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CONTENT. Introduction & definitions Where are we in SA? What is wrong in SA? Challenges Summary. Definitions: Food Security. Availability : Enough – Market forces Affordability : Ability to pay – Government policy (growth) Safe and nutritious – regulate & research.
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CONTENT Introduction & definitions Where are we in SA? What is wrong in SA? Challenges Summary
Definitions: Food Security • Availability: Enough – Market forces • Affordability: Ability to pay – Government policy (growth) • Safe and nutritious – regulate & research
Where are we in SA? • UN millennium goals: US$1/day half @ 2025 – already achieved! • New target is $2.50/day
What is Wrong in SA? • Food Security at National level is 100% • Food Security at household level is not in place (25%)
National Level: What’s working? • Free market • Research • Technology (GMO’s) • Information (SAGIS, NCEC, SAGL, weather) • Development programs • Tariff policy • Good financial systems & market • Best farmers
Household level: What is not working? • Infrastructure not sufficient • Job creation • Allowances used for non-food • Land Reform unproductive • Communal Land not in production • Education system in shambles
Household level: What is not working? Cont • Access to finance for developing farmers • Children at head of families • Crime pays: Alcohol, drugs, etc WE NEED A BRIDGE!
Pillars for the Bridge • Partnerships: Government and private sector • Support services • NCEC and S&DC • Remove mistrust • Speak bad about one another • Belief only the worse • Do not listen to each other: Poverty vs profits • Baggage of the past
Pillars for the Bridge cont • Favorable agricultural policy (BFAP) • Excellent infrastructure • Roads, rail, ports, electricity, water, research capacity • Expansion of irrigation • Culture of training and mentorship
BILL GATES’S WISDOM: Gr 12’s Rule 1: Life is not fair – get used to it! Rule 2: The world doesn’t care about self-esteem. The world will expect you to accomplish something BEFORE you feel good about yourself. Rule 3: You will NOT make $60,000 a year right out of high school. You won’t be a vice-president with a car phone until you earn both. Rule 4: If you think your teacher is tough, wait till you get a boss. Rule 5: Flipping burgers is not beneath your dignity. Your Grandparents had a different word for flipping burgers: they called it opportunity. Rule6: If you mess up, it’s not your parents’ fault, so don’t whine about your mistakes, learn from them.
BILL GATES’S WISDOM: Gr 12’s cont Rule 7: Before you were born, your parents weren’t as boring as they are now. They got that way from paying your bills, cleaning your clothes and listening to you talk about how cool you thought you were. So before you save the rain forest from the parasites of your parents’ generation, try delousing the closet in your own room. Rule 8: Your school may have done away with winners and losers, but life HAS NOT. In some schools, they have abolished failing grades and they’ll give you as MANY TIMES as you want to get the right answer. This doesn’t bear the slightest resemblance to ANYTHING in real life.
BILL GATES’S WISDOM: Gr 12’s cont Rule 9: Life is not divided into semesters. You don’t get summers off and very few employers are interested in helping you FIND YOURSELF. Do that on your own time. Rule 10: Television is NOT real life. In real life people actually have to leave the coffee shop and go to jobs. Rule 11: Be nice to nerds. Chances are you’ll end up working for one.
Challenges • Population 2012 = 50 mil • Population 2030 = 59 mil • Grain consumption 2012 = 14 mt • Grain consumption 2030 = 25 mt • Plus bio fuel and electricity
Challenges • Maize currently 4.5 t/ha new 6.5t/ha • Wheat currently 3,0t/ha new 9.1t/ha • Soya 1.7 t/ha new 2.1t/ha Think differently!
SA Scenario • Maize currently 4.5 t/ha new 6.5t/ha • Wheat currently 3,0t/ha new 9.1t/ha • Soya 1.7 t/ha new 2.1t/ha Think differently!
SA Scenario • Food production is in trouble – attention to agriculture • Leadership is to do the right things – come with proposals • Exciting times ahead for grains/oil seeds • Not business as usual – power is shifting • For God’s sake - do something brave!