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2003 CID Trends May 1, 2003. Office Market Trends Presentation. 2003 CID OFFICE TRENDS COMMITTEE. Lacy Howe, Peek/Howe Real Estate, Inc. – Chairman Dianne Bankston, Larry E. Bankston Appraisals Steve Legergne, Sealy & Falgoust Real Estate Branon Pesnell, NAI Latter & Blum
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2003 CID Trends May 1, 2003 Office Market Trends Presentation
2003 CID OFFICE TRENDS COMMITTEE • Lacy Howe, Peek/Howe Real Estate, Inc. – Chairman • Dianne Bankston, Larry E. Bankston Appraisals • Steve Legergne, Sealy & Falgoust Real Estate • Branon Pesnell, NAI Latter & Blum • Carlos Slawson, LSU Real Estate Research Institute • Jonann Stutzman, JTS Interests • Collier Thornton, Thornton, Harvison, and Rhodes Real Estate • Debbie Usrey, Latter & Blum • Brad Way, Peek/Howe Real Estate, Inc.
Panelists • Brad Way • Tom Cook • Ben Johnson • George Kurz • Edward Rotenberg
Brad Way, Moderator • Senior Property ManagerPeek /Howe Real Estate, Inc. • Over 20 years in the Commercial real estate field • Specializes in commercial management and leasing
Tom Cook • Owner, Appraisal Services • Over 23 years in the real estate Appraisal field • Past President of the Louisiana Chapter of the Appraisal Institute • Past President of CID • Current Trends Chairman Before Trends AfterTrends
Ben Johnson, CCIM, CPM, SIOR • Sales Manager, Latter & Blum • Over 28 years in the Commercial and Industrial real estate business • Formed Johnson Properties in 1983 which he sold to Latter & Blum in 1995 • Sales Manager for Latter & Blum’s Commercial brokers
George Kurz • Partner, Kurz & Hebert Real Estate
Edward Rotenberg, SIOR • Associate Broker, Sealy & Falgoust Real Estate • Over 18 years in the Commercial real estate business • Industrial member of SIOR • Former Board Member of CID • Specializes in sales and leasing of industrial and commercial properties.
Office Occupancy 1. The LSU Office Market Study for Fall of 2002, indicates that although occupancy is down from Fall, 2001, there was at least 114,000 s.f. added to the A & B office inventory during this time period.What’s “up” with that? The “Opportunity Rate”
Bon Carré “Bon Carré will be full in 12-18 months”- Ben Johnson and Tom Cook, Trends 2001
Bon Carré 2. Other than “build-to-suit” any hope for speculative general office space?Is it enough to really care?
Fair Competition 3. Competing on a Level Playing Field?What do Tax Incentives and Foundations have to do with developing prime real estate?
Ascension andLivingston Parishes 4. Ascension and Livingston are the fastest growing parishes in the State. Will office follow?If so, any significant players relocating?Who are the significant players?
Interest Rates 5. Interest Rates have been near historically low levels for a long time. When they go up – what affect will they have on:A. Leasing ?B. Sales?C. The highly leveraged?
Downtown 6. According to the LSU Study, downtown Baton Rouge appears to be outperforming most other markets;- Is this really happening?- What continued affect will downtown have on suburban markets?- What will pop its “bubble”?
Office Segments 7. Many Changes are occurring in these fields:A. MedicalB. Engineering / EnvironmentalC. Dot-ComD. Sublease- Who is occupying space?- What are their plans?- Who’s it going to affect?
Predictions 8. Where is the “Growth Spot” for office in the next 12 months?
2003 CID Trends May 1, 2003 Office Market Trends Presentation