is 0.6 • External Factors • Aging Population, government regulation & trend towards consumer-oriented product • Risks • Earnings vulnerable to liability lawsuits, patent expirations, and development cost rising faster than sales
Recommendation • Sell all the shares of SYK 374bp 0bp • Buy MDT to 300bp 0bp 300bp • Increase TEVA by 74bp to 427bp 353bp 427bp
Stryker Corporation Recommendation: SELL
Stryker Corporation • Healthcare Equipment and Supplies Industry • Market Cap. 24.9 billion (S&P rating A), Revenue growth 15.7%, Net Income 23.8% at CAGR for 5 year. • Sales by line of business
Stryker Recommendation • Current Price $60.89 • Target Price – DCF valuation is lower than Current Price. (Almost limit for upward, now is the time for realizing capital gain) • Sell 374 bp to 0 bp.
Medtronic Inc.MDT Recommendation: BUY
MDT Corporation • Healthcare Equipment and Supplies Industry • Market Cap. 56.5 Billion (largest in the industry, S&P rating; AA-), Revenue growth 15.3%, Net Income 19.5% at CAGR for 5 year. • Sales by business segment
MDT Recommendation • Current price is $49.10 (on March 5, 2007) • Target price; • Buy to 300bp
TEVA PharmaceuticalsTEVA Recommendation: BUY
TEVA Pharmaceuticals • Drug Manufacturer – Generic (one of the largest makers and original drug) • Develops, manufactures, and markets generic and human pharmaceuticals, and active pharmaceutical ingredients, as well as animal health pharmaceutical products • Stock is an ADR • Sales by business segment
TEVA Recommendation • Currently price is $34.73 (on March 5, 2007) • Target price • Increase 74bp to 427bp
Conclusion • Sell all the shares of SYK 374bp 0bp • Buy MDT to 300bp 0pb 300bp • Increase TEVA by 74bp to 427bp 353bp 427bp