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Tashkent Terror: Cyclist Probability Analysis & Comparison to Tour de France History

Learn about the probabilities of crashing in cycling races like the Djamolidine Abdoujaparov incident vs. 2011 Stage 1 crash, and understand if all riders have the same risk. Explore intriguing race scenarios with statistical insights.

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Tashkent Terror: Cyclist Probability Analysis & Comparison to Tour de France History

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  1. Stage 5 The Tashkent Terror

  2. Djamolidine Abdoujaparov The most ferocious, most feared cyclist in Tour de France history... But it didn’t always go his own way...

  3. 158 racers went into the final corner, three crashed... • If you were one of the cyclists what is the probability that you crashed? • Did everyone have the same probability of crashing? • Justify your answer

  4. 2011 – Stage 1 Crash • 13 riders were knocked off in a crash 2km from the finish. There were 189 riders in the race at the time. • Was the probability higher of being knocked off than in the Abdoujaparov crash? • Was everyone equally likely to be involved? • Why?

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