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Can the English National Health Service learn from the Dutch reforms?. Meeting the medium term challenge of the financing of health & aged care in England 27 January 2011 The Royal Society, London Gwyn Bevan Department of Management, LSE R.G.Bevan@lse.ac.uk.
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Can the English National Health Service learn from the Dutch reforms? Meeting the medium term challenge of the financing of health & aged care in England 27 January 2011 The Royal Society, London Gwyn Bevan Department of Management, LSE R.G.Bevan@lse.ac.uk
Objectives of health care reforms in OECD countries* 2. Cost control: rationing & expenditure caps UK from 1990s 3. Performance: incentives & competition 1. Equity: access by need not ability to pay * Cutler (2002) Equality, Efficiency, & Market Fundamentals: The Dynamics of International Medical-Care Reform. Journal of Economic Literature.
Law of requisite variety: 3 goals 3 instruments Cost control Equity Performance
NHS 1980s: 3 goals & 2 instruments Cost control: fixed total budget Below target income: no ‘efficiency’ savings Formula funding equitable allocations ‘Efficiency’ savings Above target income: cuts not ‘efficiency’ savings Health authorities run providers
From 1991: purchaser / provider3 goals & 3 instruments Cost control: fixed total budget NHS providers Formula funding equitable allocations Efficiency by competition Purchasers Private providers
Internal market (1989 -97): Design* • Purchaser / Provider • Provider competition • ‘money follows the patient’ • Selective contracting • health authorities • GP fundholders • (no patient choice) *Working for Patients
Internal market (1989 -97): Impact • Le Grand (1999)* • Little evidence of change • Incentives too weak & constraints too strong • Tuohy (1999)** • NHS logic • Ministerial accountability • Collegial decision making • Poor information on prices & quality * Le Grand (1999) Competition, cooperation, or control? Health Affairs ** Tuohy (1999) Accidental Logics. Oxford University Press
Patient choice & competition (2006 - 10): Design* • Provider competition • ‘money follows the patient’ (PbR) • standard tariff: quality competition • Selective contracting • Primary Care Trusts • World Class Commissioning • Patient choice • Provider diversity • Foundation Trusts & Independent Sector Treatment Centres *Delivering the NHS Plan
Patient choice & competition (2006 - 10): Impact • Failure to create functioning market* • political interference • weak purchasers • barriers to exit & entry • changing policies • reorganisations No * Brereton & Vasoodaven (2010) http://www.civitas.org.uk/nhs/download/Civitas_LiteratureReview_NHS_market_Feb10.pdf
Impact both NHS markets? Overview of literature* • No good evidence reforms produced beneficial outcomes classical economic theory predicts of markets provider responsiveness to patients & purchasers large-scale cost reduction innovation in service provision • NHS incurs transaction costs of market without benefits? * Brereton & Vasoodaven (2010) http://www.civitas.org.uk/nhs/download/Civitas_LiteratureReview_NHS_market_Feb10.pdf
NHS from 2010? We will stop the top- -down reorganisations of the NHS that have got in the way of patient care
If reorganisation of purchasers is the answer … Population ('000s)
Liberating the NHS: Objectives?* • NHS commissioning board • Steering not rowing? • GP Consortia • GPs involved in shaping services? • Independent providers • Choice & managed competition? • Reorganisation • Evolution not revolution? * Equity and excellence: Liberating the NHS
Reflections: 20 years ofmarket reforms The Netherlands England 5 blitzkriegs (SW1) army of occupation in hostile territory?* Provider competition limited impact Model abandoned New Zealand, Scotland & Wales • 1 agreed policy • Dutch procession of Echternach • MHP competition • as yet little selective contracting • Model exported • Germany & Switzerland *Shock (1994) Medicine at the centre of the nation’s affairs, BMJ
Going Dutch: Provider Purchaser competition? Cost control: fixed total budget PCT clusters Efficiency by purchaser competition& selective contracting / integration Risk-adjusted funding equitable allocations Mutual Healthcare Purchasers (MHPs)
Mutual Healthcare Purchasers (MHPs) • Plurality • PCTs / GP consortia • Insurers? Foundation Trusts? • Define catchment areas • Guarantee duty of care • Selectively contract / integrate • Explicit insurance contract • Choice of packages • Restrict choice? Charges?
NHS Commissioning Board: Regulation of MHPs • Entry • key competences & duty of quality • Competition • sufficient numbers & information • Equity • funding & open enrolment • Insurance • solvency & transparency
Can the English National Health Service learn from the Dutch reforms?* Thank you Gwyn Bevan Department of Management, LSE R.G.Bevan@lse.ac.uk * Bevan & van de Ven (2010). Choice of providers & Mutual Healthcare Purchasers: can the English NHS learn from the Dutch reforms? Health Economics, Policy & Law