Federal Emergency Management Agency

1. Catastrophic Disaster Planning Fiscal Year 2007 Federal Emergency Management Agency

2. Catastrophic Disaster Planning The Role of FEMA “The primary mission of FEMA is to reduce the loss of life and property and protect the Nation from all hazards, including natural disasters, acts of terrorism, and other man-made disasters, by leading and supporting the Nation in a risk-based, comprehensive emergency management system of preparedness, protection, response, recovery, and mitigation”. - Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act of 2006 (Section 503)

3. CatastrophicDisaster Planning 15 National Planning Scenarios Natural Disaster #10 Hurricane #9 Earthquake Chemical Attack #8 Chlorine #5 Blister #7 Nerve Agent #6 Toxic Industrial Biological Disease #4 Plague #13 Food #14 Animal #2 Anthrax #3 Pandemic Radiological/ Nuclear/ Explosive Attack #12 Explosives Attack (IED) #1 Nuclear Detonation #11 Radiological Attack (RDD) Cyber Attack #15 Cyber

4. CatastrophicDisaster Planning Current Focus • All hazards approach to “Notice” and “No Notice” disasters with detailed emphasis on: • Hurricanes • Regions I, II, III, IV, VI, and IX • Caribbean and Pacific Area Division Offices • Earthquakes • Central US: New Madrid Seismic Zone • US West Coast: California • Mass Evacuations

5. Catastrophic Disaster Planning Budget • 2006 • Evacuation Planning (Gulf Coast Recovery Office) • Mass Evacuee Support Planning • ESF-6 Regional Mass Care Planning • Florida Catastrophic Planning • New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Planning • Total $20.0M • 2007 • New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Planning • California Catastrophic Planning • Florida Catastrophic Planning • Catastrophic Housing • National Shelter System • Debris Operations • Debris Technology • Public Assistance Program Management • Operational Planning Capability • Total $20.0M

6. CatastrophicDisaster Planning Partnerships to Meet the Challenge • Federal, State, local and Tribal partnership • DHS components • FEMA HQ and Regions • State Emergency Management Agencies • Other State agencies • Federal and Sector Specific Agencies (CI/KR) • Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) • Business, Industry and Voluntary Organizations • Academia

7. CatastrophicDisaster Planning Approach to the Challenge • Scenario-Driven Catastrophic Planning • Combines planning and exercise phases • Includes operational and planning personnel • Incorporates wide range of site-specific scenarios • Built on scenario-driven workshops • Produces functional plans ready for immediate use • Addresses jurisdictional conflicts • Can be exercised rapidly after development • Unified Response Approach integrates Private Sector, Critical Infrastructure, and Emergency Management communities into a single, coordinated response with Federal, State, Tribal Nations and other governmental entities

8. HSPD 5 Regional HURRICANE OPLAN Regional Pandemic Influenza CONOPS Catastrophic CBRNE CONOPS Catastrophic CBRNE CONOPS Catastrophic EARTHQUAKE CONOPS CatastrophicDisaster Planning Integration with the National Response Plan NATIONAL - STRATEGIC Concept of Operations 15 National Planning Scenarios PANDEMIC INFLUENZA CONOPS ----------- Synchronized and Layered ---------- REGIONAL - OPERATIONAL Operations Plan STATE & LOCAL - TACTICAL Emergency Operations Plan Incident Action Plans

9. FEMA Hurricane Contingency Plan 2007 Hurricane Planning Timeline October 2006 June 2007 Oct 2006 Compile 2006 Season AAR Establish Working Groups to address AAR Issues Lake Okeechobee Initiative Nov 2006 Incorporate AAR corrective action into 2006/2007 CONOPS DoD JDOMS Hurricane Conf Hurricane Season Critique USACE/FEMA/ESF/States Dec 2006 Distribute Director’s Guidance for Hurricane Season 2007 Jan 2007 Issue 1st Draft of 2007 CONPLAN 1st Comment Period Compile Initial Coordinating Draft (Interagency Input) Feb 2007 PFO/FCO Training ESFLG CONPLAN Synchronization Workshop South Florida Regional Planning Conference Regional Planning Workshops

10. FEMA Hurricane Contingency Plan 2007 Hurricane Planning Timeline October 2006 June 2007 Provide Director CONPLAN In Progress Review (IPR) Mar 2007 Regional Hurricane Preparedness Exercises 2nd Comment Period National Hurricane Conference Program (NOLA) Apr 2007 CONPLAN Final Coordinating Draft (Regional Input) NOC/NRCC Hurricane Tabletop Preparedness Exercise Florida Governor’s Hurricane Conference Florida Hurricane Exercise May 2007 NOC/NRCC Functional Exercise (CPX) Ardent Sentry Hurricane CONPLAN 2007 Published START of HURRICANE SEASON Jun 2007

