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A Case For Clean Energy. Ian Baring-Gould Sr. Engineer Energy Development in Island Nations – Pacific Island Energy Symposium Saipan, October 19-21 st 2010 With the support of Roger Taylor of NREL. Energy (Heat, Electricity & Fuel). Environment (Air & Water). Agriculture (Food).
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A Case For Clean Energy Ian Baring-Gould Sr. Engineer Energy Development in Island Nations – Pacific Island Energy Symposium Saipan, October 19-21st 2010 With the support of Roger Taylor of NREL
Energy (Heat, Electricity & Fuel) Environment (Air & Water) Agriculture (Food) Human Needs
So Why is Energy Important? Other than our way of life depends on it, it’s not really….
And to reach a high standard of living in other areas will require more energy • Although nations can obtain a high GDP with lower energy use (Japan and Europe) the direct link between increased GDP (and standard of living) and increased energy use is clear.
And it’s largely dependent on cheap oil. Where the global economy is very complex Resource Raw Materials Exploitation Processing Manufacturing Consumption Waste Heat After: Charles Hall, SUNY Syracuse, ASPO 2005
Total U.S. Oil Production U.S. Oil Production Big, New Discoveries & New ‘Technology’ ...only shift the curve 10000 kb/d AK DW 5000 kb/d Lower 48 1930 2050 0 kb/d 2010 Lower 48 Alaska Deepwater Source: Tom Petrie at Denver World Oil Conference
The Age of Oil 2010 1930 2000 2050 1970
7 Generations Span Our Great Grand Parents Our Grand Parents Our Parents Our Generation 80 20 Our Children Our Grand Children Our Great Grand Children 2100 2050 2000 1930 1970 The Age of Oil Peak Oil Graph from: ASPO.com - Colin Campbell 2004
Diesel fuel prices are currently – US$3.11/gal with futures trending upwards
And if it is local – then you don’t need to go out and get it. • Improved national security • Reduced energy dependency • Lower transportation cost and risk • Better foreign exchange • Lower conflict risk
Humanity’s Top Ten Problems for next 50 years • Energy • Water • Food • Environment • Poverty • Terrorism & War • Disease • Education • Democracy • Population 2003: 6.3 Billion people 2050: 9-10 Billion people Source: Nobel laureate, Richard Smalley
Three Great Challenges of the 21st Century Energy, Climate, Food It’s time to change direction The Perfect Storm SS Global Economy
Community Independence Self sufficiency Food Energy Water Skill Rebuilding Local Production Regional Sourcing Sufficiency & Enoughness Human Satisfaction “Community of Cooperation” Energy Security & Sovereignty Through Local Self-Sufficiency Economic Dependence Oil Imports Fuel at the Pump National Grid Coal-based Power Water Transport Foreign Manufacturing Agro-Industry “He who has the gold, makes the rules.”
Strategic Energy Planning Defining where you are, Where you want to go, What are your energy options when considering the wider implications, and Developing a plan to get there.
Carpe Ventem www.nrel.gov