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Pike County Hazard Mitigation Plan Overview

Learn about the Pike County Hazard Mitigation Plan, its timeline, team members, and public participation requirements. Review the plan updates, risk assessments, and mitigation strategies to reduce long-term risk from various hazards.

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Pike County Hazard Mitigation Plan Overview

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  1. 2017 Pike County Hazard Mitigation Plan Project Synopsis

  2. Hazard Mitigation “Mitigation” - A sustained action taken to reduce or eliminate long-term risk to life and property from a hazard event • or – Any action taken to reduce future disaster losses

  3. DMA 2000 Purposes and Requirements • The Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000 (DMA 2000) • Establishes a national program for pre-disaster hazard mitigation • Formalizes State administration of a Hazard Mitigation Grant Program • Requires State and Local All-Hazard Mitigation Plans as a condition of pre-disaster mitigation funding • Annual Grant Programs: PDM and FMA • Post-Disaster Grant Program: HMGP

  4. Requirements for Local Mitigation Plan Updates • Updated Risk Assessment - a factual basis for activities proposed in the Mitigation Strategy section include: • Overview of hazards (type, location, probability) • Vulnerability analysis (impact on buildings, infrastructure, economy, development trends) • Multiple jurisdictions (specific to each town/borough/city) • Updated Mitigation Strategy – a blueprint for reducing losses identified in the risk assessment • Include the opportunity for public comment and for relevant agency and stakeholder involvement • Plan Maintenance and Adoption

  5. Hazard Plans Timeline • Timeline • Federal Act in 2000 • Requires plan update every 5 yrs • Pennsylvania HazMit Plan in 2006 • Update in 2010 and 2013 • Draft anticipated in 2018 • Pike County HazMit Plan in 2006 • Update in 2012 and 2017 • Next update anticipated in

  6. Organization of the Team • Pike County HMP Coordinator (Michael Mrozinski) • Contract Consultant (Tetra Tech) • Steering Committee • Michael Mrozinski; Brian Snyder; Sally Corrigan; Tim Knapp; Robert Melvin; Alison Miskiman, TetraTech • Planning Team • Steering Committee • Municipal representatives • Stakeholders • General Public

  7. Municipal Participation • Attend meetings/workshops • Provide data and complete worksheets • Support public and stakeholder outreach • Visit the project website at www.pikecountypahmp.com • Place tri-fold brochure out for the public • Review and provide feedback on Draft and Final HMP • Adoption – Governing Body must pass an Adoption Resolution • Implement and Maintain the Plan

  8. Trifold – Public Outreach

  9. Citizen Survey (~10 minutes) https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/PikeCitizenSurvey

  10. Hazard Mitigation Planning Process • Update the Capabilities Assessment • Update the Risk Assessment • Update the Mitigation Strategy • Update Other Sections of the HMP • Submit the HMP for Review • Adopt the HMP • Implement the HMP • Yearly review and 5 year update cycle

  11. Capability Assessment Results • Planning and Regulatory • Existing Hazard Mitigation Plan • Emergency Operations Plan • Participation in NFIP • Subdivision and Zoning Regulations

  12. Capability Assessment Results • Administrative and Technical

  13. Capability Assessment Results • Fiscal

  14. Capability Assessment Results • Political Capability

  15. Capability Assessment Results • Self-Assessment (staff)

  16. Update the Risk Assessment • These are the Five Steps to Assess Risk: • Identify Hazards • Profile Hazards • Inventory Assets • Estimate Losses • Evaluate Mitigation Options

  17. Hazards of Concern

  18. Dam Failure • Hazard Profile: • 82 Dams; 39 High-Hazard* • 7 dam failures since 1955 • Everything within inundationzone is considered vulnerable *National Performance of Dams Program

  19. Drought • Hazard Profile: • History (1980 to August 2016) • 18 drought-watch declarations • 16 drought-warning declarations • 13 drought-emergency declarations (PADEP, 2016) • 1 FEMA drought declaration (1964-1966) • Exposure • 55,795 acres of farmland • $2.97 Million per year in agricultural products • $259,000 in livestock, poultry, and associated products (USDA, 2012) • According to USDA, $0 in lost crop insurance payments since 1948

  20. Drowning • Hazard Profile: • History • 1980 to 2008: 56 deaths due to drowning in the Upper Delaware River(NPS, 2008) • According to Pike County EMA, there have been 214 water rescues since 2010 • Since the last HMP one drowning in Westcolang Lake in Lackawaxen Township(July 2016)

  21. Earthquake • Hazard Profile: • History • No historic earthquakes with epicenters in the County • Annualized Losses: $129,570 • Losses from 500-year mean return period (MRP) event • $11,398,663 in building damages • 8,781 tons of debris • Losses from 2,500-year MRP event • $110,564,051 in building damages • 48,071 tons of debris

  22. Environmental Hazards • Hazard Profile: Environmental Hazards (Hazardous Materials) • Types of hazards • Hazardous materials (HazMat) releases (fixed or in-transit) • Oil and gas well incidents (including Marcellus Shale, oil and gas production and distribution) • History • 134 HazMat incidents reported in CAD (2010 to Present) • No Marcellus Shale incidents in the County • Exposure: • HazMat sites • Major routes that transport hazardous materials • Natural gas transmission pipelines • Expected damage depends on the incident

