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Smog Workshop – Federal & Provincial Smog Policy Update

Smog Workshop – Federal & Provincial Smog Policy Update. John Wellner Director, Health Policy, OMA. Recent Smog News. “green-speaking” provincial government More smog than ever New chronic health effects information Quantification of cross-border effects Climate change focus.

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Smog Workshop – Federal & Provincial Smog Policy Update

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  1. Smog Workshop – Federal & Provincial Smog Policy Update John Wellner Director, Health Policy, OMA

  2. Recent Smog News • “green-speaking” provincial government • More smog than ever • New chronic health effects information • Quantification of cross-border effects • Climate change focus

  3. Primary Metals 3% Other Processes 11% Utilities 15% Road Vehicles 33% Other Transportation 30% Miscellaneous Area Sources 8% Ontario Nitrogen Oxides Emissions by Sector (Emissions from Human Activity, 2001 Estimates)

  4. General Solvent Use 24% Other Transportation 11% Other Processes 17% Surface Coating 10% Residential 12% Miscellaneous Area Sources 8% Road Vehicles 18% Ontario VOC Emissions by Sector (Emissions from Human Activity, 2001 Estimates)

  5. SO2 Emissions (2001)

  6. Provincial Smog Policies/Initiatives:1) Coal Phase-Out2) Industry Emissions – IERP3) Drive Clean

  7. Coal-Plant Phase-Out • Coal-fired power plants the largest industrial source of NOx , CO2 , significant Hg & SO2 • Election promise for phase-out by 2007 • Plan announced (summer ’05) for 2007 & 2009 • Significant pressure to scrap this promise (from media commentators, opposition parties, large industry, even some quasi-environmentalists) • Big debates: “Clean coal” and nuclear energy

  8. Coal Phase-Out Plan • Lakeview GS in Mississauga (2005) • Lambton, Thunder Bay, Atikokan (2007) • Nanticoke GS (2009)

  9. Industry Emissions Reduction Plan Long history – Ontario Smog Plan, ASAP, CAPI, IERP many Ministers, 3 premiers … IERP NOx & SO2 from key industries But in 10 years, IERP only asks for 1% NOx & 8% SO2 reductions Emissions trading loopholes may mean even less improvement improved health = overall, net emissions reductions

  10. Drive Clean & other Provincial Vehicle Emissions Initiatives • After considerable criticism, Drive Clean program was recently re-jigged • Newer cars exempt, stricter on old ones • Target emission reductions = 22% • Modal shift, carpool lanes, transit, gas tax, anti-idling, etc.

  11. Federal Programs • Low-Sulphur Gasoline (30 ppm in 2005, a 90% reduction) • Low-Sulphur Diesel (15 ppm in June 2006, previously 500 ppm & higher) • Canada-wide Smog Standards • Canada-U.S. Air Quality Agreement • Kyoto • CEPA

  12. Where’s that leave us? (How’s the air out there?)

  13. One-Hour Ozone Exceedances across Ontario(2003)

  14. Trend of Ozone One-Hour Maximum Concentrations in Ontario(1980 - 2003)

  15. Trend of Ozone Annual Means for Urban and Rural Ontario(1990 - 2003)

  16. Number of Ozone "Episode Days" in Ontario(1980 - 2003)

  17. What to Expect in 2006 • New Air Quality Health Index pilot projects • More debate on coal plants • Low-sulphur on-road diesel • Ontario initiatives on cross-border smog • A Federal Clean Air Act? • CEPA review

  18. For further questions - My Contact Information: john_wellner@oma.org 416-340-2953 or 800-268-7215 ext. 2953

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