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ARTS – Assessment of Regional and Territorial Sensitivity. Workshop Session 1.1 ESPON Seminar Krakow, Nov. 2011 Bernd Schuh (OIR). ESPON ARTS: The Task. to develop a simplified, evidence-based procedure of Territorial Impact Assessment (TIA)
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ARTS – Assessment of Regional and Territorial Sensitivity Workshop Session 1.1 ESPON Seminar Krakow, Nov. 2011 Bernd Schuh (OIR)
ESPON ARTS: The Task • to develop a simplified, evidence-based procedure of Territorial Impact Assessment (TIA) • to analyse the impact of EU policy proposals taking the sensitivity of regions into account • testing the TIA quick check with a set of 12 directives • supplying policy makers with an operational procedure that could work as a “evidence based policy support”
Policies Regions Exposure Territorial sensitivity Territorial impact The theoretical approach The vulnerability concept Exposure: the intensity by which EU directives and policies involve particular “fields” of the territorial realm (e.g. surface water quality, emissions, sectoral production) (Territorial) Sensitivity: how single regions are sensitive to, or evaluate, impacts in specific exposure fields, due to their socio-economic and geographical characteristics Territorial Impact : the potential effect (in the future) of a given EU policy as a consequence of exposure and regional sensitivity
The result: TIA Quick Check An excel tool and a procedure • a user-friendly methodology that allows to make a ‘quick and dirty’ ex-ante analysis of the potential impact of EU policy proposals on the development of regions • combining • a standardised indicator-based Excel –tool with • a means to systematically collect expert knowledge in a workshop setting
The TIA quick check 9 Steps to assess the territorial impact of policy proposals • The conceptual model : How do a directive affect the development of regions? • Dealing with discrete cause/effect chains (branching) • Which types of regions are affected? (regional exposure) • What is the intensity of exposure on different fields? • What is the territorial impact on regions? • Do the results make sense? (plausibility and quality check) • Which regions are affected in which fields? (mapping t) • What are the policy implications? (adaptive capacity discussion) • How to communicate the results (write-up)
Result Maps Effects of Directive of recognition of qualification on migration balance in countries of origin
RegionsaffectedbyDirective on airquality – Branch a) economicgrowth (GDP/ cap.) RegionsaffectedbyDirective on airquality – Branch b) pollutants in air Some results – TIA of directive
Experiences of the Project: Development of an excel tool and a procedure • The standard TIA quick check • helps to identify the relevant thematic fields that are effected by a policy proposal. • allows to select NUTS2 regions with a potentially high positive or negative impact. • helps to set a focus an further and more detailed impact analysis. • The advanced TIA quick check • allows users to define special indicators describing the exposure to policy proposals and the regional sensitivity • provides the technical framework for the vulnerability analysis • can serve for a more detailed analysis of a specific potential impact of policy proposals.