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ANALYSIS OF CENSUS RESULTS FOR EVIDENCE BASED DECISION MAKING

Explore the evolution of population censuses in Tanzania, analyze 2002 and 2012 census data, and address challenges faced in data analysis. Get insights into demographic indicators, thematic reports, and indicators for development programs.

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ANALYSIS OF CENSUS RESULTS FOR EVIDENCE BASED DECISION MAKING

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  1. ANALYSIS OF CENSUS RESULTS FOR EVIDENCE BASED DECISION MAKING TANZANIA CASE NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS MARCH, 2014

  2. Outline • Population Censuses in Tanzania • Basic Demographic Indicators • Analysis of Census Data • 2002 Census • 2012 Census • Challenges

  3. POPULATION CENSUSES IN TANZANIA CENSUS UNDERTAKING IN TANZANIA: • First Census (population count) in 1910 and 1948 • First modern Census in 1958 • Post Independence Censuses: 1967, 1978,1988, 2002 and 2012

  4. ANALYSIS OF CENSUS DATA – 2002 PHC REPORTS PUBLICATION LIST: • Statistical Tables (General Report) • Descriptive : National, Regional and District Profiles • Four Thematic Reports • Education and Literacy • Fertility • Mortality • Urbanization • Analytical Report: Chapters based on themes • Others like population projection, methodology and cartographic reports

  5. ANALYSIS – 2002 PHC REPORTS (Cont’d) Major Guidelines: • Trend analysis: Compare with last Census(es) • Regional/district differences • For some indicators comparison with other countries in the region • Analysis based on international concepts and definitions

  6. MAJOR REPORTS FOR 2012 PHC Four main type of reports: • Pop. Distribution and Distribution by Age and Sex - Statistical Tables • Basic Demographic and Socio-Economic Profile Reports -Descriptive : National (3), Regional (30) and District Profiles (150) • Eleven Thematic Reports • Analytical Report (Summary of all thematic Reports) • Community Profile Report • Others like methodology, cartographic, Census atlas and population projection

  7. INDICATORS: • Traditional indicators (Demographic, population dynamics); • National development programmes like National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty; • International development Programmes notably 2015 MDGs; • Others on demand (where possible)

  8. ANALYSIS OF CENSUS DATA – 2012 PHC REPORTS Analysis Teams: - • Lead consultant • Subject matter specialist from NSO • Technical staff from MDAs • Interns: Masters' or PhD students in demography, population studies, statistics from local Universities • Support staff from IT and GIS Department Review Team National and International Consultants

  9. ANALYSIS – 2012 PHC REPORTS (Cont’d) Orientation Workshop: • Team introduced to main objective of the reports • Software available for data analysis • Outline of the intended reports • Working modalities Two Review workshops

  10. ANALYSIS – 2012 PHC REPORTS (Cont’d) Deliverables for Each Team: • Thematic Report (Analytical/Technical) • Popular Version (results highlights) • Policy Brief (Addressing national and international development agenda) • Fact sheet (summary of facts and figures) • Analytical spreadsheets/models

  11. CHALLENGES • NSO do not have enough technical capacity to analyse policy related issues, and hence • Reliance on external technical staff and consultants which is expensive; • Limited knowledge on partners from MDAs on Census data analysis; • In depth analysis need data from other source/survey but reference date and methodology may be different (e.g Fertility (CEB Vs Birth History in DHS).

  12. THANK YOU FOR YOUR KIND ATTENTION

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