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INDONESIA Geothermal Power Plants in the 2 nd Phase 10,000 MW Project

INDONESIA Geothermal Power Plants in the 2 nd Phase 10,000 MW Project. APEC ENERGY BUSINESS FORUM 17 November 2009 . OUTLINE. 1. 2. 3. 4. POWER DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2008 - 2018.

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INDONESIA Geothermal Power Plants in the 2 nd Phase 10,000 MW Project

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  1. INDONESIAGeothermal Power Plants in the 2nd Phase 10,000 MW Project APEC ENERGY BUSINESS FORUM 17 November 2009

  2. OUTLINE 1 2 3 4

  3. POWER DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2008 - 2018 • Average electricity demand growth is estimated 9.7%/year. Based on assumption of GDP 6.2%/year, with elasticity = 1.56. Electricity demand by 2018 will be 325 TWh. • Targeted Electricity Ratio by 2018 will be 95.5%. • Total New Power Plant Built will be 57,442 MW, while PLN will contributes 35,274 MW (61 %) and IPP will be 22,168 MW (39 %). • Requires Additional Investment at USD 55.63 billion; consists of USD 37.56 billion for Generation; USD 9.52 billion for Transmission and USD 8.55 billion for Distribution • New Built for Geothermal will be 5,006 MW. PLN is planned to contribute 1,015 MW (20 %) while IPP = 3,991 MW (80 %). 3

  4. Projection of Electricity Demand Growth • Outside J & B grows higher than in J & B • Growth in J & B is required to support the GDP Growth in the area (most industries located in J & B) • Targeted electrification ratio in outside J & B is at 77 % by year 2018

  5. Projection Fuel Mix • Contribution of Renewable energy will gradually increased to replace Oil. • Contribution of coal PP is targeted to maintain capacity requirement 5 Source: Draft RUPTL 2009-2018

  6. Goal 1,600 Interest 1,400 1,347 Depreciation 1,200 General Affairs & 1,076 1,069 1,038 1,000 Administration. 952 998 906 Maintenance 931 Cost of Goods Sold (Rp/kWh) 800 IPP Purchase 600 Fuel 400 200 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Fuel Mix Adjustment Decrease COGS Besides to meet the targeted electrification ratio and demand growth, new pp built is also targeted to improve a better Fuel Mix to gain a lower COGS

  7. Indonesia’s Geothermal Status January 2009 SARULA 330 MW Ready for Exploitation SEULAWAH AGAM 160 MW SIBAYAK 12 MW Production Stage Planned to be Tendered Capacity is initial indication JAILOLO 75 MW LUMUTBALAI (UNOCAL) LUMUT BALAI 110 MW DIENG 60 MW KARAHA 400 MW LAHENDONG I, II,III,IV 80 MW KAMOJANG 150 MW TAMPOMAS 50 MW UNGARAN 50 MW BEDUGUL 175 MW ULUMBU 10 MW ULUBELU 110 MW NGEBEL 120 MW CISOLOK 45 MW SALAK 375 MW PATUHA 400 MW WAY. WINDU I 110 MW DARAJAT 255 MW MATALOKO 2.5 MW WAY. WINDU II 117 MW Total Installed Capacity January 2009 : 1,196 MW Tangkuban Perahu 55 MW

  8. DISTRIBUTION OF GEOTHERMAL IN INDONESIA Maluku Sulawesi Sumatera Kalimantan Irian Jaya Jawa Alor Bali Flores Timor Non Volcanic Location : 53 Schemes Potential :1. 15 GWe Total Location : 256 Schemes Total Potential : 27 GWe

  9. Targets of Long Term Geothermal Development • Development of geothermal must able to achieve Government’s target in the Road Map of Geothermal Development (6000 MW by 2020 and 9500 MW by 2025) • Both Investor and off taker shall gain benefit (win-win Solution) • Both Investor and off taker must together bear the risk of geothermal development according to their respective share and role. • All risks of geothermal development will then be accounted in the price of electricity produced. 9

  10. Phase II of 10.000 MW Acceleration Program Total kapasitas 9.963 MW Phase II Acceleration program is dominated by renewable energy power plants (60%): geothermal with 48% and hydro at 12%.

  11. Locations of Phase II Acceleration Project • SUMATERA • Core Project: • HEPP : 174 MW • GeoPP : 1.770 MW • SCPP : 724 MW • CCPP : 66 MW • SULAWESI • Core Project: • GeoPP : 125 MW • SCPP : 298 MW • KALIMANTAN • Core Project: • SCPP : 676 MW • CCPP : 120 MW • PAPUA • Core Project: • SCPP : 114 MW • MALUKU • Core Project: • GeoPP : 37 MW • SCPP : 32 MW • TOTAL • Core Project: • HEPP : 1.174 MW • GeoPP : 3.528 MW • SCPP : 3.944 MW • CCPP : 1.386 MW • TOTAL : 10.032 MW • JAMALI • Core Project: • GeoPP : 1.525 MW • SCPP : 2.000 MW • CCPP : 1.200 MW • HEPP : 1.000 MW • NTT • Core Project: • GeoPP : 41 MW • SCPP : 30 MW • NTB • Core Project: • GeoPP :40 MW • SCPP :70 MW 11

  12. PLN and IPP Project in Phase II Acceleration Program Total Investment Required for PLN & IPP : USD 15,823 million 12

  13. PLN & IPP Project Schedule in Phase II Acceleration Program

  14. The largest geothermal potential • Number of Volcanoes : 150 • Potential : 40% of the World potential • Promising fields : 250 fields, Potential : more than 27,000 MW • Current Installed Capacity : 1,196 MW

  15. Short Term Pipe Line for GPP Development • Development of Fields under the Old Law • Cooperation of Existing Developers and PLN • Entry : Can be a Direct Appointment • Existing Developer already had experience in assessing the risks • Potential to have new PP built 1,300 MW in short term • Extension of Existing Site • New wells had already been drilled • Scheme : Selling Steam or Selling Electricity

  16. Mid Term for GPP Development • Development of Green Fields as result New Law • New Developers need adaptation in assessing the risks • Scheme: Mostly through Selling Electricity

  17. 100 Days Program • PLN plan to propose to the Government to review the regulation related to GPP development • Focus of Restructuring : • Mechanism of Tender • Improve Quality of Tender Document • Standardization ESC • Risks distribution and Guarantee • Pricing

  18. PT PLN (PERSERO) • Conclusion • Following-up the government policy, maximizing of renewable energy/geothermal role has been anticipated in the fast-track program of generating development Phase-II by PLN and Directorate General of Mineral, Coal and Geothermal, MEMR. • The total target of geothermal power plant development of year 2008 to 2018 is 3080 MW of the Java Bali System and 1926 MW of the outer island, which cover green-field and brown-field that will be funded by the soft-loan of bilateral and multilateral funding agencies, and also through IPP participation. 18 18

  19. THANK YOU

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