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CLIMATE CHANGE AND SUSTAINABILITY J.SRINIVASAN DIVECHA CENTRE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE INDIAN INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE BANGALORE. Sustainable development defined as development that "meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.
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CLIMATE CHANGE AND SUSTAINABILITY J.SRINIVASAN DIVECHA CENTRE FOR CLIMATE CHANGE INDIAN INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE BANGALORE
Sustainable development defined as development that "meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs Brundtland Commission, 1987
“The economic imperialism of a single tiny island kingdom (England) is today keeping the world in chains. If an entire nation of 300 million took to similar economic exploitation, it would strip the world bare like locusts.” Mahatma Gandhi, 1928
Heatwave: August 2003 Land surface temperatures, summer of 2003, vs. summers of 2000-04. NASA satellite spectrometry 35,000-50,000 extra deaths over a 2-week period
Climate Change • and • India • India contributes less than 5% to global warming • India has many more urgent and short term challenges related to population growth and water shortage
5 55% Developed Nations 4 CO2 emissions (PgC y-1) 3 45% 2 2000 2010 1990 CO2 Emissions ( from fossil fuels) Developing Nations Le Quéré et al. 2009, Nature-geoscience; CDIAC 2009
Global Warming is a symptom of a much larger problem The degradation of the quality of air,water and soil
Sustainability doesn’t happen overnight. It takes time before it is truly embedded in the way one conducts business Dr David Bresch, Swiss Re
TATA STEEL Tonne of CO2 per tonne of crude steel produced
RENEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGY Deutsches Museum (2003)
Richard A. Feely, Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, NOAA, 2008
We are on the cusp of an energy transformation, driven by the rapidly falling cost of solar power….If you still think of solar power as some kind of hippie fantasy, blame our fossilized political system, in which fossil fuel producers have both powerful political allies and a powerful propaganda machine that denigrates alternatives…. Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize(Economics)
We’re just a few years from the point at which electricity from solar panels becomes cheaper than electricity generated by burning coal….if we priced coal-fired power taking into account the huge health and other costs it imposes, it’s likely that we would already have passed that tipping point Paul Krugman, Nobel Prize(Economics)
CONCLUSIONS • Businesses cannot bring about the needed changes alone. • They need governments to regulate • They need financiers to reward moves towards sustainability. • Ultimately, citizens need to provide the driving forces for new • economies through their decisions as consumers • The ability of citizens to balance long term human interests as citizens, parents and neighbours in making short-term consumer choices will have a significant impact on the feasibility of a transition to a new sustainable global economy • From “Future of Sustainability” • The World Conservation Union, 2006
The role of the scientist is increasingly to provide policy-relevant information and recommendations to government. Politicians are notoriously bad at dealing with scientific uncertainty, and when faced with it are prone to use science selectively Nick Brooks, Tyndall Centre for Climate Research
Courtesy Reiner GrundmannSchool of Languages and Social Science,Aston University, UK Senate Resolution 98 (Hagel-Byrd Resolution) U.S.Senate would not ratify any treaty that would: (a) impose mandatory greenhouse gas emissions reductions for the United States without also imposing such reductions for developing nations, or (b) result in serious harm to our economy.
In climate science as in medical science, prevention is better than a cure, but not everybody is wise enough to act early Richard Somerville Scripps Institution ofOceanography
Air Pollution Among the 15 most polluted cities in the world 12 are in Asia
Convective outflow of South Asian pollution by Li et al, GRL,2005