260 likes | 400 Views
Example of a Collaborative Office Project. WFO Duluth, Minnesota. Amanda Graning Amy Henry Mike Bettwy Carol Christenson Dan Miller Dean Melde Peter Parke Edward Flenz Greg Frosig Tom Lonka Kevin Donofrio Declan Cannon.
E N D
Example of a Collaborative Office Project WFO Duluth, Minnesota Amanda Graning Amy Henry Mike Bettwy Carol Christenson Dan MillerDean Melde Peter ParkeEdward Flenz Greg Frosig Tom Lonka Kevin DonofrioDeclan Cannon
Vision: "Keeping America SAFER by understanding and integrating societal impacts into NWS products and services; to enhance public awareness and readiness associated with weather, water, and climate." Societal Applications For Enhanced Readiness
No one was interested I have a few ideas, but… Assessing the Threat of Winter Events …stuck in their ways Couldn’t get off ground My office is full of deadbeats How do I get people motivated?
Why was this successful?? • Disclaimers • Not Perfect • Not a Human Behavior Expert • Personal Experiences
Danger Degree Project Weather Forecasting Office Duluth, MN Motivation There are situations where the physical science can be perfect, but its utility is greatly reduced where there is not adequate attention to the societal aspects Goal An effort to create a historical reference for use in assessing the threat of snowfall cases that may or may not fall into the National Weather Service (NWS) defined criteria for winter weather advisories or warnings
Danger Degree Project • Developa "checklist" of factors that are given values • Weather and non-weather • Values are added to result in a Danger Degree(threat level) for that event • Theory: Higher the score, greater the potential impact
The Checklist • WFO Duluth, MN • Specific Location • Duluth, MN • International Falls, MN • Event Criteria • Snowfall of >2” • Looked at Daily Climate Report (LCDs) • Weather & Societal Factors • METARs • Sum Each Section
The Checklist • High Travel Periods • MEA Weekend • Start Tribune,. Bob Von Sternberg“At Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, this long weekend [ MEA ] is as busy, or busier, than Thanksgiving” • HS State Tournament Data • MN State High School League
2006 October 11-13th DLH SN began 400 am 3 First >2 of winter 2 Mixed Phases Snow Total = 3.5” 2.3” in 24 hr period. Gusts 30-35 kt for 24 hrs 6 Began: 36 F & Rain SN ended for 4 hrs - then continued. 5 14
Danger Degree Project • Disclaimers • Caution! Assigning Values to EventNot Intended to Categorize Storms (like Hurricanes) • A Tool for Addition Perspective • May miss “Big Picture” • Adapted to other Areas & Hazards
Danger Degree Project 91% 60%
Danger Degree Project • Warning Events
Danger Degree Project • Advisory Events
Danger Degree Project • No Headline
Danger Degree Project • Several Warnings with Danger Degree Values < 5 • Low potential Impact • Events with Danger Degree > 14 with No Headline • High Potential Impact • What was the Impact?
Keys to Engaging Others Emailed the Staff
Keys to Engaging Others Voluntary
Engaging Others Clear Vision
Engaging Others Flexible
Engaging Others Trust
Project Leader • Communication • Flexible • Several Meetings • Clear Expectations • Updates • Intranet page "There's nothing more demoralizing than a leader who can't clearly articulate why we're doing what we're doing.“--James Kouzes and Barry Posner
Know Your People Amanda Graning Amy Henry Mike Bettwy Carol Christenson Dan MillerDean Melde Peter ParkeEd Flenz Greg Frosig Tom Lonka Kevin DonofrioDeclan Cannon
Thank You Amanda.Graning@noaa.gov