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“Local Elections, Long-Term Effects? The Hong Kong District Council Elections of 2011” – Survey Results Presentation. Professor Michael DeGolyer Director of Hong Kong Transition Project Professor of Government and International Studies , Hong Kong Baptist University of Hong Kong
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“Local Elections, Long-Term Effects? The Hong Kong District Council Elections of 2011” – Survey Results Presentation Professor Michael DeGolyer Director of Hong Kong Transition Project Professor of Government and International Studies , Hong Kong Baptist University of Hong Kong Professor Lo Shiu Hing Associate Dean (Research and Postgraduate Studies) of Faculty of Arts and Sciences , Hong Kong Institute of Education
Conclusion • The overall estimated number of elected and automatically elected candidates of the DAB/FTU will be 97-107. • If the Civic Force (predicted gain 14) is included as DAB’s peripheral organization, then DAB/FTU/CF gains will be 111-121. • The overall estimated number of elected and automatically elected candidates of the DP will be 71-81.
Conclusion • Please note that there are lots of independent candidates, who are divided into three groups: pro-Beijing ones (Civic Force), pro-democracy (Neodemocrats, Land Justice League, Shun Chau Youth Service Center, Power for Democracy). • Their role will be important after the elections as they will be the target of cooptation by the government and Beijing.
Conclusion • The voter turnout will not be high as the government has not made extra efforts at promoting the elections through the reinjection of election forums (which are held by district groups, RTHK and Cable TV). • The lack of election forums makes citizens difficult to understand the platform of candidates easily and comprehensively. This issue should be tackled in the future.
Conclusion • Candidates’ profile should be improved on the website of the 2011 District Councils elections, because a few candidates do not indicate their age (perhaps a privacy issue to a few of them). • Ideally, candidates’ leaflets should be more accessible to the public through the website of the District Councils elections. • Overall, more work will have to be done to increase citizen interest and participation.
Conclusion • For the first time in Hong Kong`s District Council elections, the Power for Democracy nominates some candidates -- a deliberate strategy on the part of the pan-democrats to nominate inexperienced/young candidates to stop pro-Beijing candidates from easy victory • Many candidates are young, including those affiliated with political parties. This signals a generational change in party growth and electoral participation – a healthy sign