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WRAP 2002 Visibility Modeling: Summary of 2005 Modeling Results

WRAP 2002 Visibility Modeling: Summary of 2005 Modeling Results. Gail Tonnesen, Zion Wang, Mohammad Omary, Chao-Jung Chien, Yingqun Wang University of California, Riverside Zac Adelman University of North Carolina Ralph Morris et al. ENVIRON Corporation Int., Novato, CA.

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WRAP 2002 Visibility Modeling: Summary of 2005 Modeling Results

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  1. WRAP 2002 Visibility Modeling:Summary of 2005 Modeling Results Gail Tonnesen, Zion Wang, Mohammad Omary, Chao-Jung Chien, Yingqun Wang University of California, Riverside Zac Adelman University of North Carolina Ralph Morris et al. ENVIRON Corporation Int., Novato, CA

  2. Major areas include: BART and Control Strategy Modeling Sensitivity Modeling Source Apportionment Modeling Final versions of 2002 Typical and 2018 Modeling 2006 RMC Work Plan

  3. Goal: To support 308 SIPs and TIPs. 2018 Control Strategy Modeling to include: 2018 OTB Base Case 2018 OTW Base Case 2018 BART Control Case 2018 Additional Point Source Control Case 2018 Other Control Strategies 2018 Sensitivity Scenarios 308 Control Strategy Modeling

  4. 2018 Sensitivity Scenarios: Sensitivity to Fires: alternative fire management practices. Off-Shore Marine Emissions: sensitivity, alternative growth and control options for marine vessels. Effects of NAAQS control strategies: 8-hour O3 and PM2.5 attainment/reasonable further progress plans in nonattainment areas. Sensitivity of International Transport: alternative growth/control assumptions for Canada and Mexico. Dust Sensitivity: is CMAQ/CAMx model suitable tool for dust given uncertainties in emissions and poor performance? Other Sensitivities To Be Determined 308 Sensitivity Modeling

  5. Plan to use CAMx/PSAT version 4.3 Will model 2002 typical year. Focus on sulfate, nitrate, EC. Source regions to include each WRAP state; Canada, Mexico, and other RPOs. Will include each major emissions source category: Area, Point, Mobile & Off-Road; Fires; Biogenic. Source Apportionment Modeling

  6. Will redo both the 2002 Typical and 2018 modeling using the final versions of the emissions inventories in mid 2006. Final Projection Modeling

  7. blah blah Next Steps

  8. blah blah Next Steps

  9. Schedule? Anything else?

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