1 / 13

OMS Development in Support of NRCS National Water and Climate Center

OMS Development in Support of NRCS National Water and Climate Center Presented by: George Leavesley Colorado State University ghleaves@engr.colostate.edu phone 970 492 7328. Issues in Developing a Complete Modeling Forecast System. Model Data Forecasting Analysis System integration.

vidar
Download Presentation

OMS Development in Support of NRCS National Water and Climate Center

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. OMS Development in Support of NRCS National Water and Climate Center Presented by: George Leavesley Colorado State University ghleaves@engr.colostate.edu phone 970 492 7328

  2. Issues in Developing a Complete Modeling Forecast System • Model • Data • Forecasting • Analysis • System integration

  3. Ensemble Performance • Model • Model selection • Current snowmelt model in OMS: PRMS • Future NWS Snow-17, SRM, … • Ensemble approach

  4. Model • Basin characterization and parameter estimation • GIS Weasel used for basin delineation, characterization, and parameterization • Integrate DogByte • Explore and develop regional parameter estimation methods

  5. Model • Precipitation distribution • XYZ and Detrended Kriging are currently available • Inverse distance and combined XYZ + inverse distance are being added • Plan to evaluate the performance of these and other methods in different climatic and physiographic regions

  6. Model • Calibration • Luca is integrated in OMS • Tools are available to estimate independent measures for step-wise model calibration • Solar radiation • Potential evapotranspiration • Water balance • Streamflow timing • Tutorials are being developed for Solar Radiation and PET estimation tools

  7. Model • Model state updating • Exploring manual and automated options for state updating • Dependent to some degree on selected data issues

  8. Data • Time-series data • Data retrieval tools have been developed • Meteorological, SNOTEL, streamflow • Need to establish an operational database • Spatial data • Many data types available • Basin characterization, solar radiation, snow, SNODAS, … • Need automated tools developed to process these data for real-time integration

  9. Forecasting • Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) has been incorporated in OMS • Viper can be integrated • A K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) climate generator has been developed for use with MMS data format and can be added to OMS • Downscaling methods for using atmospheric model output exist and can be added

  10. Analysis • Graphical tools in OMS • Statistical summary tools in OMS • Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis • PRMS Sensitivity Analysis is being added to OMS • Working with government and university community to obtain other methods for addition to OMS

  11. Real-time Climate and Streamflow Data Hydrologic Database NWCC Forecast Tools Object User Interface or DogByte Interface for data visualization and modeling Object Modeling System Modeling Framework System Integration: Database-Centered Forecast System

  12. Basins Selected for Initial Development Efforts • Big Wood at Haley, Idaho • East Fork Carson nr Gardnerville, NV • Sprague River nr Chiloquin, OR • Teton River nr Driggs • Yampa River near Maybell • Yellowstone River nr Corwin Springs

  13. Next Steps • Master Plan • Commitment • Resources • People

More Related