FP7 space weather brainstorming meeting IAP, Paris 23 rd Jan, 09:30 to 17:30

1. FP7 space weather brainstorming meeting IAP, Paris 23rd Jan, 09:30 to 17:30

2. AGENDA . • Welcome, practical arrangements • Pay 12 Euros cash only for lunch if taken at Observatory (1300); 24 Euros if staying tomorrow; • Buy tickets during coffee break today (main + 3 side dishes + drink + coffee) • Access code for return 1232 2. Agree agenda 3. General background 4. Apologies & ideas 5. Space weather interests 6. Fit to themes • Space • Infrastructures • Transport • Security 7. Summarise actions 8. AOB (details on later slides)

3. BACKGROUND: USER NEEDS . • SpW has application to real-world problems that are important for Europe: • navigation, comms, spaceflight, etc. • Much scope if we address real user needs, • Consider interplay of science, technology & economics • e.g. HF comms in context of ALE. . • Use Pasteur’s quadrant as guide/tool • Look at mix between pure + applied • Stress use-inspired basic research? • Aid to compete with other space science

4. BACKGROUND: OTHER FP7 . • EuroPlanet(planetary network, I3 for FP7) • Radiation environments (PN) • Other (JL/MH) • atmospheric modelling/drag • ionospheric effects on radio signals • solar farside monitoring • space weather & exploration • Meets at ESTEC 26/27 Feb • Astronet (ERANET on future infrastructures, incl solar) • Meeting now in Poitiers • SWWT input provided • HEAPNET (astroparticle physics network) • Possible overlaps in detectors (& heliospheric shielding?) • Meets in Amsterdam Feb 19/20.

5. BACKGROUND: FP7 status . • Space • Open call, closes 19 June 2007 • Heavily weighted to GMES • Some scope for space science & space technology • Is space environment in technology Strategic Research Agenda? • No call in 2008, next in 2009 • Infrastructures • Open call, mainly e-infrastructures, closes 2 May 2007. • I3 (network, TNA, JRA + synergy) call in 2008 • Security • Open call, closes 31 May 2007 • Includes security of civil infrastructures • Cascade threat to power grids is highlighted • Further calls in autumn 2007 and in 2008

6. BACKGROUND: FP7 status 2 . • Transport • Defines Galileo/EGNOS themes • Exploiting full potential, tools • Implementation left to Supervisory Authority • Call due in 2007, build on EGNOS • Tactics: • is it important to submit a proposal into the space theme? • demonstrate interest & raise awareness of space weather? • How to influence 2009 space call?

7. APOLOGIES & IDEAS • Werner Schmutz (Davos) – nowcasting of upper atmosphere chemistry (Proba 2/LYRA) • Alan Dodson (Nottingham) - scintillation (COST 296) • Richard Horne (BAS) – nuclear explosions in space • Wolfgang Keil (Astrium) – spacecraft effects

8. Space weather interests . Planetary space weather Ionospheric effects & knowledge GIC Satellite effects Aviation Nuclear explosions in space Biological effects of radiation Solar UV variability Virtual observatories for space weather Space climate and global change

9. Planetary space weather • Radiation environments (PN) • atmospheric modelling/drag • Ionospheric effects on radio signals • Magnetic anomalies on Mars are key target • Auroral and dynamo effects ? • Solar farside monitoring • 50% of planetary SpW originates on farside • helioseismology, Lyman-α scatter • Space weather & exploration • Radiation and charging effects on Moon • Mitigation techniques

10. Ionospheric effects • Better 3-D real-time specification of the ionosphere? • measurements: horizontal and vertical resolution • calibration: ‘sondes, langmuir probes • modelling, • data management • targeted products for end users • Space-based SAR needs awareness of ionosphere • relevant to GMES? • e.g. carbon content of vegetation • Parallel capacity for better collaboration with US?

11. GIC • Important SpW effect, e.g. as in ESA cost benefit study. • Do we need to raise awareness of the issue? • domino effects - small problem triggers cascade • Has industry awareness declined since last Max • No major GIC during Halloween storms 2003. • Adapt FP6 proposals? • Target Security theme

12. Spacecraft effects • S/C development • design (tools), • criteria and means for active protection (operation) of S/C against massive SpW effects (e.g. CME) • SpW spaceborne monitoring: • dedicated satellite platforms on suitable orbits; • definition of state of the art instrumentation • definition of pointing requirements • Trade platforms against monitoring goals and instrumentation • SpW affect military operations and surveillance

13. Virtual observatories • Look for synergy with other topics, e.g. heliophysics/STP has common interest in developing VO standards and tools for time series data which have been neglected by astronomy-driven grid projects.

14. Aviation • Radiation – avionics • Radiation – people*. EU directive - SpW not well integrated into current legal framework • In-flight measurements to validate models • Longer-flights – A380, etc • HF radio propagation – oceans, poles • Satcom, • Sat nav – scintillation* at equator & auroral zone – impact on time critical issues • What is timescale for implementation? • Sat nav, TEC issues

15. Artificial space weather effects • Artificial space weather effects, • production of artificial radiation belts (as 1962) • EMP similar effects to GIC • Ionospheric heating • Implications for European space assets • Galileo, GMES • generic security issue. • Activities • Mitigation research - dissipate artificial radiation belts to reduce cumulative damage? • Raise awareness, e.g. EMP. • Assessment of source of problem

16. Biological effects of radiation

17. Solar UV • Data from LYRA on PROBA2 will stimulate this area, e.g. PMOD/WRC building tools to nowcast state of the chemical composition of the upper terrestrial atmosphere. • TIGER. Thermosphere-Ionosphere … • Retrieving whole spectrum • Check between UV and EUV

18. Solar monitoring • H-alpha monitoring – current telescopes have low cadence, improve (30s) to see Morton waves • Radio obs on http://secchirh.obspm.fr • Browser at RoB; http://sidc.be/SWB • Is there scope to fly on meteorological s/c?

19. Space climate and global change

21. Fit to themes

22. End AOB • ?

23. SPARES