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Changing Missouri Demographics: Local Population Trends

This article discusses the changing population trends in Missouri, including the 2010 Census and the American Community Survey. It highlights the work of OSEDA in analyzing social and economic data to improve the well-being of communities. The article explores population growth, quality of life, representation issues, and resources for accessing demographic data.

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Changing Missouri Demographics: Local Population Trends

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  1. Changing Missouri Demographics: Local Population Trends January 22nd, 2010 Springfield, Missouri Tracy Greever-Rice PhD, Associate Director Office of Social & Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA) University of Missouri

  2. A few words about OSEDA Missouri Demographic Trends The 2010 Census The Decennial Census 2010 The American Community Survey (ACS) Understanding Local Missouri Communities Using ACS Applications http://mcdc1.missouri.edu/acsprofiles/acsprofilemenu.html Overview of Session

  3. Data Information Knowledge Wisdom OSEDA… Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU “The construction of knowledge involves the orderly loss of information, not it’s mindless accumulation.” -- Kenneth Boulding OSEDA collaborates with partners in the analysis of social and economic data in ways that contribute to improvements in the well-being of people, enterprises and communities.

  4. TRENDS… Total Population 2009 World: 6.8 Billion U.S.: 307 Million Mo.: 5,987,580

  5. Change in Population By State 2000 – 2008 Change in Population By State 2000 – 2008 Total Population 2009 World: 6.8 Billion U.S.: 307 Million Mo.: 5,987,580 Missouri 381,515 6.8% US 24,834,593 8.8%

  6. U.S. Increase 24.8 Million (8.8%) Six States account for 55% * * * * * *

  7. Using the latest 2009 Population Estimates to make projections for 2010 -- Missouri retains the 9th The December estimates show Arizona growing a little less rapidly… But, migration is being impacted by the recession, and “Complete Count” issues may make the difference.

  8. The Trends are Diverse: Regions within Regions

  9. More Population Estimates via OSEDA at MCDC.missouri.edu Sub-County Estimates for 2008 just released….Columbia officially over 100,000. OSEDA County Profiles Population Estimates

  10. TRENDS… Population Pyramids of Missouri Percent of Total Population 2000 2020 Male Female Male Female

  11. TRENDS…

  12. Quality of Life

  13. Quality of Life

  14. Mother of all address lists (enumeration) Only “Short Form” in 2010 (the count) Reapportionment and redistricting file by the end of 2010. Representation and Resource Allocation Issues: “Disproportionate Undercount” Hence: “Complete Count” Programs Instead of “Long Form” we have: “The American Community Survey” 2010 Census

  15. Nationwide, continuous annual survey collecting the information on the 2000 Census “long form” Demographic, Economic, Social and Housing From 1 in 6 households in 2000 to 1 in 8 now Three Million households a year Most definitive source of such data (allocations) Involves Margins of Error --- ( +/- ) like polls. OSEDA Web application uses bold font for low MOE… Three types of estimates each year based on size 1-Year -- 65,000 population or more (Available Now) 3-Year -- 20,000 population or more (Available Now) 5-year -- Less than 20,000 population (Coming fall 2010) American Community Survey

  16. Resources: Http://OSEDA.Missouri.edu Http://mcdc.missouri.edu Http://census.gov Applications Http://OSEDA.Missouri.edu Reports/Applications Demographics Profiles Trends http://mcdc1.missouri.edu/acsprofiles/acsprofilemenu.html http://mcdc1.missouri.edu/acsprofiles/acstrendmenu.html American Community Survey

  17. Public Use Mirco Areas (PUMS) Under 20K Period Estimates will be Available in the fall of 2010 Annual County Maps will then be possible from ACS

  18. Changing Missouri Demographics: Local Population Trends January 22nd, 2010 Springfield, Missouri Tracy Greever-Rice PhD, Associate Director Office of Social & Economic Data Analysis (OSEDA) University of Missouri

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