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The main points of presentation CIS domestic market structure CIS iron ore export structure

Outlook for CIS Iron Ore Market Andrey Kuzmin Head of Raw Materials Department Metal Courier CIS Raw Materials in World Markets 15 -16 November 2006, Moscow. The main points of presentation CIS domestic market structure CIS iron ore export structure Iron ore consumption and export forecasts.

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The main points of presentation CIS domestic market structure CIS iron ore export structure

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  1. Outlook for CIS Iron Ore MarketAndrey KuzminHead of Raw Materials DepartmentMetal CourierCIS Raw Materials in World Markets15-16 November 2006, Moscow

  2. The main points of presentation • CIS domestic market structure • CIS iron ore export structure • Iron ore consumptionand export forecasts

  3. CIS Production and Domestic Iron Ore Supplies, Mt 2006Iron OreProduction:180.6 Mt2006DomesticMarket: 133.2 Mt 26% 24% 25% 21%

  4. Concentrate Shipments by CIS Producers, Mt 2006Concentrate Shipments:85.1 Mt2003Concentrate Shipments:77.4 Mt 14% 13% 11% 11%

  5. Pellets Shipments by CIS Producers, Mt 2006PelletsShipments:63.2 Mt2003PelletsShipments:52.1 Mt 40% 31% 38% 27%

  6. Sintering Ore Shipments by CIS Producers, Mt 2006Sintering OreShipments:18.6 Mt2003Sintering OreShipments:17.6 Mt 40% 42% 38% 40%

  7. Iron ore self-sufficiency rate of CIS steelmakers

  8. Consolidation of Russian Iron Ore Market Concentrate Pellets

  9. Consolidation of Ukrainian Iron Ore Market Sintering Ore Concentrate Pellets

  10. CIS Iron Ore Export Structure, Mt 2006Iron Ore Export:44.1 Mt2003Iron Ore Export:29.5 Mt

  11. Major Markets for CIS exporters

  12. Russia and Ukraine in Eastern European Market POLAND 7.1 Mt CZECH REP. 7.5 Mt SLOVAKIA 6.5 Mt HUNGARY 1.4 Mt ROMANIA 2.5 Mt SERBIA 2.3 Mt BULGARIA 0.6 Mt Russia Total export – 19.5 Mt incl. to Eastern Europe – 13.2 Mt Ukraine Total export – 20.2 Mt incl. to Eastern Europe – 14.6 Mt Eastern Europe Iron Ore Import Eastern Europe Iron Ore Import Structure in 2006 - Others - Ukraine - Russia

  13. Chinese Iron Ore Import 2006Iron Ore Import:325-330Mt2005Iron Ore Import: 275 Mt

  14. CIS Iron Ore Export Structure, Mt 2006Iron Ore Export:44.1 Mt2003Iron Ore Export:29.5 Mt

  15. Prospects for CIS iron ore producers are not very promising • CIS domestic iron ore demand will show only sluggish growth • In the coming 5 years world major iron ore producers will increase production of high-grade material substantially • Consolidation in steel and mining industries will lead to increase of long-term iron-ore contract market. So, the volume of spot market where CIS suppliers are most active may go down • Steel industry consolidation in Eastern Europe will force out CIS suppliers

  16. Important issues for CIS mining companies to survive To survive, CIS mining companies will have to: • increase product quality • expand transport infrastructure with regard to export

  17. Steel Production in Russia is a Major Raw Materials Consumption driver, Mt

  18. Steel Production Structure in Russia, Mt 2010 2005

  19. Pig Iron Production in CIS, Mt

  20. HBI Production in CIS, Mt

  21. Forecasts of Pellets Export from Russia, Mt

  22. Metal Expert English-speaking people are welcome to our international web-site www.metalexpert-group.com news and prices research and forecasting Металл-Курьер Информационно-поисковая он-лайн система и еженедельный бюллетень www.metalcourier-online.com новости, рынки, цены, статистика

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