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Heat Waves and Their Impacts on Human Health in Urban Areas of Central Oklahoma. Kyle Thiem, Jessica Voveris, & Emma Fagan University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology Heather Basara Assistant Professor, University of Oklahoma Department of Geography Jeffrey Basara
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Heat Waves and Their Impacts on Human Health in Urban Areas of Central Oklahoma Kyle Thiem, Jessica Voveris, & Emma Fagan University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology Heather Basara Assistant Professor, University of Oklahoma Department of Geography Jeffrey Basara Associate Professor, University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology
Background • Heat waves are common occurrences • Especially dangerous within urban environments • Higher air pollutant concentrations • UHI phenomenon • Chicago (1995), Europe (2003), Russia (2010) Basara et al. 2008
Societal Impacts • Increased heat related and pollution related illnesses during extreme heat events • Increased urbanization in the future • Heat waves are projected to increase in frequency, longevity, and intensity • Better mitigation techniques are needed European Heat Wave of 2003
Research Goals • Expand the current knowledge of the relationships between heat waves, urban environments, and human health • Determine which populations are most at risk during extreme heat events within Oklahoma City at a neighborhood scale
What We’ve Done • Determined our event • July 30 – August 6, 2008 • Sorted through and put all of the data from the Micronet and Census Tracts into GIS for further analysis • 3 types of data: Demographic, Pollutant, Temperature Basara et al. 2011
Demographic • Decided to use Clusters (defined by statistical similarities of demographic data) to group the Census Tracts (Hall and Basara) Hall and Basara
Pollutant • Studies have shown that as stagnant air over a city due to a heat wave can cause an increse in the amounts of pollutants in the air. • Result: Length of heat wave in this event was too short to see an increase in Ozone or PM data
Temperature • Higher temperatures in urban areas apparent (approx. 1-2 C on average), especially at night. • 1ºC increase in temperature above a comfortabilitythreshold correlates to a 1-3% increase in mortality.
What’s Left To Do • Determine climatological average maximum and minimum temperatures to establish comfortability thresholds • Assign vulnerability levels to each Census Tract based on maximum and minimum temperature, population density, and demographic factors. • Combine risk assessment of all factors in GIS to determine which neighborhoods are considered most at risk in final analysis.
Summary • Heat waves are common occurrences, and especially dangerous in urban environments. • Our goal is to determine which populations are most at risk during extreme heat events within Oklahoma City at a neighborhood scale • Determined demographics and temperature exposure to be main risks. • Currently working on last step: defining the vulnerability levels of each census tract.
References • Basara, J. B., B. G. Illston, C. A. Fiebrich, P. D. Browder, C. R. Morgan, A. McCombs, J. P. Bostic, R. A. McPherson, A. J. Schroeder, and K. C. Crawford, 2011: The Oklahoma City Micronet. Metr. Appl., 18, 252-261. • Basara, J. B., H. G. Basara, B. G. Illston, and K. C. Crawford, 2010: The impact of the urban heat island during an intense heat wave in Oklahoma City. Adv. in Metr., 2010, doi: 10.1155/2010/230365. • Basara, J. B., P. K. Hall Jr., A. J. Schroeder, B. G. Illston, and K. L. Nemunaitis, 2008: Diurnal cycle of the Oklahoma City urban heat island, Jour. of Geophys. Res.,113, doi: 10.1029/2008JD010311. • Basu, R., W. Feng, and B. D. Ostro, 2008: Characterizing temperature and mortality in nine California counties. Epidem.,2008, 138-145. • Garcia-Herrera, R., J. Diaz, R. M. Trigo, J. Luterbacher, and E. M. Fischer, 2010: A review of the European summer heat wave of 2003. Crit. Reviews in Envir. Sci. and Tech., 40, 267-306. • Grumm, R. H., 2011: The central European and Russian heat wave of July-August 2010. BAMS, 92,doi:10.1175/2011BAMS3174.1. • Hajat, S., and T. Kosatky, 2010: Heat-related mortality: a review and exploration of heterogeneity, Jour. Of Epidemiol Comm. Health,64, 753-760. • Kovats, R. S., and S. Hajat, 2008: Heat stress and public health: a critical review. Annu. Rev. Public Health,2008, 41-55. • Krunkel, K. E., S. A. Changnon, B. C. Reinke, and R. W. Arritt, 1996: The July 1995 heat wave in the Midwest: a climatic perspective and critical weather factors. BAMS, 77, 1507-1518. • Luber, G., and M. McGeehin, 2008: Climate change and extreme heat events. Amer. Jour. Prev. Med., 20, 429-435. • Meehl, G. A. and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st Century. Science, 305, 994-997. • Reid, C. E., M. S. O’Neill, C. Gronlund, S. J. Brines, D. G. Brown, A. V. Diez-Roux, J. Schwartz, 2009: Mapping Community Determinants of Heat Vulnerability. Environ. Health Pers., doi: 10.1289/ehp.0900683 [Available online at http://dx.doi/.org]