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Climate Change: A Primer on Carbon Offsets and Trading. Mark van Soestbergen ICBE. Cypress Swamp Cafe Dec 12, 2007. What does this Change in Climate mean?. Temperatures are projected to rise an additional 2 – 5 ° C in the 21 st Century. We are here. Summer Arctic Sea Ice. 1979.
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Climate Change: A Primer on Carbon Offsets and Trading Mark van Soestbergen ICBE Cypress Swamp CafeDec 12, 2007
What does this Change in Climate mean? Temperatures are projected to rise an additional 2 – 5°C in the 21st Century We are here
Summer Arctic Sea Ice 1979 2000 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
What does this Change in Climate mean? “Many of the world's climate zones may disappear by 2100, leaving new ones in their place unlike any that exist today” “..we are going to be seeing climates that certainly are completely outside the range of modern human experience.." 26 March Scientific Americanarticle27 March Guardianarticle27 March IOL Reuters article
Summers will be scorchers These maps show the projected increase in average daily July heat index relative to the present. The largest increases are in the southeastern states, where the Canadian model projects increases of more than 25°F.
Florida • Reversal of summer-wet, winter-dry • Brand new animal, plant and human disease vectors • Sea level rise • Super storms
Expected sea level increase 21st Century: ~ 1.2 meter Featured, Treasure Island + 1 meter
Yikes, Climate Change!What to do? • Nothing • Adapt • Engage
Man invents the Kyoto Protocol! The Kyoto Protocol (KP) sets legally binding emissions targets for a basket of six greenhouse gases (GHG) for Annex I countries2. Together, they must reduce their emissions by 5.2% below 1990 levels over the commitment period 2008-2012.
Rich leads, poor follows The Kyoto Protocol allows for project-based transactions in the form of Joint Implementation (JI) in Annex I countries, and for the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) in non-Annex I countries. It also allows for direct emission trading between Annex I countries. JI, CDM, IET
Kingdom of MoroccoMinistry of Land-Use Management, Water and the Environment Moroccan CDM projects Energy Efficiency projects The First Carbon Exhibition in North Africa and Middle East Region Djerba, 22-24 September 2004 faouzi senhaji GERERE f.senhaji@iav.ac.ma CD4CDM Project
The first Carbon exhibition in North Africa and Middle East region – Djerba, September 22-24, 2004 ONE-Street lighting project Project description • Technical features : • Installed capacity : 3 MW (15,000 x 200 W) • Expected saving : 3 GWh / yr (200 W bulbs to replace 250 W bulbs) • Components : 15,000 LCB of 200 W & PM • Financial issues : • Total cost of the project : US $ 0.5 million (Cost per bulb: US $ 27.3) • Timing : • Starting date : 2005 • Crediting period : 2006-2015
Gasoline is 85.5% carbon 1 gallon of conventional gasoline becomes172 cubic feet / 4.87 cubic meters of CO2
To sustain one person, the United States produces 20 tonne of CO2 per year.
The atmosphere now holds 30% more carbon than a century ago. Humanemission rate in billiontC/yr 8 equilibrium Earth absorption ratein billiontC/yr 4.7 de-carbonization pathway time Latent atmospheric Carbon isabout 188 billion ton
Recommended links: http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/products/vis/gallery/index.html http://www.vets.ucar.edu/vg/categories/globalchange.shtml http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NPP/npp.html http://cdiac.ornl.gov/trends/emis/em_cont.htm http://climatechange.unep.net/jcm/ http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/wg1/index.htm Mark van Soestbergenmark@icbe.com 352 367 1144 tel 352 335 9140 fax Toward Climate Stability™