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Marketing Strategy in High-Tech Markets II. The Big Group Smack Down!. Define “High-Tech” and why are hi tech markets particularly dynamic? What do you consider the most important barriers to adoption of the Wearable Computer ?
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The Big Group Smack Down! • Define “High-Tech” and why are hi tech markets particularly dynamic? • What do you consider the most important barriers to adoption of the Wearable Computer? • Give an example of what you would consider a radical innovation (tech or no tech) and develop a short definition. • Contingent on the type of innovation, the role of marketing differs. How? • What would you call these and what do they have in common? • “Unit-one costs of HT products are often high, payback cycles of a new HT products shorter and shorter.” • Why is this so? • As a marketing consultant, what do you recommend a company do that has a breakthrough product on its hand ready to launch?
Why are High-Tech markets particularly dynamic? • No established rules of the game • Significant size economies • low entry barriers. Back
Barriers of Adoption • Perceived value • Institutional support • Observability • Compatibility • Ease of use • Reliability Back
Continuum of Innovations Incremental Radical • Extension of existing product or process • Product characteristics well-defined • Competitive advantage on low cost production • Often developed in response to specific market need • "Demand-side" market • New technology creates new market • R&D invention in the lab • Superior functional performance over "old" technology • Specific market opportunity or need of only secondary concern • "Supply-side" market Back
Contingency Theory Type of marketing strategy is contingent upon the nature of the innovation.
Examples of Implications of Contingency Theory: Breakthrough Incremental Back
Muskets/then machine guns • Steam ships • Automobiles • PCs • Digital photography
What is a disruptive technology? • Disruptive technologies typically have worse performance, at least in the near term. • But: They have features that a few fringe and generally new customers value and which represent a key source of competitive value in the future. • Products based on them are typically cheaper, simpler, smaller and frequently more convenient to use - often representing a new product architecture, design, and even market (category). • They often bring a new and different value proposition. • See Christensen: “The Innovator's Dilemma” Back
Characteristics Common to High-Tech Markets: Supply Side • “Unit-one” costs: when the cost of producing the first unit is very high relative to the costs of reproduction • Ex: development vs. reproduction of software • Demand-side increasing returns: When the value of the product increases as more people adopt it • Also called network externalities and bandwagon effects • Ex: telephone, fax, MS Word • Implications: may give away products for free (IM)
Characteristics Common to High-Tech Markets: Supply Side • Tradeability problems arise because it is difficult to value the know-how which forms the basis of the underlying technology • Ex: How much to charge for licensing the rights to a waste-eating microbe? • Knowledge spillover: Another type of externality that arises from the fact that technological developments in one domain spur new developments and innovations in other areas. • Ex: Human Genome Project
Common, Underlying Characteristics of High-Tech Markets: Demand Side Perspective • Market Uncertainty • Technological Uncertainty • Competitive Volatility
Market Uncertainty: • FUD factor • Customer needs • Anxiety over the lack of standards and dominant design (Laserdisc, DVD, DivX) • Pace of adoption • Inability to forecast market size
Technology Uncertainty: • Will it function as promised? • Timetable for new product development? • Who will fix customer problems? • What are unanticipated/unintended consequences? • (When) Will our technology be obsolete?
Competitive Uncertainty: • Who will be future competitors? • What will be “the rules of the game” (i.e., competitive strategies and tactics)? • What will “product form” competition be like? • competition between product classes vs. between different brands of the same product • Implication: Creative destruction?
Effects of Uncertainty? • Adoption rate! • There are five variables that have been cited as responsible for speed of technology adoption: • Relative Advantage: the degree to which an innovation is perceived as better than the idea it supersedes • Compatibility: the degree to which an innovation is perceived as consistent with existing values, technologies, past experiences, and needs of potential users • Complexity: the degree to which an innovation is perceived as relatively difficult to use and understand • Trialability: the degree to which an innovation may be experimented with on a limited basis • Observability: the degree to which the results of an innovation are visible to others (Wow-factor). • Rogers, “Diffusion of Innovation.”
Diffusion Rates • The printing press (~1440): • 400 years (1833, NY Sun). • The automobile (1885): • 75 years (market saturation in US around 1960) • The telephone (1876): • 85 years (full saturation in the 1960s) • The fax machine (1843): • 140 years (late 1980s) • The Internet (1968) • 35 years
Value: Perceived Need-Perceived Price • Variables essential to the successful uptake of technology: • Providing an infrastructure • Providing a function • Providing the right price point • Providing a compelling need to buy (make it a necessity).
Telegraph! Faster than Phone…Why? • Morse presented prototype of the electric telegraph to the US Congress in 1838 • by 1873 Western Union had carried more than twelve million messages • creation of the infrastructure which supported it. • cheap and predictable rates. • a shared language (global communication).
What is a disruptive technology? • Muskets/then machine guns • Steam ships • Automobiles • PCs • Digital photography
What is a disruptive technology? • Disruptive technologies typically have worse performance, at least in the near term. • But: They have features that a few fringe and generally new customers value and which represent a key source of competitive value in the future. • Products based on them are typically cheaper, simpler, smaller and frequently more convenient to use - often representing a new product architecture, design, and even market (category). • They often bring a new and different value proposition. • See Christensen: “The Innovator's Dilemma”
Continuum of Innovations Incremental Radical • Extension of existing product or process • Product characteristics well-defined • Competitive advantage on low cost production • Often developed in response to specific market need • "Demand-side" market • New technology creates new market • R&D invention in the lab • Superior functional performance over "old" technology • Specific market opportunity or need of only secondary concern • "Supply-side" market
Contingency Theory Type of marketing strategy is contingent upon the nature of the innovation.
Examples of Implications of Contingency Theory: Breakthrough Incremental
The Big Group Smack Down! • Define “High-Tech”. • What do you consider the most important barriers to adoption of the Wearable Computer? • Give an example of what you would consider a radical innovation and develop a short definition. • Contingent on the type of innovation, the role of marketing differs. How? • Give an example of what you would consider a disruptive technology and develop a short definition. • “Unit-one costs of HT products are often high, payback cycles of a new HT products shorter and shorter.” • Why is this so? • As a marketing consultant, what do you recommend a company do that has a breakthrough product on its hand ready to launch?
Why are High-Tech markets particularly dynamic? • No established rules of the game • Significant size economies • low entry barriers.
Continuous shortening of product life cycles, which if true leads to a serious dilemma: => High first part costs in innovation phase is associated with shorter pay-back cycles!
Concentrated vs. Differentiated • Pros and Cons? • Strategic Implications? • (Segmentation, timing, participation)
STP High innovation costs plus shortening PLC means strategically: • Enter as many market segments as possible at the same time to shorten pay-back time. • Develop a broad geographical strategy as low entry barriers allow competitors to exploit uncovered territory.
STP Three Entry Options: • Pioneers • Early Followers • Late followers What are some pros and cons of each?
STP Strategic Considerations: • Differentiation versus Standardization? • Price-Quantity (cost utility) versus preference oriented (buyer utility)? • Customer-orientation versus competitor-orientation? Back