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Project Budgets. Four elements in most project budgetsDirect labor costs ? wage multiplied by timeOverhead ? expenses incurred to maintain environmentFringe benefits ? directly proportional to direct labor (est: 30-40%)Auxiliary costs ? project specific costs. Management Reserve. AKA: slush fund, fudge factor, etc.Agree/DisagreeProvides flexibility?Encourages overruns?.
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1. MS4801 Project Management Budget Planning &
Resource estimating
WEEK 6
2. Project Budgets Four elements in most project budgets
Direct labor costs – wage multiplied by time
Overhead – expenses incurred to maintain environment
Fringe benefits – directly proportional to direct labor (est: 30-40%)
Auxiliary costs – project specific costs
3. Management Reserve AKA: slush fund, fudge factor, etc.
Agree/Disagree
Provides flexibility?
Encourages overruns?
4. Project Variance
5. Dynamics of Accurate Estimating Unique or Unpredictable Factors
Skills and knowledge of project team unknown
Technology-based projects face questions of reliability
Expect a certain number of changes during implementation, but there’s no way to predict how many
Overestimated projects may not be pursued, while underestimated may appear “doable” Business benefits must be determined ahead of time
Incorrect timing decisions will cost money
Individual performance based on ability to meet estimates
6. Classic Mistakes (1) Avoid making “ballparks” in elevators
RESPOND: There are a lot of factors (list some of them) I wouldn’t want to mislead you by offering a guess on that…
Offer to get a sheet of paper to write details
Take your best guess and double it.
Refuse
(2) Confusing an estimate with a bid
(3) Padding the estimate
7. Golden Rules Have the right people make the estimates
Base the estimate on experience
Demonstrate how estimate is tied to product/project specifications
8. Different Estimates for Different Decision Points Three Levels of Accuracy
(accuracy takes time, costs money)
Idea Evaluation – only function is to determine if further accuracy is warranted
Order of Magnitude (ROM) – extrapolations from other projects
Detailed Estimate – bottom-up considering all the steps in a project
9. Scheduling Resources Discuss Power Train Case
What recommendations would you make to Jones?
(2) What approaches might you take maximize the scheduling software, while at the same time ensuring the “right” people are assigned to projects?
10. MS4801 Project Management Week #6
Estimating Risk & Planning Contingencies
11. Risk Assessment Process Step 1: Risk identification
Step 2: Risk assessment
Step 3: Risk response development
Contingency planning
Contingency funding
Step 4: Risk response control
Change control management
12. Risk Assessment FormMS Office 97 to XP
13. Risk Severity Matrix
14. Risk Response Matrix
15. Step 4: Risk Response Control
16. Alaska Fly-Fishing Expedition See handout