100 likes | 126 Views
Explore the technical potentials and deployment opportunities for renewable energy sources in Europe. Learn about solar, geothermal, biomass, wind, hydro, and ocean energy prospects along with the benefits of transitioning to renewables, such as climate protection, energy security, and economic growth. Discover the role of feed-in tariffs in promoting renewable energy technologies and how they contribute to industrial development and job creation.
E N D
Potentials for Renewables in Europe Wolfram Krewitt DLR Institute of Technical Thermodynamics Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment Stuttgart eufores 7th Inter-Parliamentary Meeting Berlin 5-6, 2007
Solar resources in Europe Global horizontal irradiation, 1. October 2005, 12:00-13:00 W/m²
PV electricity generation potential 1. October 2005, 12:00-13:00 MWh/km² actual demand: 345 GWh potential generation: 164 GWh
Renewable energy technical potentials in Europe 250 EJ/y 200 Geothermal heat Solar heating Biomass energy crops 150 Biomass residues Geothermal (el) Ocean (el) 100 Wind (el) Hydro (el) Solar PV (el) Solar CSP (el) 50 0 RES potentials gross primary energy consumption EU-25 in 2005 Source: Ecofys, DLR
opportunities Renewable energy deployment potentials • target oriented RES expansion • 2°C target (climate protection) • security of supply • economic constraints • cost reduction of RES-technologies by running through the learning curve • increase in fossil fuel prices and CO2-costs • most RES-technologies gain competitiveness within the next 15 years • structural constraints • current supply structure, power plant stock turnover, building up of new industrial production capacity
6.000 Efficiency 5.000 Import RES Ocean Energy Solar Thermal 4.000 PV TWh/a Geothermal 3.000 Wind Hydro Biomass 2.000 CHP fossil Gas&oil 1.000 Coal Nuclear 0 2003 2010 2010 2020 2020 2030 2030 2040 2040 2050 2050 80% RES electricity RES deployment potentials in the electricity sector Energy [R]evolution Scenario , OECD Europe 6.000 Efficiency 5.000 Import RES Ocean Energy Solar Thermal 4.000 PV TWh/a Geothermal 3.000 Wind Hydro Biomass 2.000 CHP fossil Gas&oil 1.000 Coal Nuclear 0 2003
PJ/a RES deployment potentials – primary energy Energy [R]evolution Scenario , OECD Europe 45% energy savings compared to ‘business-as-usual’ 50% renewables
Costs of electricity supply 500 450 400 ‘wisdom of market’? 350 /a € 300 Billion 250 200 150 100 50 0 2003 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2°C Scenario - efficiency measures 2°C Scenario - electricity generation Reference - electricity generation
Costs of electricity supply 500 450 policy incentives & wisdom of market! 400 350 /a € 300 Billion 250 200 150 100 50 0 2003 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2°C Scenario - efficiency measures 2°C Scenario - electricity generation Reference - electricity generation
Renewable energy perspectives • renewable energy potentials in Europe significantly exceed the energy demand • rapid RES deployment ensures compliance with climate protection targets • renewable energies hedge against increasing energy prices • investment in renewable energy technologies offers options for industrial development and employment • societal and structural innovation is required to facilitate the transformation process • feed-in-tariffs proved to be the most successful support instrument