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Changes in the Israeli VC Market: From an Emergent to a Developed Market. Gil Avnimelech & Dafna Schwartz School of Management Ben Gurion University, Israel 5 th Bi-National Regional Science Workshop Tel Aviv, 29-30 April 2007. Objectives.
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Changes in the Israeli VC Market: From an Emergent to a Developed Market Gil Avnimelech & Dafna Schwartz School of Management Ben Gurion University, Israel 5th Bi-National Regional Science Workshop Tel Aviv, 29-30 April 2007
Objectives • This paper analyzes the process of development of a VC industry in a new geographical market • We examine the changes that have occurred in the Israeli VC market since its emergence at the early 1990s toward its consolidation stage • We identify changes in the VC market size, structure, concentration, investment patterns and performances.
The Israeli VC Industry • High VC investments as a share of GNP – 1.2% during 1997-2006, compared with 0.48% in the U.S.. • High Share of VC investments in Early Stages - 44% of VC investment during 1997-2006, compared with 25% in the U.S., and 23% in EU. • High Share of VC investments in ICT - 74% of VC investment during 1997-2006, compared with 55% in the U.S. • Diversified Global Exit Channels –almost all exits are in Global capital markets – IPOs in NADSAQand in other global capital marketand acquisitions by MNEs.
Related Literature • Evolutionary Economics (Winter & Nelson 1982; Dosi 1982, 84; Freeman, 1988; Arthur 1990) (Anderson & Tushman, 1990; David, 1994; McKelvey, 1998; Perez, 2002) • Product/Industry Life Cycle (Abernathy & Utterback, 1975, 1978, Klepper, 1996, 1997, 1999, 2000, 2001) (Malerba & Orsenigo, 1996; Audretsch & Feldman, 1996, Simons, 2001) • Geographical Economics - Clusters (Marshell, 1890; Krugman, 1991; Audretsch & Feldman, 1986, 2003) (Maskell, 2001; Saxenian, 1994; Boschma & Lambooy, 1999; Fujita & Thisse, 1996) • Venture Capital & Entrepreneurship (Chan, 1983; Act & Audretsch, 1990Timmons & Bygrave 1992;Berglof, 1994) (Himmelberg & Petersen, 1994; Hellman & Puri 2002; Wright & Robbie, 1998) (Marx, 1998; Gompers & Lerner 1999, 2001; Repullo & Suarez, 2004 )
The Main Arguments • The services provided by VCs should be analyzed as innovative services within the financial markets. • When VC industry enters a new geographical market, in many aspects, it follows similar patterns to an innovative product life cycle. • A new VC industry will initially include a few but extremely innovative agents. • As the industry matures it becomes much more competitive and the VC agents become less innovative.
Israel's high Tech ClusterSelected Structural Elements (1969-2006) Sources: IVC (2007), USPTO (2007), IAEI (2007)and authors processing
VC Emergence 1993-1998 • Triggered in 1993 by Yozma created a critical mass of activity VC Industry Emergence • Few VC agents – Extremely innovative agents • Rapid development of the high tech cluster demand for VC services • Rapid growth of NASDAQ, of global high tech sectors and of Global VC industry Exit opportunities Accelerated growth of VC activity in Israel VC Industry Development
VC Emergence & DevelopmentStartups’ Foundation: 1986-2005 Source: IVC 2007
VC Emergence & DevelopmentVC Raised & Invested: 1991-2006 (M$) Source: IVC 2007
Toward Consolidation • Entry of a significant number of foreign VC agents to Israel. • A solid base for acquisitions of Israeli startups – significant number of MNE active in Israel • More diversified exit channels for Israeli startups. • First VC companies complete a full VC cycle and raise third and forth funds. • Overcoming the external high tech crisis • Only successful VC raise new fund.
Entry of Foreign VCInvestments of Israeli vs. Foreign VCs (M$) Source: IVC 2007
Not Only VCs Finance StartupsVC-backed Startups 1991-2006 Source: IVC 2007
Less High-Risk InvestmentsStages of VC Investments 1997-2006 Source: IVC 2007
More Competitive IndustryA Dominant Group of Leading VCs Sources: IVC (2007) and authors processing
Characteristics of Israeli Startups that were targets of M&As 1997-2006 Sources: IVC (2007) and authors processing
Characteristics of Israeli Startups that had IPOs on NASDAQ 1997-2006 Sources: IVC (2007) and authors processing
Characteristics of Consolidation • Relative stability in VC investments • Continued stream of startup creation with realistic closure rate (50%-70%) • More diversified VC market. • More conservative industry - less early stage and high risk investments. • Much lower returns – larger investments and many rounds & investors in each startup
Conclusions • When VC industry enters a new geographical market, in many aspects it follows similar patterns to a product life cycle. • A new VC market will initially include a few but extremely innovative agents, which gain very high returns. • As the industry matures it becomes much more competitive and conservative, therefore it will be less innovative and take lower risks and consequently have significantly lower returns. • This have significant policy implications.