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Suburbanization Trends in the 21st Century Indian City: Insights and Policy Implications

This conference explores suburbanization in Indian cities, focusing on demographics, employment, density gradients, and policy implications. It presents theoretical frameworks, empirical data from Bangalore, and analyses of population and job suburbanization trends from 1981 to 2001. The impact of land use regulations, welfare gains estimation, and factors influencing suburbanization are discussed. Attendees gain insights into the challenges and opportunities presented by suburban development in the Indian context.

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Suburbanization Trends in the 21st Century Indian City: Insights and Policy Implications

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  1. Kala Seetharam Sridhar Public Affairs Centre Bangalore Conference on the 21st Century Indian City: Towns, Metros and the Indian Economy University of California Berkeley and Indian Institute of Human Settlements Bangalore March 26, 2013 Suburbanization of India’s Cities

  2. Presentation Overview • General and b-suburbanization • Theory • Bangalore and other cities’ suburbanization • Estimated and calculated density gradients for India’s cities • Determinants of population and employment suburbanization • Policy implications

  3. Suburbanization of Population and Jobs in India, 1981-2001 Sources: Sridhar (2007), 2001 Census PCA and author’s analyses

  4. Population Suburbanization in India’s Metropolitan Areas, 1981-01 Sources: Sridhar (2007), 2001 Census PCA and author’s analyses

  5. Suburbanization: Theoretical Framework • Standard exponential population density function • Gradient

  6. Bangalore: Density Function, 1991 1991 municipal area: 126 sq km

  7. Bangalore: Density Function, 2001 1991 municipal area: 226 sq km

  8. Estimates of Population Density Functions for Bangalore, India, 1991 and 2001, Conventional City Center Number of observations=57 (wards) for 1991 regressions and 97 for 2001 regressions Source: Sridhar (2007)

  9. Estimates of Population Density Functions for Bangalore, India, 1991 and 2001, New City Center Number of observations=57 (wards) for 1991 regressions and 97 for 2001 regressions  Source: Sridhar (2007)

  10. Rc Lc L R Two-Point Gradient Technique

  11. Summary of Population Density Gradients (Calculated) Source: Sridhar (2007)

  12. The Impact of Land Use Regulations on Population Suburbanization Dependent variable mean= 0.44 R-squared= 0.57 Adjusted R-squared = 0.50 Number of observations= 68 Source: Sridhar (2007)

  13. The Impact of Land Use Regulations on Employment Suburbanization Dependent variable mean= 0.43 R-squared= 0.48 Adjusted R-squared = 0.38 Number of observations= 68 Source: Sridhar (2007)

  14. Estimation of Welfare Gains Source: Brueckner & Sridhar 2012

  15. Policy Implications • Impact of various factors on suburbanization and spatial area of Indian cities • Suburbanization of population and jobs • Data limitations • Conflict between suburban development and rural land uses

  16. Thank you for your attention!Questions? You can write to me atkala@pacindia.org

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