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Ecological Niches of Three Jay Species in North America. Kevin Bracy Knight Jenna McAleer. Our subjects…. Steller’s Jay ( Cyanocitta stelleri ) Blue Jay ( Cyanocitta cristata ) Western Scrub-Jay ( Aphelocoma californica ). animaldiscovery-chanel.blogspot.com. sportsyakima.com.
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Ecological Niches of Three Jay Species in North America Kevin Bracy Knight Jenna McAleer
Our subjects… • Steller’s Jay (Cyanocittastelleri) • Blue Jay (Cyanocittacristata) • Western Scrub-Jay (Aphelocomacalifornica) animaldiscovery-chanel.blogspot.com sportsyakima.com calliebowdish.com
Known Distributions Blue Jay
Known Distributions Blue Jay & Steller’s Jay
Known Distributions Blue Jay, Steller’s Jay and Western Scrub Jay
Phylogenetic Relationships De Los Monteros & Cracraft 1997
Phylogenetic Relationships Bonaccorso & Peterson 2007
Our questions Can we discern the ecological niches of these three Jay species? a. What climatic or environmental factors are likely contributing to their current distribution patterns? b. How are their ranges likely to change in the future?
Methods • Known distributions from ORNIS2 • Edit/clean up data to include only NA localities (.csv) • Range maps from Nature Serve • Current & future climatic data from Bioclim (.asc) • Run MaxEnt to generate niche models • Map in QGIS
MaxEnt Results Western Scrub Jay Bio 3 = isothermality (diurnal range (weekly diff. b/w max and min temp)/annual temp range Bio 1= annual mean temp Bio 19 = precip of coldest quarter Bio 18 = precip of warmest quarter
MaxEnt Results Blue Jay Bio 1 = annual mean temp Bio 4 = temperature seasonality Bio 18 = precip of warmest quarter Bio 15 = precip seasonality
MaxEnt Results Steller’s Jay Bio 1= annual mean temp Bio4 = temperature seasonality Bio3 = isothermality 2/7 (diurnal range (weekly diff. b/w max and min temp)/annual temp range Bio19 = precip of coldest quarter
Future predicted increase in niche overlap betweenBlue Jays and Western Scrub Jays (2080s)
Future predicted niche overlap increase between Western Scrub Jay and Steller’s Jay (2080s)
Future research… • Compare our data with niche models for past geographic distributions of each species • Generate and compare niche models for vegetation