11. ME VT NH MA CT RI NY NJ NV PA CA MD DE WV VA AZ OK AR NM TX KY LA NC TN SC GA AL MS HI FL 2007 Hurricane Season Regional Hurricane Exercises R-I Ardent Sentry 07 Hurricane Yvette Scenario • Each Region will develop a region-specific hurricane contingency plan. R-II NYC Coastal Storm Plan CAD (PR/VI) Scenario R-III Hampton Roads Chesapeake Bay Scenario R-IX Scenario R-VI GCRO New Orleans Scenario R-IV FL South Florida Scenario PAD Scenario

12. Florida CatastrophicDisaster Planning The Response Challenges • Impact of 2004 Florida Hurricanes • History of severe storms including 3 with category 5 status at landfall over the last 80 years • A category 5 hurricane could severely impact Miami area, population approximately 6M • Catastrophic failure of the Herbert Hoover Dike (HHD) around Lake Okeechobee: • “... will impact the lives and livelihoods of thousands of Floridians. It would be devastating to our economy, environment and quality of life. While preparing for the impacts of a dike failure is critical to prevent the loss of life, the priority should be preventing such a failure from ever occurring….” • –Former Governor Jeb Bush

13. Florida CatastrophicDisaster Planning Approach to the Challenge • Planning Process: County to FL Regions • FEMA is providing contract support directly to the state of FL • 7 senior emergency planners in Florida • 1 senior emergency planner in FEMA Region IV • 2 senior emergency planners at FEMA HQ • State generates guidance (templates) for annexes • Counties develop concept plan on how to complete annex template • State reviews/approves concept plans • Regional Workshops: • Scenario driven with Light Detection and Ranging (LIDAR) data collection • Integrates county annexes to develop a State regional plan that includes State and Federal support

14. New Madrid Seismic Zone CatastrophicDisaster Planning • The Response Challenges • No notice event not commonly recognized • Consequences eclipse Katrina • Large impact area - 126,575 Sq Miles • 44M people in eight-State region - (12M in high risk area) • Multiple jurisdictions with multiple governors • Significant infrastructure impacts • Response problems during multiple aftershocks • Estimated building loss -- $70B • Severe weather & significant evacuation issues Approximately 12 million people at high risk St. Louis 1.5-2 Million IL IN MO KY TN Rural Pop. 8-9 million 160–200 Cities AR AL MS Memphis 1-1.5 Million Directly Impacted States Indirectly Impacted States

15. New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge • Planning Process: State to Region to Federal • FEMA is providing contract support directly to the NMSZ states/Regions • 12 senior emergency planners in states/Regions (AL, AR, IL, IN, KY, MS, MO, TN, Regions IV, V, VI, VII) • 3 senior emergency planners at FEMA HQ • State generates guidance (templates) for annexes • State reviews/approves concept plans • Regional Workshops: • Scenario driven • Integration of local, State Regional, State and Federal response plans • Unified Response • Approach integrates Private Sector, Critical Infrastructure, and Emergency Management communities into a single, coordinated response with Federal, State and other governmental entities

16. New Madrid Seismic Zone Catastrophic Disaster PlanningNew Madrid Interim Contingency Plan • Fills immediate need-manage Federal response to catastrophic NMSZ Earthquake • Defines what Federal response should be if event occurs in immediate future • Modeling used to provide estimate of damages and losses • Identifies difference between projected losses and capabilities • Provides organizational architecture for direction and control • Outlines logistics concept of operations • Annexes contain checklists • Developed in parallel to NMSZ Catastrophic Planning Project

17. California Catastrophic Disaster Planning • The Response Challenges • Major impact to large metropolitan areas • Consequences would eclipse Katrina • Large area of impact - 155,959 Sq. Miles • Highly populated areas - 36M • Significant earthquake risk throughout State • Tsunami risk • Mass Evacuation • Significant infrastructure impacts • Response problems due to roadway collapse/blockage • Estimated building loss -- > $69B

18. California Catastrophic Disaster Planning Approach to the Challenge • Proven Regional, State and Local Emergency plans in effect • Los Angeles Venue to the NRP Catastrophic Incident Supplement • City of Los Angeles Health Emergency Response Plan • San Francisco Bay Area Regional Emergency Coordination Plan • Sacramento Valley Levee Response Plan • Golden Guardian Annual Earthquake exercise

19. Catastrophic Disaster Planning Pandemic Influenza • Assisted in development of DHS Pandemic Influenza Contingency Plan • Working with the DHS Incident Management Planning Team on PI planning Improvised Nuclear Devices & Radiological Dispersal Devices • Component contingency plan and interagency annex • Updating policy and procedures to support NRP’s nuclear-radiological response annex • Maintaining representation on NSPD-28 Nuclear Command and Control System Support Staff • Active in exercise support

20. Catastrophic Disaster Planning Mass Evacuations • Projects and Products: • National Response Plan Support Annex • Catastrophic Incident Supplement Appendix • Contingency Plan Annex • Evacuation Operations Manual • Recovery – Evacuee Support & Shelter Management • Authorities and References: • Post-Katrina Emergency Management Reform Act 2006 • Nationwide Plan Review • Hurricane Katrina Lessons Learned