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Truck and Rail Freight Trends at Selected U.S.-Canadian Border Crossings. Chris Dingman Northern Border Transportation Specialist United States Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration. TBWG Spring Plenary Minneapolis, Minnesota April 19, 2011 . Presentation Outline.
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Truck and Rail Freight Trends at Selected U.S.-Canadian Border Crossings Chris Dingman Northern Border Transportation Specialist United States Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration TBWG Spring Plenary Minneapolis, Minnesota April 19, 2011
Presentation Outline • Importance of Freight Movements to the economies of the United States and Canada. • Truck Freight/Commodity trends for Detroit and Buffalo and what might factors might impact those trends. • Rail Freight trends among the Top 10 Highest Volume crossings focusing in particular on two groups: the Largest 3 and Next 7.
Why Focus on Freight along the U.S./Canadian Border? • Canada is the United States’ largest trading partner and annually accounts for more than 20% of U.S. Exports. • In 2009, the U.S. exported more (in US $ value) to Canada than to Mexico and China combined. • 35 U.S. States count Canada as their largest export market. • In 2010, surface transportation trade with Canada was almost $1.3 Billion (US) per day. Sources: U.S. Department of Commerce, Brookings Institution, Bureau of Transportation Statistics-North American Transborder Freight Data
Truck FreightDetroit, Michigan/Windsor, OntarioBuffalo-Niagara Falls, New York/Niagara Falls-Fort Erie, Ontario
Vehicles and Vehicle Parts • Vehicles and vehicle parts are the largest volume commodity at the Detroit and Buffalo crossings. • Vehicle related freight was $45.4 Billion in 2010 or 41% of the total freight passing through Detroit. • Of the $45.4 Billion in vehicle related freight, $29 Billion (63.9%) is shipped via truck. • Buffalo’s vehicle related freight for 2010 was about 21% of its total volume ($15.6 Billion). • The auto industry plays a major role. Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics-North American Transborder Freight Data
Big 3 Automakers Market Share for Select Years 1965: 90.6% 1979: 79.6% 1998: 68.8% 2003: 59.4% 2008: 46.9% 2009: 43.7% 2010: 44.5% Source: Ward’s Automotive and Prof. Mark Perry, University of Michigan-Flint
Big 3 Automaker Trends • 2010 is the first year that the Big 3 have gained market share since the mid-1990s. • Many analysts are projecting additional Big 3 market share growth through 2015. • New vehicle technology will have a significant impact.
Rail Freight TrendsSelected Crossings Source of all data in this section: Bureau of Transportation Statistics-North American Transborder Freight Data Base Maps Source: ESRI
Largest 3 and Next 7 • The three highest volume (US$) Northern Border Rail Freight crossings are: • Detroit, MI/Windsor, ON • Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY/Fort Erie-Niagara Falls, ON • Port Huron, MI/Sarnia, ON • The next seven highest volume crossings (US$) are: • International Falls, MN/Fort Frances, ON • Portal, ND/North Portal, SK • Blaine, WA/Douglas, BC • Champlain-Rouses Point, NY/Lacolle, QC • Pembina, ND/Emerson, MB • Eastport, ID/Kingsgate, BC • Sweetgrass, MT/Coutts, AB
Largest 3 Rail Crossings Port Huron Buffalo Detroit
Next 7 Rail Crossings Sweetgrass International Falls Eastport Portal Pembina Blaine Champlain
Total Rail Freight Volume of Top 10 Northern Border Crossings 2010 (US $)
Percentage of 3 Largest Freight Rail Crossings and Next 7 Crossings Total Volume of Top 10 Crossings in US$ for 2000 and 2010
Summary • Northern Border has significant economic impact on the U.S., Canada, and the World. • It appears truck freight volumes are at or near pre-recession levels. • Truck Freight volumes are impacted by trends in commodity type. Vehicles/vehicle related freight is the highest volume commodity in value at the busiest Northern Border crossings. • Recent trends show Rail Freight volumes spreading out along the entire Northern Border.
Thank you! Christopher Dingman Northern Border Transportation Specialist FHWA-Michigan Division (517) 702-1830 christopher.dingman@fhwa.dot.gov