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Dive into the impact of climatic oscillations on the Black Sea ecosystem, featuring long-term trends, multi-decadal variations, cold-warm cycles, and more. Explore how atmospheric and ecosystem indices align with sunspot numbers and NAO, shaping marine physical climate over the years.
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Karadeniz Ekosisteminde İklimsel Değişimlerin Rolü Temel Oguz oguz@ims.metu.edu.tr http://www.ims.metu.edu.tr/cv/oguz/main.html Ulusal İklim Bilimleri Kollokyumu Nisan 2005, Mersin Oguz (2005), Oceanography, 18(2) METU IMS
Climatic Oscillations Basin-averaged winter (December-March) SST variations • Features: • Long-term warming trend ~0.25oC / 100 years • Variations at multi-decadal time scales (4 phases in ~130 years) • sequence of cold-warm cycles with ~5 years duration
Climatic Oscillations Atmospheric index Ecosystem index All indices exhibit remarkably similar oscillations with sunspot numbers. They are also consistent with the NAO except at few periods. Marine physical climate index Warm years Cold years
1974-Severe 1993-Severe 1979-Mild 1964-Severe 1964