210 likes | 472 Views
Tracy Rolstad TSS Chair. Data Needs for Simulation of GIC Feb 2014 Mostly Background…Data Needs List Is Short. Why are we discussing this?. Because we are being told to do this DHS “Jason” group report (Space Weather) http://www.fas.org/irp/agency/dod/jason/spaceweather.pdf
E N D
Tracy RolstadTSS Chair Data Needs for Simulation of GIC Feb 2014 Mostly Background…Data Needs List Is Short
Why are we discussing this? • Because we are being told to do this • DHS “Jason” group report (Space Weather) • http://www.fas.org/irp/agency/dod/jason/spaceweather.pdf • The Jason group is very influential in guiding National Policy…and they did in the case of GMD • Enter FERC/NERC • As directed by “We the people…” • In the form of the US Congress (hold the political debate please!...)
JASON • JASON • Independent group of scientists which advises the US Gov’t on science and technology. • JASON members all have security clearances (TS/SCI). Comprised of physicists, biologists, chemists, oceanographers, mathematicians, and computer scientists. Selected for scientific brilliance. Have included 11 Novel Prize laureates and several dozen members of the US Academy of Sciences. • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/JASON_(advisory_group)
JASON Finding • Ok…these folks are very smart and very well connected…and rather level headed • “Because mitigation has not been widely applied to the U.S. electric grid, severe damage is a possibility, but a rigorous risk assessment has not been done. We are not convinced that the worst-case scenario of [26] is plausible. Nor is the analysis it is based on, using proprietary algorithms, suitable for deciding national policy.”
Politics In Action https://www.federalregister.gov/agencies/federal-energy-regulatory-commission EOP ??? FERC Order 779 (May 2013) JASON GMD Report (Nov 2011) NERC EOP-010-01 (01/22/2014) NERC EOP-010-01 (03/22/2014) FERC Assessment (Apr 2012)
Operations is Up First • FERC Order 779 • Docket No. RM12-22-000; Order No. 779 • EOP-010-01 R1 (03/24/2014) Ugh…
Queue the Rigorous Assessment • FERC Order 779 • Docket No. RM12-22-000; Order No. 779 • WECC might be able to get data in advance of need…if we act NOW! Seems to me that assessments involve modeling and simulation
Resources on GMD • JASON • http://www.fas.org/irp/agency/dod/jason/spaceweather.pdf • FERC • http://www.ourenergypolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/FERC_Report.pdf • NERC • http://www.nerc.com/comm/PC/Geomagnetic%20Disturbance%20Task%20Force%20GMDTF%202013/GMD%20Planning%20Guide_approved.pdf
Foundational Approach • Measure GMD/GIC • Generally speaking you measure things that you might wish to model (or assess) • Doable…but who HAS done this? • BPA has in the NW • Anyone else?
Modeling Capabilities • Can WECC do this now? • Absolutely! • GE PSLF • PTI PSS/E • PowerWorld Simulator • Others…
GMD Data Needs (Credit to PTI) • What WECC needs • Substations (as an object) • Location (accurate Lat/Long) • Grounding resistance • Transformer Winding resistance • Vector Group (D-Y, Y-Y, etc) • GIC Blocking • # of cores (i.e. legs) • K factor (relates DC ground current to MVAr losses)
Details on Transformers Autotransformer? Yes/No
Cores/Legs on Transformers • Apparatus Engineers know this… 3 legs or cores 5 legs or cores 1 2 3 4 5
Station Grounding Resistance Grounding Resistance Probably not digital Paper copy somewhere North—South? East-West? Ohmic value < 10 ? Use 100 foot test?