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Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. Task Force for Measuring Sustainable Development (TFSD): Draft report-October 2012 Rutger Hoekstra/Jan Pieter Smits Chairmen and editors of the TFSD UNECE, Geneva, October 29th 2012. Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek. Introduction. TFSD Mandate
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Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Task Force for Measuring Sustainable Development (TFSD): Draft report-October 2012 Rutger Hoekstra/Jan Pieter Smits Chairmen and editors of the TFSD UNECE, Geneva, October 29th 2012
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Introduction • TFSD Mandate • Conceptual framework • Sustainable development indicators • Rio+20
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek TFSD Mandate • Follow-up of Working Group for Statistics for Sustainable Development (WGSSD) • Task Force for Measuring Sustainable Development (TFSD) • Joint task force of UNECE/Eurostat/OECD • Reports to the Conference of European Statisticians • Time line • Start: September 2009 • CES Bureau meeting: Next week (November 2012) • Global consultations: February 2013 • Final report: June 2013 • Mandate • Continue conceptual work (social and human capital) • Propose a set of Sustainable Development Indicators • Philosophy • Not forcing one view of SD • Identifying areas of agreement/disagreement • Building an inclusive flexible framework
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Conceptual framework • History of measurement • Main areas of agreement/disagreement • An inclusive conceptual framework
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek History • System of National Accounts (SNA) • Development took centuries • Harmonisation took decades • GDP criticised for decades • Pre Brundtland (<1987) • Economic composite indicators (e.g. SNI, GPI, ISEW) • Post Brundtland (>1987) • Economic and non-economic composite indicators (e.g. HDI, Ecological footprint) • Indicators sets (e.g. UN, Eurostat) • Satellite accounts (e.g. SEEA)
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Agreement/Disagreement • Agreement • Definition: "development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.“ (Brundtland report) • But: An enourmous array of methods and measurement systems • Disagreement: 5 main debates • Ecological vs. broad societal perspective • Integrated vs. future oriented view • Composite indicators vs. SDI sets • Monetisation • Policy vs. conceptual approach • Participants in the debate • Academics • Statisticians • Policy makers • Aim: an inclusive conceptual framework • Brundtland report • Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi • Economic theory/Other social science • “Here and now” vs. “Later” vs. “Elsewhere”
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Capital en human wellbeing Human Wellbeing Consumption Capital Economic capital Human capital Natural capital Social capital Ecological wellbeing
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Now vs. later Human wellbeing Human wellbeing Consumption Consumption Other Income Production Investments Capital Capital Depreciation Here and Now Later Time
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Here vs. elsewhere Financial transfers Human wellbeing Human wellbeing Consumption Consumption Migration Knowledge Production/ Investments Imports/ exports Production Capital Capital Natural capital Human capital Global capital Here Elsewhere Space
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Sustainable Development Indicators • Large and small set of indicators • Conceptual versus thematic classification • 3 indicator sets • Large set – Conceptual (“Here and now vs. later vs. elsewhere” ) (60 indicators) • Large set – Thematic (90 indicators) • Small set – Thematic (24 indicators) • Selection procedure • “Ideal indicators” (Conceptual considerations) • Commonalities between 10 indicator systems • Data availibility
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Large set - Conceptual – “Here and now”
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Large set - Conceptual – “Later”
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Large set - Conceptual – “Elsewhere”
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek From conceptual to thematic classification
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Large set - Thematic classification - examples
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Small set – Thematic classification
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Data availaibility and official statistics
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Rio+20 • Paragraph 38: “We recognize the need for broader measures of progress to complement gross domestic product in order to better inform policy decisions, and in this regard we request the United Nations Statistical Commission, in consultation with relevant United Nations system entities and other relevant organizations, to launch a programme of work in this area building on existing initiatives.” • Sustainable development goals (SDGs)
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Data availability worldwide
Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek Contact • Global consultations: February 2013 • Rutger Hoekstra (r.hoekstra@cbs.nl), Twitter: @Rutger_Hoekstra #tfsd • Jan Pieter Smits (jp.smits@cbs.nl)