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The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts

This expert workshop explores the role of occupations in skills supply and demand forecasts. It discusses the use of occupations as inputs and results in forecasting, and highlights the importance of focusing on occupations in data collection and analysis. The workshop also covers the changing nature of sectors and the introduction of the NACE rev.2 and ISCO 08 classifications. It provides insights into employment shares by occupation in the EU-27 and offers two potential solutions for forecasting occupational trends. The workshop concludes with a discussion on occupation skills profiles and the coordination characteristics, qualifications, knowledge, skills, and competences required in different occupations.

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The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts

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  1. The role of occupations in the skills supply and demand forecasts Vladimir Kvetan Cedefop InGRID Expert workshop New skills new jobs: Tools for harmonising the measurement of occupations Amsterdam, 10-12 February 2014

  2. Occupations in the forecasts • Occupation as inputs • Occupations as results • Further focus on occupations

  3. NA vs. LFS • Where do you work? / Where do you live? • better fit in models / more details • statistical reports / survey data

  4. NACE rev.2 and ISCO 08 • NACE • change in philosophy of sectors • new sectors (mainly 1 digit) • 2008 and 2009 data available for both • ISCO • no time series intention • no transformation year (matrix) • timing of introduction

  5. ISCO 08 regrouping

  6. ISCO 08 regrouping (2)

  7. Employment shares by occupation EU-27 (% total), 2008-2011 Source: Eurostat, ELFS

  8. Employment shares for ISCO 1 by country Source: Eurostat, ELFS

  9. Two solutions • Constant share of ISCO 08 • relatively easy • not reflecting reality • constant shares in sectors • Past trends continue • difficult task • trends and changing occupational structure • additional inputs from countries

  10. Occupations as results • ISCO 08 • 30 countries, sectors, qualifications • Net change + replacement demand • Available online • www.cedefop.europa.eu • main results and detailed data

  11. Occupations as results

  12. Occupation skills profiles • Coordination characteristics • level of qualification requirement • field of study • Main characteristics • knowledge • skills • competences • Supplementary characteristics • occupaitonal interests • working values

  13. Qualifications cross sectors Source: Cedefop, OSP workbooks (2014)

  14. Qualifications in jobs Source: Cedefop, OSP workbooks (2014)

  15. Thank you for your attention Vladimir Kvetan More information: www.cedefop.europa.eu or skills-analysis@cedefop.europa.eu

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