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GEOTHERMAL IN INDONESIA (OVER VIEW). Sigit Rahardjo Operation Director PT PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY. Jogjakarta , Mei 2013. Characteristic of geothermal business. Conventional geothermal 2010 capacity and total potential capacity GW. Resource Utilization %.
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GEOTHERMAL IN INDONESIA (OVER VIEW) Sigit Rahardjo Operation Director PT PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY Jogjakarta , Mei 2013
Conventional geothermal 2010 capacity and total potential capacity GW Resource Utilization % Indonesia has the highest potential for geothermal energy in the world 4 Indonesia • 27 • 28 • In spite of its world’s largest potential of geothermal resource, the utilization only remains 4% • Geothermal resource in Indonesia is also high temperature resource which enable more economical geothermal development project 13 • 20 • 23 U.S. 3 • 19 • 20 Japan 1 10 • 18 • 20 Others1 33 • 4 • 6 Philippines 20 • 5 • 6 Mexico 10 • 5 • 6 Iceland 1 16 • 3 • 4 New Zealand 1 10 • 113 Total 102 • Installed • Potential 1 Includes mostly South/South-East Asia and Africa SOURCE: GEA; DOE; EER; World Geothermal Congress; Energy Information Administration (EIA); interviews
Speculative : 27.141 MW Probable : 10.253 MW Sumatera Speculative : 13.258MWe Probable * : 5.433MWe Sulawesi Speculative : 1.907MWe Probable * : 721MWe Medan Manado Tanjung Karang Semarang Bandung Java Speculative : 9.471MWe Probable * : 3.086MWe Bali & NTT Speculative : 1.676MWe Probable * : 871MWe INDONESIA’S WORLD LEADING GEOTHERMAL PROSPECT Borneo Speculative : 45MWe Probable * : - MWe Current Installed Capacity : 1,337 MW Maluku Speculative : 734MWe Probable * : 142MWe Papua Speculative : 50MWe Probable * : - MWe MAGMA Geothermal location
GEOTHERMAL ROAD MAP (Based on President Decree No. 5/2006 on National Energy Policy; Modified by MEMR.REG. No. 15/2010) 2006 2008 2012 2016 2020 2025 2014 12332 MW (Target baru ) 852 MW (Production) 2000 MW 3442 MW 5171 MW 7788 MW 4600 MW * 9500 MW * 3977 MW Existing WKP + New WKP 1148 MW Existing WKP 1442 MW Existing WKP 2617 MW New WKP 4544 MW New WKP 1.337 MW 5171 MW Current Condition Plus The second 10,000 MW fast track program Ministry decree MEMR No. 15/2010 Under the second 10,000 MW fast-track plan, 34% of energy development come from geothermal energy. (GSDM, 2010, Update Jan 2013) *) Road Map 2007
Indonesia PERTAMINA AIMS TO BE A LEADER IN GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.6 0 0.8 2.0 SOURCE: company websites 0.1 0.9 SOE1 Private 1.3 23 61 100 84 54 Share of SOE % Geothermal development by operator type Capacity GW Philippines Mexico Iceland New Zealand State-owned Enterprise energy companies developed more than 50% of geothermal energy in respective markets 1 State Owned Enterprise 5
PGE’s WORKING AREA TOTAL PGE’S INSTALLED CAPACITY: 402 MW 1 14 13 2 3 4 5 6 7 Ref. Ministerial Decree MEMR No 2067K/30/MEM/2012 9 8 10 11 12 • Sibayak-Sinabung • Sibual-buali • Sungai Penuh • Hululais • Lumut Balai & Margabayur 6. Gunung Waypanas 7. Cibeureum Parabakti 8. Pangalengan 9. Kamojang/Drajat 10. Karaha Cakrabuana 11. Gn. Iyang Argopuro 12. Tabanan 13. Kotamobago 14. Lahendong
GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT TO SUPPORT ACCELERATION OF GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT IN LINE WITH 10,000 MW POLICY STAGE II – EBTKE’SVISION 25/25 (5 % ENERGY MIX / 12.332 MW - 2025) GEOTHERMAL ENERGY DEVELOPMENT POLICY (PRES DECREE No. 5 / 2006; GOV’T REGULATION No. 3/2005 – No. 70/2010 : PERMEN ESDM. No. 5 / 2009; No. 2/2011; PERPRES No. 4/2010 : PERPRES No. 10/2011) LEGAL ASPECTS LAW, REGULATION, PERMIT IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MANAGEMENT, RISK ASSESSMENT, ENV MGT TECHNICAL ASPECT GGGR, OPERATIONAL, MAINTENANCE BUSINESS PORTFOLIO ECONOMIC APPROACH 1000 MW : 42.250 BOEPD 6.1 JT TON CER”S/YEAR
IDEAL GEOTHERMAL BUSINESS PROCESS IN INDONESIA COD US$ PRICE AND CONTRACT NEGOTIATION HEAD OF AGREEMENT Notice Of Resorces Confirmation Notice Of Intend to Develop • AMDAL / UKL / UPL (EIA/Environment Management Effort/Environment Monitoring Effort) • Location Permit • Permit of Land usage for ExplorationActivities – Forestry Minister • SIPPA (Surface Water Usage Permit) • IMB (Construction Permit) EPC FEED EXPLOITATION • AMDAL (EIA) • Location Permit • Land Usage Permit • SIPPA (Surface Water Usage Permit) • IMB (Construction Permit) EXPLORATION 2 Years 3 Years INVENTORY WKP
Steam Availability 2012 Pertamina aspires to achieve by 2015 2018 17 16 15 14 13 K Boepd Oil equivalent MW 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 9 9
KEY BARRIERS TO GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT IN INDONESIA Higher capital expenditure compared with other power generation technologies Cost of USD 35-50 Mn for preliminary studiesincluding exploration wells to prove the reserves without any external financing Development and exploration costs are solely borne by geothermal company and are not reimbursed by government unlike the practice in oil & gas industry Implementation of MEMR Decree on Feed In Tariff requires further negotiation with PLN as a single buyer Most of the geothermal reserves are located in protected forests and geothermal activities are not allowed to carry out in forest conservation areas Overlapping jurisdictions increases lead time and complexity as local authorities often block the projects approved by the central government Tariff agreement with PLN often comes back for the renegotiation, hence no guarantee on the price PLN off take is not guaranteed by government High upfront capital requirement Description Uncertainty on pricing Regulatory uncertainty Other risks Uncertain economics All these together mean that under the current environment, geothermal development projects are potentially high risk, especially for smaller operators Uncertain environ-ment
PGE PRODUCTION FIELD - OWN OPERATION 11 POWER PLANT UNIT – 4 ( 60 MW ) POWER PLANT UNIT 1,2 & 3 (30; 2 x 55 MW) KAMOJANG GEOTHERMAL FIELDS SIBAYAK GEOTHERMAL FIELD POWER PLANT UNIT-1 PRODUCTION CLUSTER UNIT-2 POWER PLANT UNIT-4 LAHENDONG GEOTHERMAL FIELDS
PGE GEOTHERMAL FIELDS UNDER JOC SCHEME WAYANG-WINDU GEOTHERMAL FIELDS (JOC-STAR ENERGY) PLTP 1x110 MW & 1x117 MW SALAK GEOTHERMAL FIELD (JOC-CHEVRON) PLTP 3x60 MW& 3x65 MW DARAJAT GEOTHERMAL FIELD (JOC-CHEVRON) PLTP 1x55 MW, 1x95 MW & 1x121 MW
Medan Manado Tanjung Karang Semarang Bandung UPCOMING GREENFIELDS DEVELOPMENT PLAN Kotamobagu Sinabung Sumurup Tambang Sawah Bukit Daun Margabayur Way Panas Ciharus Masigit-Guntur • Key Indicators: • New Geothermal Power Generation Capacity : ± 610 MW • Additional Power Generation (kWh per year) : ± 4800 million • Avoided CO2 : ± 4,5 million tonnes per Year Iyang Argopuro MAGMA
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