What are we thinking about? (Scope)

1. Single person housing needs analysis workshopRachael ShippamHousing Strategy, Nottingham City Council

2. What are we thinking about?(Scope) • The housing needs of single person households • The housing supply for single person households

3. City Boundary • Arboretum • Aspley • Basford • Berridge • Bestwood • Bilborough • Bridge • Bulwell • Bulwell Forest • Clifton North • Clifton South • Dales • Dunkirk and Lenton • Leen Valley • Mapperely • Radford and Park • Sherwood • St Anns • Wollaton East and • Lenton Abbey • Wollaton West

5. Why are we looking at this? • Housing Nottingham Plan 2013 – 2015 • Acknowledgement of increasing numbers of single person households – and that demand is outweighing supply • Recognition that further analysis of need and demand is required • Understanding of the need for a fresh and flexible approach in addressing supply

6. Why are we looking at this? (continued) • Housing Nottingham Plan action: • “carry out a task and finish study of single persons’ housing needs and supply, leading to the development of further proposals for action” • This workshop is essential to collaborative analysis • Opportunities for follow up after this event

7. Need for transformational thinking • New world with new challenges • Good old days are gone • - (were they that good anyway?) • Political priorities remain towards building family housing • Considerations of overlapping but not overtaking agendas • Balancing equalities

8. Expected outcomes • This analysis will inform the development of proposed new delivery actions within the next Housing Nottingham Plan • The next Housing Nottingham Plan will run to 2018 • Long term outcomes not quick fix solutions • This conversation needs to happen

9. Scene setting stats • Headlines

10. Age • There are 308,735 people living in Nottingham • 70% of the population are “working age” (16-64) • There is a higher proportion of working age people (out of the total population) in Nottingham than elsewhere nationally • Almost a third (32%) of the working age population in Nottingham are aged 16-24 • Over half (54%) of the working age population in Nottingham are aged 16-34 • Source: ONS 2012 mid year population estimates

11. Students • There are 50,306 full time students enrolled at Nottingham universities • 84% are undergraduates • 16% are from abroad • 11% of returning students choose to live in the purpose built sector • Source: Unipol, Assessment of student residence and housing market conditions in Nottingham • 3.8% of households in Nottingham are made up entirely of full time students (4845 households) Source: Census 2011

12. Household composition • Data source: Census 2011

13. Single person households

14. Shared households

15. Other household types

16. Economic activity - employment • There are 131,600 people aged over 16 in employment. This is 57.2% of all people aged 16-64 • One third of these are employed part time • The average hourly rate of employed people who live in Nottingham is lower than the average hourly rate of people who are employed in Nottingham. Both rates are lower than the national average • 91.6% of jobs in Nottingham are in the service industry

17. Economic inactivity • 23,500 people in Nottingham (10.5% of the population aged 16-64) have no qualifications • 15,600 people (7.2% of the population aged 16-64) are long-term sick • 18.6% of the working age population is in receipt of at least one key benefit (Housing Benefit not included) • There are 16,440 ESA / incapacity claimants

18. Economic activity - unemployment • The unemployment rate for Nottingham in February 2014 was 5.5% • There are 3220 out of work 18-24 year olds in Nottingham. 63% have been claiming JSA for under 6 months and 22% for over 12 months

19. Tenure Change

20. Property types

21. Rent levels

22. Social Housing – stock profile • There are around 37,500 households living in social housing • Around ¾ of social housing residents live in Nottingham City Homes properties • 28% of Nottingham City Homes stock are 1 bed flats • Approximately 1000 Nottingham City Homes properties are being demolished under the “building a better Nottingham” demolition and regeneration programme. 64 % of the properties were occupied by single person households and 30% of these single person households are aged under 35

23. Social housing – tenancies • On average every year over 1000 NCH tenancies in one bedroom flats end. Generally the top five reasons are; • -to move to a PRS tenancy • - to move in with family or friends • - to move to an alternative social housing property • - eviction for rent arrears • - death • (accounting for around 10% of tenancy terminations each)

24. Social housing – allocations • June 2013 – new Allocations Policy introduced • September 2013 – approximately 4400 households removed from the housing register • - 42% of these were single person households • - 79% of the single person households were in Band 4 • Approximately 3000 households are currently registered on Homelink • - Approximately 1800 (58%) are single person households • - Approximately 300 (9%) are couples without children • 71% of the single person households are aged under 50 • Last month there were 74 sign ups for one bedroom flats • The highest turnover / availability of one bedroom flats are in the St Anns and Bestwood areas

25. Average house prices • National media reports are of rising house prices and the danger of a housing boom, bubble and bust • In Nottingham (city local authority area) house prices are rising - but not much, not fast and from a low starting point • Data source: Land Registry • Monthly increase • Annual increase

26. Average House Prices (by property type) • This chart again, shows relatively little difference in residential property prices over the past two years • It does however, show a substantial difference in average price per property type

27. Volume of House Sales Although there have been no great changes in average prices locally, this chart shows that there has been a notable increase in the number of properties that are being sold

28. Applications for Local Housing Allowance (LHA) It is evident from the chart that there are seasonal variations in applications for LHA. However, the rate of applications in January 2014 is consistent with the number in January 2012 and January 2013

29. Market Rents (PRS) by ward • This chart shows the 80% median average rents paid for PRS accommodation by ward and over the past 8 months • Little evidence of any significant (or surprising) rent increases • Notable variance in charges across different areas

30. What are we going to consider today - Agenda • What have we got that works? • What is the vision for the future? • How can we improve and what are the barriers? • What are further / wider considerations which could help raise household income levels and therefore enable access to more affordable housing options?

31. Further information • Rachael Shippam • Senior Housing Partnership Officer • Nottingham City Council • rachael.shippam@nottinghamcity.gov.uk • Telephone: (0115) 8762754