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“Integrating Retail Planning & Forecasting with SAP – Brown Shoe’s Journey”. Jeff Kuhn Vice President Demand Planning Ron Boschert Director Retail Planning & Forecasting. Agenda. Audience polling questions Brown Shoe Company at a Glance Objective of Brown Shoe Demand Planning
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“Integrating Retail Planning & Forecasting with SAP – Brown Shoe’s Journey” Jeff Kuhn Vice President Demand Planning Ron Boschert Director Retail Planning & Forecasting
Agenda • Audience polling questions • Brown Shoe Company at a Glance • Objective of Brown Shoe Demand Planning • Demand Planning Process • Q&A
Audience polling questions: • Does your company have a Demand Planning process? • Is your system set up in weekly or monthly buckets? • What do you use for your demand signal? • Orders • Shipments • POS (consumer demand / retail info) • Would you like to win a $25 gift card for Famous Footwear?
Audience polling questions: Which shoe has the longer life cycle?
Audience polling answers Which shoe has the longest life cycle? Answer: Franco Sarto Bocca classic casual core shoe
Audience polling questions: Which shoe has been around the longest?
Audience polling answers Which shoe has been around the longest? Answer: Dr. Scholl’s Harrington non-slip DRTX brand is sold at our Famous Footwear stores & at Sears, Wal-Mart, Meijer, DSW, Shoe Carnival among many retailers. Work wear for restaurant and service personnel Most recent styles are Health & Wellness shoes designed to provide a workout from regular daily activities. Category emerged in 2009 Gladiator style sandals hit the fashion scene in 2008
Audience polling questions: Which shoe has been worn by presenter Jeff Kuhn at Brown Shoe company functions? Naturalizer Women’s Demetri or Converse Chuck Taylor?
Audience polling questions: Which shoe has been worn by presenter Jeff Kuhn at Brown Shoe company functions / presentations? Answer: Both
Agenda • Audience polling questions • Brown Shoe Company at a Glance • Objective of Brown Shoe Demand Planning • Demand Planning Process • Q&A
Brown Shoe Company • Famous Footwear 1100+ stores selling brand-name, value-priced shoes for the family • Major wholesale supplier of women’s fashion shoes to U.S. department stores & mass market
Agenda Audience polling questions Brown Shoe Company at a Glance Objective of Brown Shoe Demand Planning Demand Planning Process Q&A
Demand Planning Objective To provide timely accurate pairs forecasts to drive SAP supply planning decisions based on consumer and customer demand
Agenda • Audience polling questions • Brown Shoe Company at a Glance • Objective of Brown Shoe Demand Planning • Demand Planning Process • Q&A
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
1. Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • Four retail metrics required: • Pairs sold • Pairs on hand • Retail sales dollars • On hand retail dollars Internal POS data processed automatically through internal systems • Famous Footwear, Naturalizer retail, e-commerce External customer POS data • Retail partner portal • EDI 852 transmission • Sales file emailed from customers Note: Brown Shoe receives POS for 76% of sales volume
1. Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPFExamples of customer data sources -------------------------------------------------------------------------
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
3. Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF Account Director (Sales) can adjust system generated pairs forecast or weekly sell through % (weekly sales ÷ inventory)
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line retailer sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
4. Retail Planning & sales develop top line retailer sales plans
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
6. Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through Season sell thru % = season forecast sales pairs ÷ (beginning of season on hand + planned receipts) Adjust receipt quantity to yield desired sell through
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
Key steps in Retail Planning & Forecasting • Retail Planning loads retail selling data into RPF • POS forecast for core items generated in Logility • Sales reviews / adjusts forecasts for core items in RPF • Retail Planning & sales develop top line sales plans • Sales enters forecasts for fashion items into RPF • Retail Planning evaluates projected sell through in RPF • Demand Planning rationalizes volumes & pricing • Demand Planning uploads smoothed forecasts to SAP • Supply Planning uses forecast to plan capacity and execute the buy to factories to consume reserved factory space
9. Supply Planning uses forecasts in SAP to plan capacity and execute orders to factories