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This vignette explores the resilience of Buffalo, New York by examining the city's ability to anticipate, prepare for, respond to, and recover from shocks and stresses. It analyzes various factors such as economic performance, infrastructure, civic engagement, and environment to determine the city's level of resilience. The research highlights the challenges and promises of studying resilience in a local context.
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Resilience = the ability to anticipate, prepare for, respond to and recover from ashock or stress
Shock, Stress Resilience A Resilience Model Performance, e.g., of the economy, infrastructure, civic engagement, environment Non-resilience Time
Natural features, human capital, industry mix, political structure, social capital, legal context, demographics… Actors, policies, institutions, culture Resilience = f (assets and endowments Methods: Linking Assets to Success and Resilience + response)
business local political norms universities state law & relations cdcs Actors Institutions labor elected officials fiscal rules/tax systems ethnic/ racial groups federal law & relations faith-based orgs. land use regulations regional identity workforce development values, norms Culture Policies social policy history/ stories transportation policy priorities Response Elaborated
(A delay tactic….)Of which system, over what time, to which challenge?
preparation phase performance phase A reminder… Resilience = the ability to anticipate, prepare for, respond to and recover from ashock or stress
Buffalo Metro Economic Resilience “Performance Phase,” 1970-2000 Chronic Shocks, Stresses Manufacturing peers (n=14) Performance:population change, job change, income change, poverty change Rustbelt peers (n=17) New York peers (n=9 or 10) 1970 1980 1990 2000
Buffalo Metro Economic Resilience “Preparation Phase,” 1970-2000
Resilient, but Ephemeral Resilient, by intention Strong Performance Weak Not resilient, but Nice Try Not resilient, Neglectful Weak Strong Preparation Is Buffalo Resilient? Finally, An Answer
Three Conclusions 2. Resilience research is full of challenges: conceptual, methodological, analytical 3. Resilience research is full of promise: links assets, interventions and outcomes, many under local control