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The Scholarly Journal and its Future Development. Alice Keller, ETH-Bibliothek Zurich 22nd IATUL Conference, 29 May 2001 , Delft. What will the electronic journal of the future look like?. Replica of the printed medium?. Online publication with enhanced features?.
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The Scholarly Journal and its Future Development Alice Keller, ETH-Bibliothek Zurich 22nd IATUL Conference, 29 May 2001, Delft
What will the electronic journal of the future look like? Replica of the printed medium?
Or, will there be no peer-reviewed journals at all? Los Alamos E-Print Archive
Selected Results of the Delphi Survey on the“Future Development of Electronic Journals”
The Expert Panel • 45 inter-national specialists
„Future Development of Electronic Journals“ Oct. 1999 Return 87% Feb. 1999 Return 91% July 1999 Return 93% Round 1 Round 3 Round 2 Feedback Feedback
Selected Results from the Delphi Survey 1. Electronic journals: a publication platform in transition 2. Increasing product diversity 3. Changes in scholarly communication 4. A way out of the serials crisis? 5. Digital preservation 6. New models for pricing and accessing electronic journals
1. Electronic journals: a publication platform in transition • Currently predominantly digital doppelgängers. • For the future we expect “real” electronic journals with enhanced features using new technologies. • Electronic journals: primary distribution outlet or a useful add-on?
Digital doppelgängers Query: The current situation with digital doppelgängers represents a transient period. (median: 2005)
2. Increasing product diversity as a new challenge • Multiple presentation formats of one journal. • Enhanced features can increase value (and costs). • Greater product diversity demands more flexibility in libraries.
Journal of the future: what will it look like? • Customised collection of articles, put together according to the users’ personal interest profiles. • Articles will be tagged with quality labels and stored in large knowledge environments. • Articles will be replaced by dynamic information objects that represent versions of a paper over time. All options are possible. Possibly along side each other.
3. Changes in scholarly communication • Other publication platforms will prove to be more efficient and effective than journals are (especially in the area of communication and distribution). • Quality control remains the most important contribution of the scholarly journal.
The journal in scholarly communication Query: Journals with peer-review will re-present the most important form of formal scholarly communication.
4. Serials crisis • Crisis or revolution? • Digital doppelgängers alone won’t eliminate the deficiencies in the journal system. • New technologies offer solutions in various areas: • Alternative access models (consortia, electronic document delivery, pay-per-use access) • Alternative pricing models (e.g. SPARC) • Do-it-yourself publishing
5. Digital preservation: no easy answers • Currently print editions serve as archival copies. • This will be discontinued in the second half of the decade. • Who will be responsible for digital preservation? • Archiving as national role (national depositories) • Archiving as a co-operative task (national depositories + international subject-specific archives, commercial providers for selected services)
Query: In which year will libraries stop subscribing to printed versions of major scholarly journals for archival purposes? Median: 2007 (never: 2,6%) Query:In which year will the average article have so many interactive and/or multimedia features, that printing it will only convey part of the information? Median: 2006 (never: 2,6%)
6. New Pricing and Access Models • Core journals are available with no restrictions via license agreements. • Less important journals are available via pay-per-use systems. • Consequences of widespread introduction of pay-per-use systems are not clear. • The real advantages of consortia remain controversial.
Query: Libraries will in future offer unrestricted access to core journals through license agreements and pay-per-use access to journals of secondary importance. Agree 87,2% Don‘t agree 7,7% (Not valid: 5.1.%)
Considering the variety of options and requirements it is likely that librarians will in future be confronted with a wide range of - different publishing formats - different access models - different cost and pricing models Choosing the right option will be our challenge for the future
The End Presentation: http://www.ethbib.ethz.ch/pub/vortr2001.html Publications: http://www.ethbib.ethz.ch/pub/pub2001.html Keller, Alice: Zeitschriften in der Krise: Entwicklung und Zukunft elektronischer Zeitschriften. Berlin, 2001. Keller, Alice: Elektronische Zeitschriften im Wandel: Eine Delphi-Studie. Wiesbaden: Harrassowitz Verlag, 2001. (Bibliotheksarbeit, 10)