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Deaths from smoking. in Portugal. Deaths from smoking in Portugal. Particular emphasis is given to the number of deaths in middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69) Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net.
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Deaths from smoking in Portugal
Deaths from smokingin Portugal • Particular emphasis is given to the number of deathsin middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69) • Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net • This presentation provides estimates of the number of deaths caused by smoking in Portugal
Source of data: “Mortality from Smoking in Developed Countries, 1950–2000” • Uses WHO mortality data for lung cancer and for other diseases, and UN population data • Updated edition of a 1994 book, authored by an international team of scientists: – Richard Peto, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Oxford – Alan Lopez, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Queensland – Jillian Boreham, Senior Research Fellow, University of Oxford – Michael Thun, Chief of Epidemiology, American Cancer Society www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Portugal Deaths from smoking, 1950 to 2000 • About 63% (125,000) of them were still in middleagewhen they died • This was about one in twelve of all the deaths inmiddle age during this period (125,000 out ofthe 1.5 million deaths at ages 35-69) • About 200,000 people died from smoking during this 50-year period in Portugal www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Portugal, year 2000 Annual deaths from smoking • About 4,000 die in middle age from smoking • Many of those killed in middle age would have lived on for 10, 20, 30 or more good years • About 23 years of life are lost, on average, by those killed in middle age by smoking • Smoking kills about 8,100 people a year in Portugal www.deathsfromsmoking.net
8,100smoking 4,769*non-medical Murder/assault Falls Suicide Drowning Road accidents Poisoning Plane crashes Fires Train crashes Floods/storms Accidents at work Other natural disasters Accidents at home Other accidents *in year 2000 Portugal, year 2000 Smoking causes about twice as many deaths as all non-medical causes put together www.deathsfromsmoking.net
1,800vascular (heart disease, stroke and other diseases of the arteries and veins) 3,400 cancer* 1,500other 1,400 respiratory *includes 2,100 (73%) ofthe 2,870 lung cancer deaths Portugal, year 2000 Smoking kills 8,100 people a year,from many different diseases www.deathsfromsmoking.net
3,300 (26%)from smoking 3,400 (16%) from smoking 21,500 total cancer deaths 12,700 male 100 (1%)from smoking 8,800 female Portugal, year 2000 About one in six of all cancer deathsis due to smoking www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Male deaths in middle age from smoking • This pattern is seen first in middle age, then in old age • The next three slides concentrate on male deathsin middle age • The main pattern of increase and, eventually, decrease in premature deaths from smoking is at a more advanced stage among men than among women www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Portugal, year 2000 About one in five of all deaths inmiddle-aged men is due to smoking* *3,900 (22%) of the18,000 deaths at ages 35-69 www.deathsfromsmoking.net
• 28 die in middle age* • 6 of these 28 deaths are from smoking 6 28% *risks at year 2000death rates for ages 35-69 Portugal, year 2000 Of 100 men aged 35 years … www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Smoking All causes 43% 2 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 40% 3 41% 3 41% 5 43% 5 38% 6 34% 6 33% 6 31% 6 28% 6 *risks at period-specificdeath rates for ages 35-69 Portugal, 1955-2000 Male death in middle age: changing hazards* www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Portugal, year 2000 Summary for the whole population In Portugal: • Smoking kills about 8,100 men and women every year • About 4,000 die in middle age from smoking • Smoking causes about twice as many deaths as all non-medical causes put together • About one in six of all cancer deaths is due to smoking www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Messages for the individual smoker • Those killed in middle age lose many years • Stopping smoking works • Even in early middle age, those who stop (before they have lung cancer or some other fatal disease) avoid most of their risk of being killed by tobacco • Stopping before middle age works even better • The risk is big: about half are killed www.deathsfromsmoking.net
Deaths from smoking:an electronic resource • www.deathsfromsmoking.net • Published by • International Union Against Cancer (UICC), Geneva: Switzerland, 2006 • Funded by • Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), University of Oxford • International Union Against Cancer (UICC) • Fogarty International Center, US NIH • UK Medical Research Council • Cancer Research UK • Project team Richard Peto, Judith Watt, Jillian Boreham • Project management Sinéad Jones • Advice and support Steve Woodward, Konrad Jamrozik, Lesley Walker, Trish Cotter • Design bwa-design.co.uk