  23. Extreme Temperature • Hazard Profile: Heat and Cold

  24. Flood • Hazard Profile: Riverine Flood, Flash Flood, and Ice Jam • History of flood events • 5 FEMA Flood Disaster Declarations since 1954 • Remnants of Hurricanes Connie and Diane (1955) • Remnants of Hurricane Agnes (1972) • Flash Flood (April 2005) • Flood along Delaware (2006) • Hurricane Irene (2011) • Ice Jam Historic Events (CRREL) • Shohola Creek • Lackawaxen and Delaware Rivers

  25. Flood • Risk Assessment Results • Estimated 514 people in the 1% annual chance floodplain (2010 Census) • Estimated $188,590,000 in exposed property value • Expected Losses (1-Percent Annual Chance Flood) • $3,258,305 in property damage (including residential, commercial, and other occupancy types) • 17,097 tons of debris • 1,865 households displaced • 854 people seeking shelter

  26. Invasive Species • Hazard Profile: • Aquatic Invasives • Emerald Ash Borer • Purple Loosestrife • Hemlock Woolly Adelgid • Japanese Knotweed • Gypsy moth • Ticks and Mosquitos

  27. Landslide • Landslide • History: Recent events in County • Exposed County population • 31.7% of the population is in the high- susceptibility/moderate-incidence zone • Exposed property value • $3,565,516,000 in the high-susceptibility/moderate-incidence zone • Expected losses depend on the nature and extent of the landslide

  28. Lightning Strike • Hazard Profile: • History: • 5 lightning events that caused injury or fatality (1950 – 2013) • Exposure: • All exposed outdoors in thunderstorm

  29. Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Nor’Easter • Hazard Profile: • History • 18 Tropical Cyclone Events within 65 Nautical Miles of Pike County since 1850’s • 5 federally declared hurricane and tropical storm events since 1954; • Several major events in the last 15 years: • Vulnerability Assessment Results • Annualized Losses: $58,878

  30. Hurricane, Tropical Storm, Nor’Easter • Losses from 100-year mean return period (MRP) event: TS wind speeds • $549,080 (Structure Only) in building damages • Less than 100 tons of debris • Losses from 500-year MRP event: TS and Cat 1 wind speeds • $7,094,001 (Structure Only) in building damages • 124 tons of debris

  31. Nuclear Incidents • Hazard Profile: • Susquehanna Steam Electric Station in Luzerne County, PA • Indian Point Power Plant in Westchester County, NY • History: No major accidents

  32. Pandemic • Hazard Profile: • Primary pandemic/infectious disease focus: • Ebola, Flu, Lyme, Measles, West Nile, Zika • History: Four major pandemics in the last 100 years • Exposure: Entire County is vulnerable • Increased vulnerability: • highly/densely populated areas • Visiting tourists • No hospitals in the County

  33. Radon Exposure • Hazard Profile • History • Estimated 40% homes in PA have elevated radon levels • Tests > 4 pCi/L (picoCuries per liter) • Exposure: Entire County (no known safe level of exposure) • Impacts Include • Lung cancer • Contaminated groundwater • Economic loss – radon mitigation system (average $1200)

  34. Terrorism • Hazard Profile: • History • Threats made in several municipalities (e.g., bomb threats) • Considerations • Influx of people from New York metropolitan area seeking shelter

  35. Tornadoes and Windstorms • Hazard Profile: • History: 40 events since 1950 • 9 Tornadoes since 1954 • Exposure: Entire County • Expected Losses: 500-year MRP (66-76 miles per hour [mph]) • $7,094,001 in damages to building stock • 124 tons of debris (structural only)

  36. Transportation Accidents • Hazard Profile: • History • 10,168 vehicle accidents (2010-2016) • 38 fatalities from automobile crashes (2010-2014) • Two pedestrian fatalities (2010-2014) • Potential impacts and other damages • Release of hazardous materials • Interruption of critical supply/access routes • Traffic congestion

  37. Urban and Fire Explosions • Hazard Profile: • According to Pike County EMA, there have been 1,472 urban fires (2010-2016). • Mainly residential structure fires and explosions. • Exposure and vulnerability • Urban areas have greater vulnerability • Compliance with current fire safety codes

  38. Utility Interruptions • Hazard Profile: • Often a secondary impact of another hazard event • According to Pike County EMA, 1,554 utility incidents (2010 – 2016) • Exposure: Entire County • Regional events are usually the most severe • Impacts to vulnerable populations

  39. Wildfire • Hazard Profile: • History • 225 wildfires within Pike County between 2002-2008 • April 2016 – 16-Mile Fire • Near border of Monroe and Pike Counties – more than 8,000 acres burned

  40. Wildfire • Area of Exposure to Wildland-Urban Interface Zone • 50,454 residents exposed (87.9% of total population) • 34,620 structures exposed (90.1% of total number of buildings) • Approximately $11.4 billion in exposed replacement cost value (87.4% of total RCV) • 99 critical facilities exposed

  41. Winter Storm • Hazard Profile: • 70 major winter storm events since 1950 • 2 disaster declarations since 1954 • Exposure • Entire County is vulnerable to heavy snow and ice storms • Over $8 billion in structural value • Impacts • Vulnerable populations • Damage to roofs and building frames • Cost of snow/ice removal • Damage to roadways and infrastructure

  42. Ranking of Hazards

  43. Update the Mitigation Strategy • Review Goals and Objectives • Determine Status of Mitigation Actions • Identify New Mitigation Actions/Projects • Conduct Mitigation Strategy Workshop • Review with Planning Team • Conduct Public Meeting • Mitigation Strategy 5-Year Mitigation Plan Review • Adopt the Plan - Completed

  44. Questions? Thank you for your time! Michael Mrozinski mmrozinski@pikepa.org

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