1 / 19

ECOOP WP5 overview “Forecast Production and Information Systems”

ECOOP WP5 overview “Forecast Production and Information Systems”. ECOOP Consensus and planning meeting 16-17 March 2005. Contents. WP5 Aims and Objectives WP5 Scope: systems, regions,……. WP5 Tasks, interfaces to other WPs Example ……. ECOOP WP5. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: ‘EuroMISS’

zanna
Download Presentation

ECOOP WP5 overview “Forecast Production and Information Systems”

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. ECOOP WP5 overview “Forecast Production and Information Systems” ECOOP Consensus and planning meeting 16-17 March 2005

  2. Contents • WP5 Aims and Objectives • WP5 Scope: systems, regions,……. • WP5 Tasks, interfaces to other WPs • Example …….

  3. ECOOP WP5 AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: ‘EuroMISS’ To build up integrated coastal ocean forecast production and dissemination capacity based on existing systems, providing improved services for GMES • Define initial European Regional and Coastal Seas operational forecast modelling systems ECOOPSYS V0 (as MERSEA WP9) providing contributions to GMES Services • Synthesise existing forecast model outputs and observations into value-added information products for GMES services • Implement developments to ECOOPSYS arising from WP1, WP4 and the Development WPs through WP13

  4. ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS SCOPE: systems Priority: GMES Services: water quality, HAB, oil spill drift forecasting • 3D circulation modelling including physical-ecosystem ?? BUT NOT ?? • Storm Surges Waves Except where these are coupled to a 3D physical-ecosystem model eg waves OR include minimal waves / surges portal to existing systems

  5. ECOOP WP5 SCOPE: regions • COASTAL plus regional • ECOOP operational systems from : • Southern North Sea North Sea German Bight • English Channel / SW Approaches Irish Sea Liverpool Bay • Aegean Sea Adriatic • Cyprus CYCOFOS Southern Mediterranean ? Black Sea • Bay of Biscay ESEOO Spanish waters • Skagerrak Baltic Gulf of Bothnia / Gulf of Riga ?? • Barents Sea OsloFjord MERSEA covers Mediterranean; NW Shelf, Baltic

  6. ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS Suggested TASKS • Integration and definition of regional / coastal forecasting systems • Co-ordinate implementation of upgrades to ECOOPSYS V0 providing GMES services • Generation and dissemination of value added information products for GMES services, based on ECOOP observations and modelling • Particular links to WP3, WP13,…..

  7. ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS Suggested PRODUCTS: issues • Build on existing capability (MERSEA LAS / DISMAR / national initiatives………….) • Harmonise and integrate across regional seas systems • value added products • Dialogue with users; links to GMES Service Element activity

  8. ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS Suggested PRODUCTS • Gridded model datasets: MERSEA LAS • Synthesised model and observed parameters, including marine ecosystem, eutrophication indices, harmful algal bloom likelihood: • Web based delivery such as (building on) MONCOZE or POL Coastal Observatory or POSEIDON • Include links to existing systems for wave, surge forecasts

  9. ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS Suggested PRODUCTS examples Drawn from NOOS Other systems are also available • MONCOZE • POLCOBS • HAB index example for North West shelf • Eutrophication index southern North Sea

  10. A Norwegian national project: MONCOZE Pilot Ocean Monitoring System (POMS) http://moncoze.met.no MONCOZE project: Monitoring the Norwegian Coastal Zone Environment POMS: a web tool for uniform presentation of near-real-time observations and model products – to facilitate monitoring and analysis.

  11. POL Irish Sea Coastal Observatory Web site - http://coastobs.pol.ac.uk Different levels for Researchers Managers Public

  12. Products under development from Met OfficePOLCOMS-ERSEM MRCS model Early April N to P ratio (left) and the corresponding phaeocystis warning map (right) showing some regions of elevated risk along Welsh and French coastlines

  13. PML POLCOLMS_ERSEM Eutrophication in southern N Sea 1988

  14. ECOOP WP5 EuroMISS SUMMARY: Suggested TASKS • Integration and definition of regional / coastal forecasting systems • Co-ordinate implementation of upgrades to ECOOPSYS V0 providing GMES services • Generation and dissemination of value added information products for GMES services

  15. Ex-Hurricane Irene October 1999 Jonswap Gamma (colour) / windsea Hs (contours) Identifies regions with high sea state AND actively growing waves 12km

  16. POL Irish Sea: JNCC Irish Sea Pilot Project , model derived ecological units Bed stress frequency of stratification positions of fronts

  17. Real-time model results Ocean-shelf model (12km), Irish Sea model (1.8km) e.g. sea surface temperature point and click for profile

  18. ECOOP WP5MERSEA system provides: MERSEA V0 • Arctic : TOPAZ : (North Atlantic, Nordic Seas and Arctic), HYCOM, resolution is 18-35 km. Includes ice and ecosystem model, Assimilates SSH, SST, ice concentration, ARGO floats. Assimilation scheme is EnKF, weekly assimilation cycle. • Baltic : DMI BSH-cmod + OI, resolution of 6-1 nm, twice daily. • Mediterranean : MFS : 1/16o, assimilates sea level surface temperature and profile data using ROOI scheme on weekly basis. • NE Atlantic : FOAM 1/9o N Atlantic, ocean and sea-ice model: nested inside Atlantic model ; assimilation of surface height, temperature and salinity profile data and sea-ice concentration fields using modified analysis correction scheme. POLCOMS system for NE Atlantic shelf using 12 km grid and no assimilation. Both are run daily. MERSEA V1 • Arctic : Adapted to overall MERSEA operation. Assimilation of ocean colour data. • Baltic : BSH-cmod + OI, res. 3-1 nm, twice daily, with boundary conditions from NE Atlantic model • Mediterranean Adapted to overall MERSEA operation. Transition to daily operation. • NE Atlantic : POLCOMS 1/32o no assimilation, nested in global daily.

  19. ECOOP WP5MERSEA system provides: Mersea Integrated System V.2 Month 36 = Mar 2007 • Arctic : horizontal resolution 9-18 km. Assimilation of Cryosat ice thickness data. [Ecosystem model upgraded.] Transition to daily real-time operations at meto.no underway. • Baltic : increased vertical resolution, data assimilation in test version. • Mediterranean trial nesting of Mediterranean model within the Mersea global; ecosystem demo. • NE Atlantic : OPA/EOMF, 1/32o with tides, assimilation, daily, nested in "global". Mersea Integrated System V.3 March 2008 • All models include ecosystems and delivered, fully nested ; ready for production • Arctic : Final system running operationally at met.no. • Baltic : Data assimilation fully operational. • Mediterranean: full operational implementation of nesting • NE Atlantic : ecosystem model included.

More Related